FinalWin Prob.pScore
2121%86
74
279%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
86.08686.2
SAS logo SAS
122.28180.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0GSWMISS Murphy 10' Jump Shot74
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:00GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02SASMISS Hart 12' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04SASHart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:06SASMISS Hart 17' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29SASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30GSWMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Hart 3' Driving Layup74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56GSWPietrus 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04SASWillis 3' Layup (16 PTS)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08SASMISS Ward 7' Jump Shot72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 172
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28GSWMurphy 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40SASRose 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02SASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04GSWMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35SASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37GSWMISS Murphy 16' Jump Shot70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56SASParker 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18GSWDunleavy 3' Layup (15 PTS)70
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32SASRose 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 12 AST)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53GSWMurphy 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03SASMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18GSWMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48SASGinobili 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52GSWNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31GSWDunleavy Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)65
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)65
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 6:39GSWMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 6:42GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 6:44GSWMISS Cheaney 15' Jump Shot65
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 7:03SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 7:13SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 7:15GSWMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 7:17GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 7:21GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 7:23GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)65
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 7:24GSWNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 7:46SASRose 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)65
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 7:56GSWBrown STEAL (1 STL)65
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 8:10GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 8:12SASMISS Brown 7' Layup65
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 8:30GSWRichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)65
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 8:45SASTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)65
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 8:58SASBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)65
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q4 - 8:59SASMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot65
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 9:12GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q4 - 9:12GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 9:20GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Willis 11' Jump Hook Shot63
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 9:37GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 9:37GSWMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 9:50SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)61
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q4 - 9:58GSWGinobili STEAL (2 STL)61
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q4 - 10:15SASWillis 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q4 - 10:35SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 10:37GSWMISS Bremer 5' Jump Shot61
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q4 - 11:01SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)61
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q4 - 11:23GSWDampier 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bremer 3 AST)61
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q4 - 11:28GSWWarriors Rebound59
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q4 - 11:30GSWMISS Bremer 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q4 - 11:37GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q4 - 11:38SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q4 - 11:38SASMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot59
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot59
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW59
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound59
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWMISS Dampier 46' 3PT Running Jump Shot59
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)59
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0GSWJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)59
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0GSWMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 258
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0GSWCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASMISS Willis 16' Jump Shot58
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0GSWCardinal 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup56
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 1:06GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 1:06GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 1:19SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 1:38SASSPURS Rebound54
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 1:40GSWMISS Dunleavy 22' Jump Shot54
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 1:49SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)54
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 2:06GSWDampier 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)54
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 2:29SASGinobili 5' Layup (7 PTS)52
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 2:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 2:36GSWMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup52
2.5%
65
97.5%
Q3 - 2:49SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 2:49SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)52
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 2:58GSWHorry STEAL (2 STL)52
