FinalWin Prob.pScore
1531%91
84
1269%98
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.39289.3
NOH
104.49193.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH84
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Bank Shot84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)84
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)84
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)84
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)84
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)84
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 1:01NOHMISS Brown Reverse Layup84
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 1:21NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 1:34NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)84
5.6%
89
94.4%
Q4 - 1:34NOHHORNETS Rebound84
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 1:35NOHMISS Wesley 55' 3PT Jump Shot84
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 1:58MIAJones Dunk (18 PTS)84
3.7%
89
96.3%
Q4 - 2:00NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)82
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 2:02NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)82
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 2:05NOHMISS Wesley 22' Jump Shot82
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 2:22NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)82
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 282
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 2:33NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 2:33NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 281
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 2:34NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)81
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Odom Layup81
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 2:55NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 2:55NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)81
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 3:16NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 3:21NOHAugmon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)81
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 3:23NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot81
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 3:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
9.4%
86
90.6%
Q4 - 3:50NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot81
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q4 - 4:15MIAOdom Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 4:23NOHDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)79
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)79
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWade Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)78
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 4:45NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)76
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 4:50NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)76
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 5:06NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)76
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 5:06NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)76
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 5:13NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 5:15MIABrown BLOCK (2 BLK)76
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 5:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 5:24NOHMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot76
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 5:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)76
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q4 - 5:46MIAHaslem Follow Up Dunk (15 PTS)76
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade Layup74
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 5:57MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 5:58NOHMISS Davis Layup74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIAAugmon STEAL (1 STL)74
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 6:35NOHAugmon 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)74
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 6:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)74
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 6:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)73
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 6:51NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 6:52NOHMISS Magloire Layup72
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 6:53NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)72
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 6:55NOHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 7:01NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot72
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 7:17NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)72
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 7:17NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)72
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 7:36NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot72
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 7:45NOHMISS West Dunk72
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q4 - 8:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 8:22NOHBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)72
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 8:37NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q4 - 8:55NOHSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)72
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 9:13NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 272
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q4 - 9:38NOHAugmon 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 9:56MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T8)71
13.9%
75
86.1%
Q4 - 10:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q4 - 10:23NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 271
17.3%
75
82.7%
Q4 - 10:23NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q4 - 10:31NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
17.5%
74
82.5%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
18.6%
74
81.4%
Q4 - 10:50NOHBrown Dunk (12 PTS)71
21.3%
74
78.7%
Q4 - 10:52NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)71
25.0%
72
75.0%
Q4 - 10:55NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot71
28.3%
72
71.7%
Q4 - 11:09NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
25.5%
72
74.5%
Q4 - 11:12NOHMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
28.6%
72
71.4%
Q4 - 11:19NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
25.5%
72
74.5%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Odom Layup71
26.8%
72
73.2%
Q4 - 11:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)71
30.0%
72
70.0%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Alston 10' Running Jump Shot71
26.8%
72
73.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH71
