Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 12, 2004

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	1	Kings	62%	100	81
	16	Trail Blazers	38%	96	83

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	92.0	88	93.5
POR	94.3	88	83.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+14

-15

POR

+17

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.93 46.6%

POR

0.91 45.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC		81 0%	83 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	81 3.5%	83 96.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0	SAC	MISS Christie 25' 3PT Jump Shot	81 3.2%	83 96.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	81 23.7%	83 76.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0	POR	MISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot	81 19.6%	83 80.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	81 13.2%	83 86.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0	POR	MISS Randolph 15' Jump Shot	81 23.3%	83 76.7%
Q4 - 1:09	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)	81 22.3%	83 77.7%
Q4 - 1:12	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (8 BLK)	81 26.9%	83 73.1%
Q4 - 1:17	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	81 38.0%	83 62.0%
Q4 - 1:18	SAC	MISS Webber Dunk	81 28.3%	83 71.7%
Q4 - 1:36	POR	Randolph 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)	81 41.4%	83 58.6%
Q4 - 2:02	SAC	Bibby Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)	81 52.9%	81 47.1%
Q4 - 2:16	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	79 46.3%	81 53.7%
Q4 - 2:18	POR	MISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot	79 41.3%	81 58.7%
Q4 - 2:34	SAC	Bibby Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)	79 30.4%	81 69.6%
Q4 - 2:42	POR	Stoudamire Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)	79 47.0%	81 53.0%
Q4 - 2:42	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	79 30.4%	81 69.6%
Q4 - 2:45	SAC	MISS Webber 17' Jump Shot	79 35.1%	81 64.9%
Q4 - 2:53	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	79 45.7%	81 54.3%
Q4 - 2:54	POR	MISS Stoudamire Reverse Layup	79 41.4%	81 58.6%
Q4 - 3:18	SAC	Webber 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)	79 31.8%	81 68.2%
Q4 - 3:26	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	77 27.1%	81 72.9%
Q4 - 3:27	POR	MISS Randolph 3' Jump Shot	77 23.4%	81 76.6%
Q4 - 3:28	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)	77 16.4%	81 83.6%
Q4 - 3:29	POR	MISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot	77 23.4%	81 76.6%
Q4 - 3:50	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	77 21.8%	81 78.2%
Q4 - 3:52	SAC	MISS Bibby 8' Jump Shot	77 23.8%	81 76.2%
Q4 - 4:16	POR	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	77 28.6%	81 71.4%
Q4 - 4:16	POR	Randolph Reverse Layup (14 PTS)	77 36.8%	80 63.2%
Q4 - 4:27	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	77 45.3%	78 54.7%
Q4 - 4:28	SAC	MISS Peeler 20' Jump Shot	77 48.4%	78 51.6%
Q4 - 4:47	SAC	Kings Rebound	77 55.3%	78 44.7%
Q4 - 4:51	POR	MISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot	77 52.2%	78 47.8%
Q4 - 5:11	SAC	Webber 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Peeler 3 AST)	77 47.9%	78 52.1%
Q4 - 5:34	POR	Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)	75 39.9%	78 60.1%
Q4 - 5:56	SAC	Peeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)	75 56.2%	75 43.8%
Q4 - 6:14	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	72 43.0%	75 57.0%
Q4 - 6:15	POR	MISS Randolph 12' Jump Shot	72 40.4%	75 59.6%
Q4 - 6:41	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	72 34.6%	75 65.4%
Q4 - 6:46	POR	MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot	72 40.2%	75 59.8%