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 3:04GSWJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 3:05SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 3:10SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 3:13SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup52
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 3:32GSWDunleavy Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)52
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 3:51GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 3:52SASMISS Nesterovic 3' Alley Oop Layup52
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 4:07GSWDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 4:07GSWMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 251
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 4:15GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 4:16GSWMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 4:44SASHorry 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)51
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 5:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 5:05GSWMISS Johnson 5' Running Jump Shot51
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q3 - 5:24SASRose 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)51
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 5:40SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 5:42GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
6.7%
59
93.3%
Q3 - 6:00SASNesterovic 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)51
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q3 - 6:15GSWRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)51
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 6:30GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q3 - 6:32SASMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot48
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 6:49GSWDunleavy 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)48
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q3 - 6:57GSWWarriors Rebound46
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 6:57GSWBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)46
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 7:03GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 7:06SASMISS Bowen 3' Reverse Layup46
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 7:22GSWRobinson 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)44
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 8:06GSWDunleavy 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q3 - 8:23SASBowen 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q3 - 8:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q3 - 8:36GSWMISS Dunleavy 4' Running Jump Shot42
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q3 - 8:56SASTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
5.3%
53
94.7%
Q3 - 9:17GSWRobinson 4' Driving Layup (14 PTS)42
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q3 - 9:33GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q3 - 9:35SASMISS Turkoglu 4' Jump Shot40
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q3 - 9:51SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)40
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q3 - 9:53SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 240
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q3 - 9:53SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q3 - 9:53SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q3 - 9:55SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot40
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q3 - 10:08GSWPietrus 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)40
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q3 - 10:17GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q3 - 10:19SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q3 - 10:19SASMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot38
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 10:21SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot38
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 10:40GSWRichardson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q3 - 10:58SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)36
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q3 - 11:04GSWTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)36
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q3 - 11:14GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot36
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q3 - 11:37GSWMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 136
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q3 - 11:37GSWRobinson 3' Layup (12 PTS)36
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS34
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 45' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)32
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)32
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 1:08GSWRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)32
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q2 - 1:28SASRose 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 1:49GSWRichardson 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)29
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 2:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 227
3.4%
42
96.6%
Q2 - 2:09SASJump Ball Horry vs. Murphy: Tip to Bowen27
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 2:28SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 2:28SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 227
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 2:28SASSPURS Rebound27
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 2:29SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot27
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 2:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 2:53GSWRose BLOCK (1 BLK)27
3.9%
41
96.1%
Q2 - 3:04SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 3:04SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 227
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 3:05SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 3:07SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot27
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q2 - 3:30GSWWarriors Rebound25
3.5%
40
96.5%
Q2 - 3:32GSWMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 125
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 3:32GSWDunleavy 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)25
3.5%
40
96.5%
Q2 - 3:32GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q2 - 3:35GSWNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)23
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q2 - 3:37GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q2 - 3:39GSWMISS Murphy 3' Layup23
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q2 - 3:55SASBowen 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)23
