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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 14, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nets53%9195
17Heat47%90104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.7
41.0
38.8
25
69%
3
2
0
1
0
4
1
2
4-5
80%
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.0
40.5
30.9
13
49%
5
7
3
1
0
4
0
5
3-3
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
43%
0-5
0%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
37.8
35.2
9
51%
3
2
1
2
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
34.3
27.1
13
67%
5
1
1
1
1
4
1
4
5-6
83%
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.7
24.8
10.4
14
71%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
2-5
40%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
23.7
17.6
10
63%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
43%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
15.8
19.3
3
150%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
1-1
100%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.4
11.8
17.6
6
77%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.7
10.2
6.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
28.8
1
5-11
49%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 33.8
3.9
0
0-1
41%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 21.5
3.9
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.0
40.1
21.2
18
59%
6
0
4
1
0
0
0
6
3-5
60%
6-12
3-7
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
36.8
34.5
15
53%
7
3
2
1
0
3
0
7
9-12
75%
3-8
5-11
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.4
35.9
34.8
23
74%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-8
63%
43%
4-7
57%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
34.0
22.1
7
60%
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.2
29.1
23.3
16
74%
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
45%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.6
31.0
37.8
13
65%
3
9
3
2
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
40%
3-4
75%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
25.2
31.7
7
39%
8
1
0
1
0
1
6
2
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
45%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
7.9
22.4
5
125%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.7
7.6
0
1-2
41%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.7
6.2
0
1-2
42%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.0
3.0
0
0-1
42%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.1
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.