30.0%
72
70.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound71
25.5%
72
74.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Armstrong 36' 3PT Jump Shot71
28.6%
72
71.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
25.6%
72
74.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot71
26.8%
72
73.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHAugmon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)71
29.7%
72
70.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAAlston Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
25.6%
72
74.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade Layup69
19.5%
72
80.5%
Q3 - 1:08NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
22.1%
72
77.9%
Q3 - 1:08NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 1:08NOHHORNETS Rebound69
25.5%
70
74.5%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot69
26.7%
70
73.3%
Q3 - 1:23NOHAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
29.5%
70
70.5%
Q3 - 1:23NOHAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
30.4%
69
69.6%
Q3 - 1:29MIAHaslem Tip Shot (12 PTS)69
33.6%
68
66.4%
Q3 - 1:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)67
29.5%
68
70.5%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Odom Tip Shot67
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)67
29.5%
68
70.5%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade Layup67
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 1:44MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)67
29.5%
68
70.5%
Q3 - 1:47NOHMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot67
28.2%
68
71.8%
Q3 - 2:04MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)67
25.0%
68
75.0%
Q3 - 2:15NOHDavis Foul Turnover (P3.T9)64
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 2:18MIABrown STEAL (2 STL)64
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q3 - 2:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 2:24NOHMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot64
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q3 - 2:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot64
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 2:54NOHDavis 13' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)64
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 3:01NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot64
23.2%
66
76.8%
Q3 - 3:22NOHDavis Layup (23 PTS)64
25.6%
66
74.4%
Q3 - 3:37NOHWesley Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)64
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 3:37NOHHORNETS Rebound64
32.7%
63
67.3%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Jones Layup64
34.0%
63
66.0%
Q3 - 3:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
37.0%
63
63.0%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot64
34.0%
63
66.0%
Q3 - 4:01NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P3.T8)64
36.3%
63
63.7%
Q3 - 4:12MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)64
31.9%
63
68.1%
Q3 - 4:24NOHDavis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)62
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 4:31NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
24.9%
63
75.1%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot62
26.1%
63
73.9%
Q3 - 4:49NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 4:49NOHBrown Tip Shot (10 PTS)62
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 4:51NOHMISS Davis Layup62
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 5:10MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T6)62
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
35.9%
61
64.1%
Q3 - 5:20NOHMISS Davis 14' Fadeaway Jumper62
34.7%
61
65.3%
Q3 - 5:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 5:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 5:50NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
28.6%
61
71.4%
Q3 - 5:50NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
29.4%
60
70.6%
Q3 - 6:07MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)60
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 6:27NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q3 - 6:27NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 6:29NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
28.1%
57
71.9%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Odom Layup57
29.2%
57
70.8%
Q3 - 6:42NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 157
31.2%
57
68.8%
Q3 - 6:42NOHBrown Layup (8 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)57
31.7%
57
68.3%
Q3 - 6:48NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)57
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 6:50NOHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 6:55NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 6:58NOHMISS Lynch 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 7:14NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
34.4%
55
65.6%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot57
35.6%
55
64.4%
Q3 - 7:28NOHMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T6)57
38.5%
55
61.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)57
34.4%
55
65.6%
Q3 - 7:46MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
38.5%
55
61.5%
Q3 - 7:49NOHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot57
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q3 - 8:14MIAOdom 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)57
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
31.3%
55
68.7%
Q3 - 8:25NOHMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot55
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 8:39NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot55
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q3 - 9:04NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
30.4%
55
69.6%
Q3 - 9:04NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIALynch STEAL (1 STL)55
33.5%
53
66.5%
Q3 - 9:30NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)55
37.0%
53
63.0%
Q3 - 9:52MIAButler Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)55
44.0%
50
56.0%
Q3 - 9:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
40.5%
50
59.5%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Odom 7' Hook Shot53
38.0%
50
62.0%
Q3 - 10:19NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
39.7%
50
60.3%
Q3 - 10:19NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
40.5%
49
59.5%
Q3 - 10:40NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)53
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
44.0%
48
56.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
46.7%
48
53.3%
Q3 - 10:57NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot53
45.5%
48
54.5%
Q3 - 11:18MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)53
42.0%
48
58.0%
Q3 - 11:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
38.8%
48
61.2%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Odom Layup51
36.4%
48
63.6%
Q3 - 11:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
38.8%
48
61.2%
Q3 - 11:39NOHMISS Magloire Layup51
37.8%
48
62.2%
Q3 - 11:41NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)51
