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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 13, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers68%10188
29Bulls32%9581
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
38.9
36.7
16
37%
15
1
0
1
5
6
3
12
2-8
25%
7-18
9-15
39%
57%
0-0
-
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.6
38.7
20.8
10
40%
13
7
2
1
0
3
1
12
6-8
75%
2-9
3-6
22%
46%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.6
38.1
29.2
35
59%
8
3
2
1
1
5
2
6
10-11
91%
11-21
5-11
52%
47%
1-4
25%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
32.4
36.4
10
46%
4
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
48%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
21.1
20.2
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
17.9
13.5
2
53%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
15.6
14.9
4
37%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
14.9
26.1
4
52%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
14.4
14.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
4.2
9.2
3
150%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
3.8
17.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.7
7.9
0
1-2
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
42.7
36.0
15
45%
4
12
2
1
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
3-7
3-8
43%
40%
1-7
14%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.0
38.6
30.8
11
35%
4
6
3
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
44%
1-5
20%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
38.3
29.8
12
30%
10
0
1
0
0
1
4
6
2-4
50%
5-18
3-8
28%
41%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.3
23.8
25.2
16
61%
7
0
1
0
0
4
2
5
4-7
57%
6-10
6-11
60%
52%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
22.9
31.3
7
70%
2
0
2
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-8
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.4
33.9
25.9
10
48%
16
0
1
1
2
2
4
12
0-8
0%
5-7
2-5
71%
49%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.8
28.5
17.7
9
35%
6
0
1
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
4-12
3-7
33%
41%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.1
11.3
12.4
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.8
12.8
1
1-3
48%
Paul Shirley
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
9.2
0
1-3
42%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.7
7.2
0
1-1
39%
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
5.9
0
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.