Q4 - 7:11	SAC	Peeler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)	72 37.9%	75 62.1%
Q4 - 7:19	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	69 26.6%	75 73.4%
Q4 - 7:19	POR	Patterson Layup (8 PTS)	69 26.6%	75 73.4%
Q4 - 7:24	POR	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 36.4%	73 63.6%
Q4 - 7:37	SAC	Divac 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)	69 31.5%	73 68.5%
Q4 - 7:38	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	67 26.5%	73 73.5%
Q4 - 7:39	SAC	MISS Miller 14' Jump Shot	67 22.5%	73 77.5%
Q4 - 8:03	POR	Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	67 28.5%	73 71.5%
Q4 - 8:03	POR	Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	67 29.2%	72 70.8%
Q4 - 8:03	POR	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	67 33.9%	71 66.1%
Q4 - 8:05	POR	MISS Stoudamire 3PT Jump Shot	67 38.0%	71 62.0%
Q4 - 8:20	SAC	Peeler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)	67 33.8%	71 66.2%
Q4 - 8:40	POR	Randolph Dunk (12 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)	67 39.9%	71 60.1%
Q4 - 8:50	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	67 46.0%	69 54.0%
Q4 - 8:52	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot	67 48.0%	69 52.0%
Q4 - 9:05	SAC	Kings Rebound	67 53.8%	69 46.2%
Q4 - 9:07	POR	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	67 51.9%	69 48.1%
Q4 - 9:32	SAC	Divac 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stojakovic 5 AST)	67 47.4%	69 52.6%
Q4 - 9:46	SAC	Kings Rebound	65 41.7%	69 58.3%
Q4 - 9:48	POR	MISS Patterson 19' Jump Shot	65 39.8%	69 60.2%
Q4 - 10:13	SAC	Miller 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Peeler 2 AST)	65 36.9%	69 63.1%
Q4 - 10:25	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	63 32.2%	69 67.8%
Q4 - 10:27	POR	MISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot	63 30.6%	69 69.4%
Q4 - 10:55	SAC	Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Divac 2 AST)	63 27.0%	69 73.0%
Q4 - 11:03	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	60 20.4%	69 79.6%
Q4 - 11:05	POR	MISS Abdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot	60 19.3%	69 80.7%
Q4 - 11:22	SAC	Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)	60 16.9%	69 83.1%
Q4 - 11:39	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	58 14.2%	69 85.8%
Q4 - 11:41	POR	MISS Abdur-Rahim 11' Jump Shot	58 13.4%	69 86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC		58 11.6%	69 88.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	58 14.2%	69 85.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Miller 49' 3PT Jump Shot	58 12.3%	69 87.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	58 16.1%	69 83.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0	POR	MISS Stoudamire 14' Jump Shot	58 15.2%	69 84.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	58 13.4%	69 86.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0	SAC	Divac Tip Shot (5 PTS)	58 13.4%	69 86.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 9' Running Jump Shot	56 9.8%	69 90.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0	POR	Miles Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 2 AST)	56 11.1%	69 88.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0	SAC	Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)	56 13.3%	67 86.7%
Q3 - 1:17	POR	Patterson Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Anderson 7 AST)	53 10.7%	67 89.3%
Q3 - 1:21	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	53 12.7%	65 87.3%
Q3 - 1:22	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (7 BLK)	53 13.4%	65 86.6%
Q3 - 1:29	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 15.0%	65 85.0%
Q3 - 1:31	POR	MISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot	53 14.3%	65 85.7%