35.4%
48
64.6%
Q3 - 11:43NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot51
37.8%
48
62.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
35.5%
48
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)51
38.9%
48
61.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Odom Layup51
42.6%
46
57.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0NOHWesley Foul Turnover (P1.T5)51
44.2%
46
55.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot51
42.6%
46
57.4%
Q2 - 1:17NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)51
43.4%
46
56.6%
Q2 - 1:34MIAAlston Layup (6 PTS)51
48.2%
44
51.8%
Q2 - 1:40MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
43.4%
44
56.6%
Q2 - 1:42NOHMISS Armstrong 17' Jump Shot49
42.9%
44
57.1%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHaslem Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)49
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade Layup47
36.2%
44
63.8%
Q2 - 2:21NOHMagloire Dunk (7 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)47
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWade Dunk (8 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)47
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 2:49NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Haslem: Tip to Odom45
37.3%
42
62.7%
Q2 - 2:51NOHMISS Davis Layup45
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 2:59NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot45
34.6%
42
65.4%
Q2 - 3:14NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
36.8%
42
63.2%
Q2 - 3:14NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 3:25MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)45
39.3%
40
60.7%
Q2 - 3:49NOHWesley 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)43
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)43
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 4:20NOHLynch 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)41
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 4:37MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)41
44.2%
34
55.8%
Q2 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot39
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 5:04NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
40.9%
34
59.1%
Q2 - 5:04NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 5:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q2 - 5:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
43.1%
32
56.9%
Q2 - 5:38NOHMagloire Dunk (5 PTS)37
41.0%
32
59.0%
Q2 - 5:40NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)37
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 5:43NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
45.6%
30
54.4%
Q2 - 5:58MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 6:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
45.9%
30
54.1%
Q2 - 6:05NOHMISS Davis 32' 3PT Jump Shot37
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade Layup (4 PTS)37
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 6:40NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 7:02MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)35
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q2 - 7:16NOHLynch Foul Turnover (P1.T3)33
34.8%
30
65.2%
Q2 - 7:38MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)33
32.3%
30
67.7%
Q2 - 7:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 7:43NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot31
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 8:00NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)31
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
28.3%
30
71.7%
Q2 - 8:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
30.0%
30
70.0%
Q2 - 8:11NOHMISS Lynch 19' Jump Shot31
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 8:32MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 8:49MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)29
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q2 - 8:50NOHMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot28
23.3%
30
76.7%
Q2 - 9:02MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)28
21.8%
30
78.2%
Q2 - 9:20NOHDavis 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)25
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 9:29MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)25
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q2 - 9:55NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q2 - 9:55NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 10:05MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)23
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q2 - 10:10NOHMISS Smith Layup23
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 10:11NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 10:13NOHMISS Smith Layup23
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 10:19NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 10:21NOHMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot23
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 10:42MIAOdom 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)23
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHeat Rebound21
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 11:02NOHMISS Davis 6' Jump Bank Shot21
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q2 - 11:20NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot21
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q2 - 11:39NOHArmstrong Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 11:40NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 11:41NOHMISS Davis Layup21
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q2 - 11:42NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q2 - 11:44NOHMISS West Layup21
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH21
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound21
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHHORNETS Rebound21
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Odom Layup21
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0NOHWest Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)21
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 220
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0NOHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot20
19.6%
24
80.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
19.1%
24
80.9%
Q1 - 1:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 1:14NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot20
19.6%
24
80.4%
Q1 - 1:29NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)20
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
19.2%
24
80.8%
Q1 - 1:49NOHDavis Driving Layup (12 PTS)20
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 1:57MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)20
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 2:14NOHDavis 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 2:34NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 2:35NOHMISS Smith Layup18
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 2:48NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Haslem Layup18