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 4:12GSWMurphy 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)23
3.7%
38
96.3%
Q2 - 4:29SASTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)21
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q2 - 4:58GSWDunleavy 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bremer 1 AST)21
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 5:03GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 5:06SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot19
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 5:18GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)19
3.3%
35
96.7%
Q2 - 5:18GSWWarriors Rebound19
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 5:18GSWMISS Bremer 20' Jump Shot19
3.5%
35
96.5%
Q2 - 5:45SASRose 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)19
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 5:58GSWGinobili STEAL (1 STL)19
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 6:00GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q2 - 6:01SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot19
4.7%
33
95.3%
Q2 - 6:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q2 - 6:17GSWMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot19
4.4%
33
95.6%
Q2 - 6:41SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q2 - 6:54GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
4.2%
33
95.8%
Q2 - 6:54GSWMurphy 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)19
4.2%
33
95.8%
Q2 - 6:58GSWMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot17
3.6%
33
96.4%
Q2 - 7:01GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 7:04GSWMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q2 - 7:06GSWWarriors Rebound17
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 7:07GSWWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)17
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q2 - 7:30SASWillis 12' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)17
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 7:57GSWWillis STEAL (2 STL)17
4.5%
31
95.5%
Q2 - 8:06GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw Technical17
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q2 - 8:22SASWillis 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)17
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q2 - 8:24SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
5.6%
29
94.4%
Q2 - 8:26SASMISS Brown 3' Driving Finger Roll17
6.1%
29
93.9%
Q2 - 8:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
5.6%
29
94.4%
Q2 - 8:40GSWMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 217
5.7%
29
94.3%
Q2 - 8:40GSWMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 217
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q2 - 8:49SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)17
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 8:49SASHorry 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)17
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q2 - 8:55SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q2 - 8:57SASMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot17
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q2 - 9:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
7.6%
26
92.4%
Q2 - 9:03GSWMISS Johnson 2' Layup17
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q2 - 9:19SASWillis Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)17
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 9:28SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q2 - 9:30GSWMISS Cardinal 4' Fadeaway Jumper17
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q2 - 9:44SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)17
10.1%
24
89.9%
Q2 - 10:01GSWRobinson 3' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)17
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q2 - 10:24SASWillis 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
10.2%
22
89.8%
Q2 - 10:32SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q2 - 10:34GSWMISS Cheaney 2' Layup15
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q2 - 10:35GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q2 - 10:38GSWMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q2 - 10:43GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q2 - 10:45GSWMISS Dunleavy 1' Running Layup15
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q2 - 11:03SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q2 - 11:37GSWDunleavy 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW13
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound13
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Cardinal 21' Jump Shot13
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)13
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0GSWCardinal 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASWillis 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 1:08GSWDunleavy 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 1:14SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 1:28GSWCardinal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
10.2%
15
89.8%
Q1 - 1:28GSWCardinal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 1:46GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)7
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 1:47SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup7
9.0%
15
91.0%
Q1 - 1:54GSWWillis STEAL (1 STL)7
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 1:59GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 2:01SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot7
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 2:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 2:16GSWMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot7
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 2:38SASBowen 3' Turnaround Finger Roll (4 PTS)7
9.3%
15
90.7%
Q1 - 2:56GSWRobinson 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 3:15SASWillis 2' Layup (2 PTS)5
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 3:16SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
10.1%
11
89.9%
Q1 - 3:17SASMISS Parker 3' Layup5
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 3:31GSWRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)5
10.1%
11
89.9%
Q1 - 3:51SASGinobili 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)5
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 3:54SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 3:56SASMISS Horry 9' Jump Shot5
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 4:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.7%
9
88.3%
Q1 - 4:09GSWMISS Cheaney 9' Jump Shot5
12.0%
9
88.0%
Q1 - 4:31SASHorry 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)5
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 4:51GSWFoyle Foul Turnover (P1.T5)5
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 5:14SASBowen Running Finger Roll (2 PTS)5
14.6%
7
85.4%
Q1 - 5:26SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)5