Q3 - 1:52	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	53 12.6%	65 87.4%
Q3 - 1:54	SAC	MISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot	53 13.3%	65 86.7%
Q3 - 2:09	POR	Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	53 16.4%	65 83.6%
Q3 - 2:09	POR	Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	53 16.8%	64 83.2%
Q3 - 2:26	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	53 18.8%	63 81.2%
Q3 - 2:27	SAC	MISS Divac Free Throw 2 of 2	53 19.2%	63 80.8%
Q3 - 2:27	SAC	Divac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	53 21.0%	63 79.0%
Q3 - 2:35	POR	Stoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)	52 19.1%	63 80.9%
Q3 - 2:39	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	52 16.1%	63 83.9%
Q3 - 2:41	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	52 17.0%	63 83.0%
Q3 - 2:51	POR	Ratliff Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)	52 19.0%	63 81.0%
Q3 - 2:58	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	52 16.1%	63 83.9%
Q3 - 3:00	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (6 BLK)	52 16.9%	63 83.1%
Q3 - 3:10	POR	Stoudamire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)	52 20.4%	63 79.6%
Q3 - 3:15	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52 17.5%	63 82.5%
Q3 - 3:16	SAC	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	52 18.3%	63 81.7%
Q3 - 3:18	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	52 20.4%	63 79.6%
Q3 - 3:20	SAC	MISS Miller 21' Jump Shot	52 18.3%	63 81.7%
Q3 - 3:31	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	52 20.3%	63 79.7%
Q3 - 3:32	POR	MISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot	52 19.4%	63 80.6%
Q3 - 3:52	SAC	Miller Layup (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 4 AST)	52 17.4%	63 82.6%
Q3 - 3:59	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	50 15.1%	63 84.9%
Q3 - 4:02	POR	MISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot	50 15.7%	63 84.3%
Q3 - 4:20	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	50 13.9%	63 86.1%
Q3 - 4:22	SAC	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	50 14.6%	63 85.4%
Q3 - 4:38	POR	Ratliff Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	50 16.4%	63 83.6%
Q3 - 4:38	POR	Ratliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	50 17.1%	62 82.9%
Q3 - 4:50	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	50 18.5%	61 81.5%
Q3 - 4:50	SAC	Miles BLOCK (1 BLK)	50 19.4%	61 80.6%
Q3 - 5:12	POR	Miles Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Anderson 6 AST)	50 22.9%	61 77.1%
Q3 - 5:16	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 25.7%	59 74.3%
Q3 - 5:18	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (5 BLK)	50 26.8%	59 73.2%
Q3 - 5:31	POR	Stoudamire Layup (17 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)	50 29.3%	59 70.7%
Q3 - 5:35	SAC	Stoudamire STEAL (2 STL)	50 32.5%	57 67.5%
Q3 - 5:46	POR	Randolph Reverse Layup (10 PTS)	50 36.6%	57 63.4%
Q3 - 5:49	SAC	Randolph STEAL (1 STL)	50 40.2%	55 59.8%
Q3 - 5:55	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 44.6%	55 55.4%
Q3 - 5:56	POR	MISS Miles Dunk	50 43.3%	55 56.7%
Q3 - 6:01	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	50 41.3%	55 58.7%
Q3 - 6:03	POR	MISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot	50 44.3%	55 55.7%
Q3 - 6:29	SAC	Webber 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	50 41.3%	55 58.7%
Q3 - 6:38	POR	Miles Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	48 37.7%	55 62.3%
Q3 - 6:38	POR	MISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 2	48 38.9%	54 61.1%
Q3 - 6:59	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	48 37.4%	54 62.6%
Q3 - 7:00	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2	48 38.0%	54 62.0%
Q3 - 7:00	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	48 40.9%	54 59.1%