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 3:07MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 3:11NOHMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot18
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:20NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 3:22NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 3:57NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 3:57NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
19.1%
19
80.9%
Q1 - 4:03NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot15
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 4:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot15
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 4:42NOHDavis 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)15
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 5:03MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)15
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 5:08MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 5:09NOHMISS Magloire 6' Jump Shot13
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 5:33MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 5:52NOHMagloire 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS)11
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 6:13NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound11
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 6:32NOHMISS Magloire 7' Jump Shot11
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 6:49MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 6:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 7:12NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 7:12NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 211
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 7:22MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)11
21.2%
13
78.8%
Q1 - 7:22MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 7:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.9%
13
81.1%
Q1 - 7:31NOHMISS Lynch 10' Jump Shot8
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIAOdom Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 8:04NOHMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)6
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 8:16MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 8:16MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 8:41NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)3
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 8:41NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)3
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 8:57NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.5%
11
85.5%
Q1 - 8:59MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)3
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 9:16NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)3
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 9:16NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)3
15.7%
10
84.3%
Q1 - 9:26MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)3
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 9:47NOHWesley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)0
14.6%
9
85.4%
Q1 - 10:02NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Butler Layup0
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 10:28NOHDavis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 10:35NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot0
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 10:57NOHWesley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 11:04NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:40NOHDavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 11:43NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Grant: Tip to Odom0
24.8%
0
75.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.3%
NOH
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
34
47%
NOH
8
20
40%
Midrange
MIA
12
30
40%
NOH
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
24
21%
31%
NOH
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
13
16
81%
NOH
42
46
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1847%9.0 / 19
U. Haslem1563%7.5 / 12
L. Odom1233%6.0 / 18
R. Alston1142%5.5 / 13
D. Wade1137%5.5 / 15
C. Butler650%3.0 / 6
B. Grant6100%3.0 / 3
R. Butler525%2.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis3363%16.5 / 26
D. Wesley1963%9.5 / 15
J. Magloire1450%7.0 / 14
P. Brown1246%6.0 / 13
S. Augmon6100%3.0 / 3
D. West536%2.5 / 7
G. Lynch338%1.5 / 4
S. Smith325%1.5 / 6
D. Armstrong0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+13
-9
96
NOH
76
+20
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.3%
NOH
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.8
MIA 91.3 +13.1
NOH 104.4
Pace
90.6
91.4
MIA 89.3
NOH 93.9 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
MIA 16.1
NOH 15.3 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.0%
MIA 40.3% +1.9%
NOH 38.4%
TO %
14.4%
15.3%
MIA 8.7% +7.3%
NOH 16.0%
ORB %
27.5%
30.6%
MIA 24.1%
NOH 40.5% +16.4%
FTrt
29.8
29.3
MIA 18.2
NOH 66.7 +48.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
61.9%
MIA 69.7% +15.5%
NOH 54.2%
STL %
7.9%
9.4%
MIA 5.4% +1.0%
NOH 4.4%
BLK %
6.3%
6.7%
MIA 1.9%
NOH 6.3% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.1%
MIA 43.3%
NOH 49.0% +5.7%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.9%
MIA 47.1% +7.1%
NOH 40.0%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.9%
MIA 40.0% +7.6%
NOH 32.4%
3P %
35.7%
31.9%
MIA 20.8%
NOH 33.3% +12.5%
FT %
76.2%
75.1%
MIA 81.3%
NOH 91.3% +10.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
32.8%
MIA 38.6% +9.7%
NOH 29.0%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
42.0%
MIA 34.1% +15.2%
NOH 49.3%
3P Att. %
21.1%
25.2%
MIA 27.3% +5.5%
NOH 21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points8495
Rebounds3858
Assists2313
Steals54
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (0)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)41 (3)
Field Goals33-8824-69
At-the-Rim FG16-348-20
Midrange FG12-3011-34
2-Point FG28-6419-54
3-Point FG5-245-15
Free Throws13-1642-46
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
44.3
12
33%
12
7
0
0
2
3
2
10
1-2
50%
4-14
29%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
38.4
18
47%
6
8
3
1
2
5
1
5
7-8
88%
4-8
50%
1-8
13%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
36.7
11
42%
1
3
1
0
1
5
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-8
25%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
18.7
6
50%
1
0
0
0
2
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
15.6
6
100%
3
0
0
0
0
6
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
36.1
15
63%
13
1
1
0
0
4
7
6
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
30.6
11
37%
2
4
0
0
1
3
1
1
1-1
100%
5-13
38%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
19.6
5
25%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
G · 6'2" 182 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
43%
38
23
5
1
9
0
13
25
13-16
81%
28-64
44%
5-24
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.