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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets30%8886
8Rockets70%9597
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.9
40.3
36.4
30
52%
5
4
3
2
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
8-17
5-11
47%
43%
4-11
36%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.3
39.7
31.0
8
36%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
41%
2-6
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
29.5
35.6
10
43%
11
0
0
1
0
1
1
10
4-6
67%
3-9
5-10
33%
46%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.4
28.6
36.5
10
63%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
15.6
13.4
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.7
27.4
23.0
11
94%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.1
25.3
4.7
9
46%
10
2
3
0
0
2
4
6
1-2
50%
4-9
1-1
44%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.9
15.5
9.7
3
30%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
7.4
14.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 28.9
5.7
1.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.6
5.0
16.1
3
52%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 31.3
20.8
0
4-9
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.5
45.2
34.1
31
79%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
6-9
67%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.1
37.7
41.4
19
56%
6
5
2
2
0
3
0
6
7-7
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.4
37.5
39.5
19
67%
7
3
0
1
0
3
1
6
4-5
80%
6-7
2-5
86%
45%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.5
29.3
32.3
17
60%
9
1
0
0
2
0
2
7
3-5
60%
7-12
7-14
58%
53%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 29.5
26.6
18.4
1
9%
5
2
1
1
2
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.5
24.8
15.6
4
29%
7
1
2
0
1
0
1
6
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 38.9
19.8
14.6
2
35%
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-2
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.4
13.5
27.0
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
5-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 29.7
4.8
4.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
0.7
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.4
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.7
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.