Q3 - 7:15	POR	Randolph Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)	47 38.3%	54 61.7%
Q3 - 7:21	SAC	Anderson STEAL (2 STL)	47 41.5%	52 58.5%
Q3 - 7:39	POR	Randolph 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)	47 45.8%	52 54.2%
Q3 - 7:43	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	47 49.2%	50 50.8%
Q3 - 7:45	POR	Miles REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	47 49.2%	50 50.8%
Q3 - 7:45	POR	MISS Miles 8' Jump Shot	47 52.2%	50 47.8%
Q3 - 7:58	POR	MISS Miles Free Throw Clear Path	47 49.2%	50 50.8%
Q3 - 8:00	SAC	Miles STEAL (2 STL)	47 49.2%	50 50.8%
Q3 - 8:08	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	47 54.3%	50 45.7%
Q3 - 8:10	POR	MISS Anderson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot	47 52.9%	50 47.1%
Q3 - 8:33	SAC	Webber 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)	47 49.9%	50 50.1%
Q3 - 8:49	SAC	Kings Rebound	45 46.6%	50 53.4%
Q3 - 8:51	POR	MISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot	45 45.3%	50 54.7%
Q3 - 9:04	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	45 43.5%	50 56.5%
Q3 - 9:06	SAC	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	45 44.6%	50 55.4%
Q3 - 9:29	SAC	Kings Rebound	45 47.2%	50 52.8%
Q3 - 9:30	POR	MISS Randolph 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	45 46.0%	50 54.0%
Q3 - 9:38	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	45 43.4%	50 56.6%
Q3 - 9:40	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot	45 44.6%	50 55.4%
Q3 - 10:01	POR	Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)	45 48.4%	50 51.6%
Q3 - 10:07	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 55.1%	47 44.9%
Q3 - 10:09	SAC	MISS Christie 3PT Jump Shot	45 56.3%	47 43.7%
Q3 - 10:26	POR	Anderson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	45 58.9%	47 41.1%
Q3 - 10:44	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 61.9%	45 38.1%
Q3 - 10:45	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Layup	45 63.0%	45 37.0%
Q3 - 10:50	POR	Ratliff Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	45 65.5%	45 34.5%
Q3 - 11:07	SAC	Stojakovic 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)	45 62.7%	45 37.3%
Q3 - 11:21	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	43 59.5%	45 40.5%
Q3 - 11:23	POR	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	43 58.5%	45 41.5%
Q3 - 11:44	SAC	Webber 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)	43 56.0%	45 44.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC		41 52.7%	45 47.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	41 52.7%	45 47.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 19' Fadeaway Jumper	41 50.2%	45 49.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0	POR	Ratliff Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	41 52.8%	45 47.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0	SAC	Webber 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	41 50.5%	45 49.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0	POR	Stoudamire Layup (12 PTS) (Ratliff 1 AST)	39 46.2%	45 53.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39 50.4%	43 49.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (4 BLK)	39 51.2%	43 48.8%
Q2 - 1:14	POR	Patterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	39 52.9%	43 47.1%
Q2 - 1:35	SAC	Stojakovic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)	39 51.2%	43 48.8%
Q2 - 1:53	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	37 46.5%	43 53.5%
Q2 - 2:13	SAC	Christie 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	37 44.9%	43 55.1%
Q2 - 2:34	POR	Stoudamire Layup (10 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)	35 41.5%	43 58.5%
Q2 - 2:39	SAC	Anderson STEAL (1 STL)	35 44.9%	41 55.1%
