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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 12, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pacers61%9599
19Celtics39%9181
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.3
30.1
36.6
10
34%
5
1
3
2
0
2
1
4
4-8
50%
3-8
5-12
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.4
28.5
37.6
8
34%
5
2
0
1
4
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-11
9-19
27%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.0
23.1
25.2
10
83%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
21.1
26.1
4
67%
8
1
0
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 38.5
19.2
28.1
18
84%
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
3-5
60%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.1
33.8
24.6
16
54%
6
1
1
1
2
5
3
3
2-4
50%
7-12
4-8
58%
46%
0-1
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.0
23.4
15.5
9
92%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 23.1
18.5
9.8
16
62%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
45%
2-4
50%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
18.1
8.8
4
86%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
18.1
18.9
4
50%
4
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 33.4
6.2
6.7
0
0%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.1
4.2
0
0-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.4
38.3
40.5
21
48%
5
3
1
2
1
3
1
4
6-7
86%
6-13
6-14
46%
44%
1-6
17%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.6
32.7
32.7
2
17%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
0-3
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.3
32.6
35.3
14
73%
9
0
1
1
0
3
2
7
4-6
67%
5-7
5-10
71%
50%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.1
21.8
24.5
9
43%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
43%
0-1
0%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.3
19.8
12.9
0
0%
4
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.5
29.1
31.7
8
50%
5
3
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-10
57%
44%
0-1
0%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
28.2
20.7
8
133%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.3
15.3
14.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-7
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
11.6
15.3
8
84%
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.1
6.8
4.6
7
70%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.3
3.8
1.6
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
1.6
0
0-0
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.