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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks23%9580
10Bucks77%10494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
43.3
35.4
18
46%
9
1
0
1
0
2
2
7
4-4
100%
4-13
5-11
31%
45%
2-5
40%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
41.6
37.8
20
46%
8
6
1
2
0
4
1
7
3-6
50%
7-14
5-11
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.9
32.2
40.2
11
39%
4
4
1
2
0
5
0
4
4-5
80%
2-5
6-13
40%
47%
1-7
14%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
30.3
19.8
4
37%
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.4
13.3
24.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.5
32.4
17.9
11
63%
3
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.0
29.5
22.8
12
49%
11
3
0
1
0
1
5
6
2-3
67%
5-11
3-6
45%
43%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
8.9
6.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.1
8.7
8.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.0
8.1
0
1-1
44%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
4.4
0
1-1
47%
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.9
3.1
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
38.8
28.9
23
57%
11
2
4
1
1
2
3
8
13-14
93%
5-13
4-9
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
37.1
35.7
23
53%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-8
75%
7-14
6-12
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
27.6
28.9
9
56%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
24.0
22.9
10
63%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.8
18.6
27.0
7
39%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.5
26.9
18.3
10
46%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.4
24.0
30.3
8
57%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
5-9
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.3
20.4
16.7
2
20%
3
4
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
14.4
14.9
2
17%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
53%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.3
8.2
11.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
5.6
0
1-2
48%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.7
5.2
0
1-1
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.