Q2 - 2:54	POR	Miles Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)	35 47.6%	41 52.4%
Q2 - 2:58	SAC	Miles STEAL (1 STL)	35 51.1%	39 48.9%
Q2 - 3:00	SAC	Peeler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	35 53.9%	39 46.1%
Q2 - 3:01	SAC	MISS Webber 20' Jump Shot	35 52.7%	39 47.3%
Q2 - 3:23	POR	Stoudamire Driving Layup (8 PTS)	35 55.0%	39 45.0%
Q2 - 3:33	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	35 57.6%	37 42.4%
Q2 - 3:35	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (3 BLK)	35 58.6%	37 41.4%
Q2 - 3:48	SAC	Peeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	35 60.8%	37 39.2%
Q2 - 3:50	POR	MISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot	35 59.8%	37 40.2%
Q2 - 4:16	SAC	Buford 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	35 58.3%	37 41.7%
Q2 - 4:30	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 55.4%	37 44.6%
Q2 - 4:32	POR	MISS Ratliff Free Throw 2 of 2	33 55.0%	37 45.0%
Q2 - 4:32	POR	Ratliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	33 53.3%	37 46.7%
Q2 - 4:55	SAC	Buford Layup (2 PTS)	33 55.4%	36 44.6%
Q2 - 4:56	SAC	Buford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	31 52.5%	36 47.5%
Q2 - 4:58	SAC	MISS Buford 7' Jump Shot	31 50.5%	36 49.5%
Q2 - 5:00	SAC	Buford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	31 52.5%	36 47.5%
Q2 - 5:01	SAC	MISS Buford 7' Jump Shot	31 51.0%	36 49.0%
Q2 - 5:22	POR	Patterson Layup (4 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)	31 53.2%	36 46.8%
Q2 - 5:40	SAC	Miller Dunk (4 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)	31 55.7%	34 44.3%
Q2 - 5:42	SAC	Peeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	29 53.1%	34 46.9%
Q2 - 5:44	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (2 BLK)	29 51.0%	34 49.0%
Q2 - 5:48	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 53.1%	34 46.9%
Q2 - 5:51	POR	MISS Ratliff 10' Jump Shot	29 52.2%	34 47.8%
Q2 - 6:11	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	29 50.6%	34 49.4%
Q2 - 6:14	POR	MISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot	29 52.9%	34 47.1%
Q2 - 6:35	POR	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	29 50.6%	34 49.4%
Q2 - 6:36	SAC	MISS Christie Free Throw 2 of 2	29 51.0%	34 49.0%
Q2 - 6:36	SAC	Christie Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	29 53.0%	34 47.0%
Q2 - 6:39	POR	Abdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	28 51.1%	34 48.9%
Q2 - 7:01	SAC	Miller Layup (2 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)	28 49.1%	34 50.9%
Q2 - 7:09	POR	Cook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	26 46.6%	34 53.4%
Q2 - 7:14	SAC	Cook STEAL (1 STL)	26 43.8%	34 56.2%
Q2 - 7:29	POR	Anderson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	26 46.6%	34 53.4%
Q2 - 7:38	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 49.0%	32 51.0%
Q2 - 7:40	SAC	MISS Miller 22' Jump Shot	26 49.8%	32 50.2%
Q2 - 8:06	POR	Abdur-Rahim 13' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)	26 52.0%	32 48.0%
Q2 - 8:25	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	26 54.2%	30 45.8%
Q2 - 8:26	SAC	MISS Christie 19' Jump Shot	26 55.1%	30 44.9%
Q2 - 8:33	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 57.1%	30 42.9%
Q2 - 8:35	POR	MISS Patterson 8' Jump Shot	26 56.2%	30 43.8%
Q2 - 8:41	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 54.2%	30 45.8%
Q2 - 8:43	SAC	MISS Peeler 3PT Jump Shot	26 55.1%	30 44.9%
Q2 - 9:01	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	26 57.4%	30 42.6%
Q2 - 9:01	POR	Ratliff Tip Shot (8 PTS)	26 57.4%	30 42.6%
Q2 - 9:03	POR	MISS Abdur-Rahim 9' Jump Shot	26 61.5%	28 38.5%
Q2 - 9:11	SAC	Ratliff STEAL (2 STL)	26 59.6%	28 40.4%
Q2 - 9:26	POR	Cook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	26 62.2%	28 37.8%