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 5:28GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
16.9%
5
83.1%
Q1 - 5:28GSWMISS Richardson 5' Jump Shot5
16.0%
5
84.0%
Q1 - 5:31GSWTurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)5
16.0%
5
84.0%
Q1 - 5:44GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
16.9%
5
83.1%
Q1 - 5:46SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot5
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 6:05GSWFoyle 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 6:24GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
14.5%
5
85.5%
Q1 - 6:26SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot3
14.2%
5
85.8%
Q1 - 6:45GSWRichardson Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)3
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 6:55GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
14.5%
5
85.5%
Q1 - 6:56GSWMISS Richardson 15' Fadeaway Jumper3
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 7:10GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Turkoglu 6' Fadeaway Jumper3
14.0%
5
86.0%
Q1 - 7:24SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)3
13.4%
5
86.6%
Q1 - 7:26GSWMISS Robinson 7' Jump Shot3
13.7%
5
86.3%
Q1 - 7:41GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 7:43SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot3
14.1%
5
85.9%
Q1 - 7:49SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
13.4%
5
86.6%
Q1 - 7:51GSWMISS Dampier 4' Hook Shot3
13.7%
5
86.3%
Q1 - 8:07GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.2%
5
85.8%
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 23
14.0%
5
86.0%
Q1 - 8:09SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 8:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 8:15GSWMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot3
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 8:26SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 8:28SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 8:32GSWMISS Robinson 8' Jump Bank Shot3
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 8:49GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
15.1%
4
84.9%
Q1 - 8:51SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 9:01GSWRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)3
13.9%
4
86.1%
Q1 - 9:25SASTurkoglu 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.4%
4
87.6%
Q1 - 9:43GSWRobinson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 9:44GSWWarriors Rebound0
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 9:45GSWMISS Richardson 13' Jump Shot0
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 10:05GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Nesterovic 2' Layup0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:10SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:22GSWTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:35GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 10:37SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:37SASMISS Turkoglu 3' Layup0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:39SASMISS Turkoglu 1' Running Layup0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:44GSWParker STEAL (1 STL)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 11:00SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:13SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 11:15GSWMISS Pietrus 10' Jump Shot0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:36GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:38SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Dampier: Tip to Turkoglu0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.82 41.1%
SAS
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
14
31
45%
SAS
15
29
52%
Midrange
GSW
11
28
39%
SAS
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
SAS
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
GSW
12
20
60%
SAS
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Robinson1950%9.5 / 19
M. Dunleavy1544%7.5 / 17
T. Murphy1354%6.5 / 12
J. Richardson831%4.0 / 13
E. Dampier660%3.0 / 5
B. Cardinal660%3.0 / 5
M. Pietrus450%2.0 / 4
A. Foyle2100%1.0 / 1
A. Johnson113%0.5 / 4
C. Cheaney0-0.0 / 3
J. Bremer0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Rose1765%8.5 / 13
M. Ginobili1667%8.0 / 12
K. Willis1673%8.0 / 11
T. Parker1359%6.5 / 11
R. Horry1372%6.5 / 9
B. Bowen1063%5.0 / 8
H. Turkoglu1045%5.0 / 11
R. Nesterovic425%2.0 / 8
D. Brown0-0.0 / 6
C. Ward0-0.0 / 1
J. Hart0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
68
+21
-18
89
SAS
74
+17
-7
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.82 41.1%
SAS
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
100.0
GSW 86.0 +36.2
SAS 122.2
Pace
91.7
91.3
GSW 86.2 +5.5
SAS 80.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.0
GSW 16.7 +1.1
SAS 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
47.3%
GSW 40.8%
SAS 51.8% +11.0%
TO %
15.2%
15.4%
GSW 18.3%
SAS 7.1% +11.2%
ORB %
28.4%
29.5%
GSW 31.0%
SAS 35.6% +4.6%
FTrt
31.1
32.2
GSW 26.3 +6.1
SAS 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
59.0%
GSW 44.8%
SAS 60.0% +15.2%
STL %
7.6%
8.8%
GSW 5.8%
SAS 13.6% +7.8%
BLK %
7.0%
9.9%
GSW 7.1%
SAS 10.2% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.1%
48.6%
GSW 41.1%
SAS 52.1% +11.0%
Rim FG%
57.2%
57.6%
GSW 45.2%
SAS 51.7% +6.5%
Mid FG%
38.0%
37.0%
GSW 39.3%
SAS 43.9% +4.6%
3P %
33.4%
35.8%
GSW 23.5%
SAS 50.0% +26.5%
FT %
72.5%
68.1%
GSW 60.0%
SAS 70.6% +10.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.8%
35.9%
GSW 40.8% +6.3%
SAS 34.5%
Mid Att. %
43.5%
46.4%
GSW 36.8% +12.0%
SAS 48.8%
3P Att. %
19.7%
17.7%
GSW 22.4% +5.7%
SAS 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsGSWSAS
Possessions8681
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points7499
Rebounds4245
Assists1324
Steals511
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (8)16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)29 (1)
Field Goals29-7640-84
At-the-Rim FG14-3115-29
Midrange FG11-2818-41
2-Point FG25-5933-70
3-Point FG4-177-14
Free Throws12-2012-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 230 · 23
39.0
15
44%
8
2
0
1
2
3
0
8
1-3
33%
7-12
58%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 23
34.8
8
31%
9
4
0
0
6
1
3
6
4-5
80%
2-9
22%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 37
33.0
19
50%
1
0
2
1
4
0
0
1
0-3
0%
5-9
56%
3-8
38%
C · 6'11" 265 · 29
24.5
6
60%
7
0
1
2
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 22
15.9
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 24
20.8
13
54%
9
1
0
0
1
2
4
5
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33
19.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 39
16.0
1
13%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
14.2
6
60%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
11.2
0
0%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 29
11.1
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 265 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
41%
42
13
5
5
18
0
13
29
12-20
60%
25-59
42%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.