Q2 - 9:29	SAC	Abdur-Rahim STEAL (1 STL)	26 59.6%	28 40.4%
Q2 - 9:42	POR	Abdur-Rahim 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)	26 62.2%	28 37.8%
Q2 - 9:55	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 64.3%	26 35.7%
Q2 - 9:56	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	26 65.1%	26 34.9%
Q2 - 9:59	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Free Throw Technical	26 66.9%	26 33.1%
Q2 - 10:13	POR	Abdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	26 66.7%	26 33.3%
Q2 - 10:13	POR	Abdur-Rahim Layup (2 PTS)	26 66.7%	26 33.3%
Q2 - 10:15	POR	MISS Ratliff 11' Jump Shot	26 70.2%	24 29.8%
Q2 - 10:25	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 68.6%	24 31.4%
Q2 - 10:26	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Layup	26 69.3%	24 30.7%
Q2 - 10:27	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	26 70.9%	24 29.1%
Q2 - 10:28	SAC	MISS Songaila Reverse Layup	26 69.3%	24 30.7%
Q2 - 10:47	POR	Patterson Dunk (2 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)	26 70.9%	24 29.1%
Q2 - 11:01	SAC	Stojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	26 72.7%	22 27.3%
Q2 - 11:13	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	26 74.6%	22 25.4%
Q2 - 11:37	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	26 72.7%	22 27.3%
Q2 - 11:40	SAC	MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot	26 73.3%	22 26.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		26 74.6%	22 25.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	26 72.7%	22 27.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Randolph 75' 3PT Jump Shot	26 74.0%	22 26.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	26 72.7%	22 27.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0	SAC	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	26 73.1%	22 26.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0	POR	Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	26 74.1%	22 25.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0	SAC	Bibby Layup (7 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)	26 76.3%	20 23.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	24 74.1%	20 25.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0	SAC	Stojakovic Driving Layup (8 PTS)	24 72.7%	20 27.3%
Q1 - 1:21	POR	Randolph 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)	22 70.3%	20 29.7%
Q1 - 1:22	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	22 72.7%	18 27.3%
Q1 - 1:23	POR	MISS Stoudamire Driving Finger Roll	22 73.7%	18 26.3%
Q1 - 1:39	SAC	Bibby Driving Layup (5 PTS)	22 72.7%	18 27.3%
Q1 - 1:43	SAC	Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 70.3%	18 29.7%
Q1 - 1:44	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	20 69.9%	18 30.1%
Q1 - 2:07	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 68.9%	18 31.1%
Q1 - 2:09	SAC	MISS Stojakovic Layup	20 69.5%	18 30.5%
Q1 - 2:31	SAC	Kings Rebound	20 70.7%	18 29.3%
Q1 - 2:33	POR	MISS Davis 3' Turnaround Jump Shot	20 70.2%	18 29.8%
Q1 - 2:44	SAC	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)	20 68.9%	18 31.1%
Q1 - 3:00	SAC	Kings Rebound	17 64.6%	18 35.4%
Q1 - 3:02	POR	MISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot	17 64.1%	18 35.9%
Q1 - 3:30	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	17 62.5%	18 37.5%
Q1 - 3:31	SAC	Ratliff BLOCK (1 BLK)	17 63.2%	18 36.8%
Q1 - 3:54	POR	Randolph 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	17 64.8%	18 35.2%
Q1 - 4:10	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	17 66.7%	16 33.3%
Q1 - 4:11	POR	MISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot	17 68.4%	16 31.6%
Q1 - 4:20	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	17 66.7%	16 33.3%
Q1 - 4:22	SAC	MISS Bibby 4' Jump Shot	17 67.4%	16 32.6%
Q1 - 4:27	SAC	Kings Rebound	17 69.0%	16 31.0%
Q1 - 4:28	SAC	MISS Divac 5' Hook Shot	17 67.4%	16 32.6%
Q1 - 4:42	POR	Miles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	17 69.0%	16 31.0%
Q1 - 4:42	POR	Miles Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)	17 69.0%	16 31.0%
Q1 - 4:43	POR	Miles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17 70.5%	14 29.5%
Q1 - 4:43	POR	MISS Miles Tip Shot	17 72.0%	14 28.0%
Q1 - 4:44	POR	MISS Stoudamire Layup	17 72.0%	14 28.0%
Q1 - 4:48	SAC	Stoudamire STEAL (1 STL)	17 70.5%	14 29.5%
Q1 - 4:52	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	17 72.7%	14 27.3%
Q1 - 4:54	SAC	MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot	17 71.2%	14 28.8%
Q1 - 5:12	POR	Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	17 72.5%	14 27.5%
Q1 - 5:45	SAC	Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)	17 74.0%	12 26.0%
Q1 - 6:12	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	14 70.5%	12 29.5%
Q1 - 6:12	POR	Ratliff Layup (6 PTS)	14 70.5%	12 29.5%
Q1 - 6:13	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	14 73.2%	10 26.8%
Q1 - 6:24	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 72.1%	10 27.9%
Q1 - 6:26	SAC	MISS Webber 16' Jump Shot	14 72.6%	10 27.4%
Q1 - 6:35	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 73.7%	10 26.3%
Q1 - 6:37	POR	MISS Randolph 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	14 73.2%	10 26.8%
Q1 - 6:47	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 72.1%	10 27.9%
Q1 - 6:49	SAC	MISS Webber 19' Jump Shot	14 72.6%	10 27.4%
Q1 - 7:00	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 73.7%	10 26.3%
Q1 - 7:01	POR	MISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot	14 73.0%	10 27.0%
Q1 - 7:15	SAC	Stojakovic Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)	14 71.8%	10 28.2%
Q1 - 7:26	POR	Stoudamire 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	14 73.5%	10 26.5%
Q1 - 7:36	SAC	Webber 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)	14 74.8%	8 25.2%
Q1 - 8:02	POR	Ratliff Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)	12 74.0%	8 26.0%
Q1 - 8:11	SAC	Christie Reverse Dunk (5 PTS)	12 75.2%	6 24.8%
Q1 - 8:15	POR	Stoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	10 74.0%	6 26.0%
Q1 - 8:28	SAC	Divac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	10 72.3%	6 27.7%
Q1 - 8:28	SAC	Divac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	9 71.8%	6 28.2%
Q1 - 8:42	POR	Ratliff Driving Dunk (2 PTS)	8 70.9%	6 29.1%
Q1 - 9:03	SAC	Christie 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	8 72.0%	4 28.0%
Q1 - 9:27	POR	Miles Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)	5 69.3%	4 30.7%
Q1 - 9:47	SAC	Ratliff STEAL (1 STL)	5 70.5%	2 29.5%
Q1 - 9:52	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 72.5%	2 27.5%
Q1 - 9:53	POR	MISS Randolph 16' Fadeaway Jumper	5 71.9%	2 28.1%
Q1 - 10:18	SAC	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	5 70.5%	2 29.5%
Q1 - 10:46	POR	Miles 21' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)	2 67.6%	2 32.4%
Q1 - 11:03	SAC	Webber 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	2 69.1%	0 30.9%
Q1 - 11:11	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 67.4%	0 32.6%
Q1 - 11:13	POR	MISS Randolph 15' Fadeaway Jumper	0 66.9%	0 33.1%
Q1 - 11:27	POR	Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 65.9%	0 34.1%
Q1 - 11:28	SAC	MISS Divac 7' Hook Bank Shot	0 66.4%	0 33.6%
Q1 - 11:39	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 67.4%	0 32.6%
Q1 - 11:42	POR	MISS Ratliff 4' Jump Shot	0 67.0%	0 33.0%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Ratliff vs. Divac: Tip to Anderson	0 65.9%	0 34.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.93 46.6%

POR

0.91 45.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

41%

POR

64%

Midrange

SAC

42%

POR

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

12.0

47%

71%

POR

3.0

17%

25%

Free Throws

SAC

56%

POR

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic	18	50%	9.0 / 18
C. Webber	16	50%	8.0 / 16
M. Bibby	12	40%	6.0 / 15
V. Divac	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Christie	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Miller	8	36%	4.0 / 11
A. Peeler	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Buford	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Songaila	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Stoudamire	20	45%	10.0 / 22
Z. Randolph	17	37%	8.5 / 23
D. Miles	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Ratliff	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Patterson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Abdur-Rahim	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Anderson	6	27%	3.0 / 11
D. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+14

-15

POR

+17

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.93 46.6%

POR

0.91 45.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	107.1 101.2	SAC 92.0 POR 94.3 +2.3
Pace	95.6 88.3	SAC 93.5 +10.4 POR 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14.2 16.9	SAC 15.4 +1.9 POR 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.7% 47.8%	SAC 47.5% +2.9% POR 44.6%
TO %	14.1% 15.4%	SAC 15.2% POR 13.7% +1.5%
ORB %	26.1% 31.2%	SAC 25.0% POR 37.5% +12.5%
FTrt	30.4 26.7	SAC 11.3 POR 14.5 +3.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	69.4% 61.0%	SAC 73.5% +20.7% POR 52.8%
STL %	9.0% 8.4%	SAC 10.2% POR 12.5% +2.3%
BLK %	5.7% 8.3%	SAC 5.6% POR 14.3% +8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.9% 48.8%	SAC 46.6% +1.0% POR 45.6%
Rim FG%	59.2% 56.9%	SAC 40.7% POR 63.9% +23.2%
Mid FG%	40.0% 39.4%	SAC 41.7% +10.3% POR 31.4%
3P %	40.1% 34.6%	SAC 47.1% +30.4% POR 16.7%
FT %	79.5% 73.1%	SAC 55.6% POR 75.0% +19.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.4% 35.6%	SAC 33.8% POR 43.4% +9.6%
Mid Att. %	45.3% 47.4%	SAC 45.0% POR 42.2% +2.8%
3P Att. %	22.3% 17.0%	SAC 21.3% +6.8% POR 14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Game Totals	SAC	POR
Possessions	88	88
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	81	83
Rebounds	36	48
Assists	25	19
Steals	9	11
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (7)	33 (2)
Field Goals	34-80	36-83
At-the-Rim FG	11-27	23-36
Midrange FG	15-36	11-35
2-Point FG	26-63	34-71
3-Point FG	8-17	2-12
Free Throws	5-9	9-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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1 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 26	40.8	12	40%	4	8	2	1	4	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	2-5	40%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 34	39.0	8	57%	1	3	3	0	3	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 27	38.3	18	50%	9	5	1	1	2	2	3	6	1-3	33%	4-12	33%	3-5	60%
Chris Webber F · 6'10" 245 · 31	33.4	16	50%	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Vlade Divac C · 7'1" 260 · 36	21.2	9	64%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Brad Miller C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28	34.5	8	36%	7	1	2	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Anthony Peeler G · 6'4" 208 · 34	19.5	6	60%	3	3	0	0	3	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Darius Songaila F · 6'9" 248 · 26	6.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rodney Buford F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26	6.4	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Tony Massenburg F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 22
Jabari Smith C · 6'11" 250 · 27
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	47%	36	25	9	4	15	0	11	25	5-9	56%	26-63	41%	8-17	47%

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1 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 26	40.8	12	40%	4	8	2	1	4	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	2-5	40%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 34	39.0	8	57%	1	3	3	0	3	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 27	38.3	18	50%	9	5	1	1	2	2	3	6	1-3	33%	4-12	33%	3-5	60%
Chris Webber F · 6'10" 245 · 31	33.4	16	50%	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Vlade Divac C · 7'1" 260 · 36	21.2	9	64%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Brad Miller C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28	34.5	8	36%	7	1	2	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Anthony Peeler G · 6'4" 208 · 34	19.5	6	60%	3	3	0	0	3	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Darius Songaila F · 6'9" 248 · 26	6.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rodney Buford F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26	6.4	4	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Tony Massenburg F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 22
Jabari Smith C · 6'11" 250 · 27
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	47%	36	25	9	4	15	0	11	25	5-9	56%	26-63	41%	8-17	47%

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16 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 31	44.6	20	45%	6	2	2	0	4	2	0	6	0-0	-	7-15	47%	2-7	29%
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 30	40.9	6	27%	6	7	2	0	0	3	0	6	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Theo Ratliff C · 6'10" 235 · 31	38.5	11	61%	11	1	2	8	3	1	4	7	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 23	37.2	17	37%	14	3	1	0	2	2	5	9	1-1	100%	8-21	38%	0-1	0%
Darius Miles F · 6'9" 235 · 22	32.8	13	65%	4	2	2	1	0	1	3	1	1-3	33%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Ruben Patterson F · 6'5" 223 · 29	22.7	8	67%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 27	14.5	8	57%	3	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Dale Davis C-F · 6'11" 252 · 35	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Omar Cook G · 6'1" 190 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dan Dickau G · 6'0" 180 · 25
Qyntel Woods F-G · 6'8" 220 · 23
Eddie Gill G · 6'0" 190 · 26
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	46%	48	19	11	9	13	0	15	33	9-12	75%	34-71	48%	2-12	17%

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Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE