FinalWin Prob.pScore
953%91
95
1747%90
104
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
104.49193.4
MIA logo MIA
113.09289.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0NJNJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0NJNRogers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:13NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 1:16NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:18NJNMISS Jefferson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot90
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:30MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)90
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:34NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:45MIAOdom Driving Layup (15 PTS)90
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 2:08NJNMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 2:32MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)90
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 2:54NJNKidd Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)90
9.1%
95
90.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)90
15.4%
95
84.6%
Q4 - 3:26NJNKittles 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rogers 3 AST)90
8.9%
95
91.1%
Q4 - 3:53MIAAlston 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 4:11NJNJefferson Driving Layup (20 PTS)87
9.0%
93
91.0%
Q4 - 4:29MIAOdom Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)85
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q4 - 4:35NJNGrant STEAL (1 STL)85
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q4 - 4:53MIAOdom 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)85
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 5:09NJNKittles Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
20.3%
89
79.7%
Q4 - 5:09NJNKittles Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
19.2%
89
80.8%
Q4 - 5:11NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
15.6%
89
84.4%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Butler Layup83
14.2%
89
85.8%
Q4 - 5:29NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 183
11.9%
89
88.1%
Q4 - 5:29NJNJefferson Layup (18 PTS)83
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q4 - 5:30NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
8.6%
89
91.4%
Q4 - 5:31NJNMISS Collins 5' Jump Shot81
6.9%
89
93.1%
Q4 - 5:49MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)81
8.5%
89
91.5%
Q4 - 6:09NJNKidd Layup (13 PTS)81
13.7%
87
86.3%
Q4 - 6:12NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q4 - 6:43MIAHEAT Rebound79
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 6:44NJNMISS Armstrong 6' Jump Shot79
8.7%
87
91.3%
Q4 - 7:08MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)79
13.3%
87
86.7%
Q4 - 7:34NJNJefferson 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Scalabrine 2 AST)79
20.2%
84
79.8%
Q4 - 7:46MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)77
16.6%
84
83.4%
Q4 - 8:11NJNCollins Dunk (13 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)77
14.8%
84
85.2%
Q4 - 8:32NJNNets Rebound75
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot75
11.0%
84
89.0%
Q4 - 8:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 8:44NJNMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot75
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q4 - 9:04NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
13.5%
84
86.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup75
12.6%
84
87.4%
Q4 - 9:35NJNScalabrine 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
10.7%
84
89.3%
Q4 - 9:50NJNArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot73
8.1%
84
91.9%
Q4 - 9:59MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 10:01NJNMISS Armstrong 20' Jump Shot73
8.5%
84
91.5%
Q4 - 10:15MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)73
9.9%
84
90.1%
Q4 - 10:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 10:22NJNMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot73
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q4 - 10:26NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot73
13.8%
82
86.2%
Q4 - 10:56NJNScalabrine 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rogers 2 AST)73
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q4 - 11:09MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T13)71
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q4 - 11:29NJNRogers Reverse Layup (14 PTS)71
8.7%
82
91.3%
Q4 - 11:42MIAAlston Driving Layup (11 PTS)69
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN69
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound69
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Kidd 46' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
12.0%
80
88.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 269
12.4%
79
87.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0NJNButler STEAL (4 STL)69
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAAlston Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T12)69
14.3%
79
85.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0NJNScalabrine 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)69
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 267
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)67
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot67
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q3 - 1:00NJNJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)67
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 264
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 1:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot64
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 1:36NJNJefferson Driving Layup (11 PTS)64
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 1:53MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)62
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 2:16NJNWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)62
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 2:22NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot60
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)60
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 2:52NJNMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot60
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q3 - 3:14MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)60
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q3 - 3:29NJNAlston STEAL (3 STL)60
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q3 - 3:33MIAButler Layup (14 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)60
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 3:38NJNAlston STEAL (2 STL)60
17.5%
69
82.5%
Q3 - 3:53MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
20.4%
69
79.6%
Q3 - 3:53MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 4:06NJNJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)60
24.1%
67
75.9%
Q3 - 4:21MIAButler Reverse Layup (12 PTS)57
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q3 - 4:44NJNScalabrine 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)57
21.0%
65
79.0%
Q3 - 4:59MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q3 - 5:07NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
17.0%
65
83.0%
Q3 - 5:07NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
16.5%
65
83.5%
Q3 - 5:14NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 5:15NJNMISS Kittles 15' Jump Shot53
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 5:22MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)53
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 5:25MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q3 - 5:27NJNMISS Scalabrine Layup53
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 5:54MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
14.8%
65
85.2%
Q3 - 6:04NJNCollins Foul Turnover (P4.T10)53
20.4%
62
79.6%
Q3 - 6:20MIAJones Layup (11 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)53
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q3 - 6:39NJNKidd 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
26.0%
60
74.0%
Q3 - 6:54MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)51
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 6:54MIAButler Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)51
26.2%
59
73.8%
Q3 - 6:59NJNAlston STEAL (1 STL)51
29.2%
57
70.8%
Q3 - 7:09NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
33.4%
57
66.6%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Odom 12' Turnaround Jump Shot51
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
29.5%
57
70.5%
Q3 - 7:23NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q3 - 7:30NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
33.4%
57
66.6%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot51
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 7:46NJNButler STEAL (3 STL)51
29.5%
57
70.5%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T9)51
34.1%
57
65.9%
Q3 - 8:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q3 - 8:15NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 251
30.8%
57
69.2%
Q3 - 8:15NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
32.9%
57
67.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q3 - 8:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q3 - 8:48NJNMISS Scalabrine 5' Hook Shot50
34.7%
55
65.3%
Q3 - 9:02NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 250
37.3%
55
62.7%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 250
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 9:24NJNRogers Driving Layup (12 PTS)50
34.3%
55
65.7%
Q3 - 9:36NJNNets Rebound48
31.2%
55
68.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot48
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 9:53NJNCollins 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kittles 2 AST)48
28.0%
55
72.0%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
27.0%
54
73.0%
Q3 - 10:09MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q3 - 10:11NJNMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
29.8%
53
70.2%
Q3 - 10:28NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
32.1%
53
67.9%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot46
31.1%
53
68.9%
Q3 - 10:47NJNCollins Dunk (8 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)46
28.7%
53
71.3%
Q3 - 10:50MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)44
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 10:52NJNOdom STEAL (2 STL)44
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q3 - 11:05MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
27.1%
53
72.9%
Q3 - 11:14MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 11:15NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q3 - 11:31MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
27.1%
53
72.9%
Q3 - 11:31MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
27.7%
52
72.3%
Q3 - 11:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q3 - 11:38NJNMISS Kittles 16' Jump Shot44
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
32.8%
51
67.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound44
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot44
31.9%
51
68.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0NJNHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)44
31.3%
51
68.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAButler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
28.4%
49
71.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)39
25.0%
49
75.0%
Q2 - 1:19NJNRogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)39
32.1%
46
67.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAOdom Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)36
25.5%
46
74.5%
Q2 - 1:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot36
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 2:14NJNRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q2 - 2:14NJNRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)34
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q2 - 2:45MIAHEAT Rebound34
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 2:46NJNMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot34
25.2%
44
74.8%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
28.2%
44
71.8%
Q2 - 3:35NJNWade STEAL (2 STL)34
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 3:52NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
33.2%
42
66.8%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot34
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 4:00NJNOdom STEAL (1 STL)34
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 4:15MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
33.8%
42
66.2%
Q2 - 4:15MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 4:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
36.4%
40
63.6%
Q2 - 4:31NJNMISS Kittles 3PT Jump Shot34
37.3%
40
62.7%
Q2 - 4:51NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot34
38.3%
40
61.7%
Q2 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound34
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 5:10NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
37.6%
40
62.4%
Q2 - 5:31MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)34
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
42.2%
38
57.8%
Q2 - 5:43NJNMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot34
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 6:10MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)34
45.8%
38
54.2%
Q2 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)34
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 6:21NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
48.9%
36
51.1%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)34
51.2%
36
48.8%
Q2 - 6:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot34
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)34
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot34
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 7:13NJNKidd 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
53.8%
34
46.2%
Q2 - 7:19NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
51.4%
34
48.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot32
50.5%
34
49.5%
Q2 - 7:47NJNScalabrine 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
48.5%
34
51.5%
Q2 - 8:11MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)30
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
48.4%
32
51.6%
Q2 - 8:19NJNMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
49.3%
32
50.7%
Q2 - 8:44MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)30
51.3%
32
48.7%
Q2 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
53.6%
30
46.4%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot30
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 9:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
53.6%
30
46.4%
Q2 - 9:02NJNMISS Scalabrine 3PT Jump Shot30
54.5%
30
45.5%
Q2 - 9:17MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 9:41NJNWilliams Dunk (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)30
58.6%
28
41.4%
Q2 - 9:56MIAHaslem 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 10:19NJNArmstrong 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)28
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 10:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 10:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
56.8%
25
43.2%
Q2 - 10:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q2 - 10:44NJNMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot26
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 10:49NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot26
60.3%
24
39.7%
Q2 - 11:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q2 - 11:08NJNMISS Kittles 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
59.1%
24
40.9%
Q2 - 11:21NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot26
60.0%
24
40.0%
Q2 - 11:42NJNKittles 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
58.4%
24
41.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJN24
56.0%
24
44.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
56.0%
24
44.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup24
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0NJNMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot24
55.0%
24
45.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0NJNMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot24
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)24
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q1 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup24
59.7%
22
40.3%
Q1 - 1:24NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 1:24NJNWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q1 - 1:38MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
55.6%
22
44.4%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 222
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q1 - 1:49NJNMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
56.7%
21
43.3%
Q1 - 2:01MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
58.3%
21
41.7%
Q1 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
57.7%
21
42.3%
Q1 - 2:26NJNKittles Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)22
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q1 - 2:41MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)20
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 2:59NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
58.5%
18
41.5%
Q1 - 2:59NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
58.0%
18
42.0%
Q1 - 3:11NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
56.1%
18
43.9%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot18
55.4%
18
44.6%
Q1 - 3:32NJNKidd Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)18
53.6%
18
46.4%
Q1 - 3:33NJNJefferson Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)17
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 3:51MIAJones Layup (7 PTS)15
49.4%
18
50.6%
Q1 - 4:12NJNRogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)15
51.4%
16
48.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 4:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
51.4%
13
48.6%
Q1 - 4:40NJNMISS Jefferson Driving Layup12
52.2%
13
47.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 212
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 4:58NJNButler STEAL (2 STL)12
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 5:19MIAButler Running Dunk (6 PTS)12
56.1%
12
43.9%
Q1 - 5:22NJNButler STEAL (1 STL)12
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 5:38MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)12
60.2%
10
39.8%
Q1 - 5:50NJNJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
63.6%
8
36.4%
Q1 - 6:25NJNRogers 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 6:47MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)10
59.8%
8
40.2%
Q1 - 7:06NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 7:06NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
60.9%
6
39.1%
Q1 - 7:21NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
59.7%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Jones 5' Turnaround Jump Shot8
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 7:46NJNJefferson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)8
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 7:59NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
55.9%
6
44.1%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot6
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 8:24MIAHEAT Rebound6
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 8:25NJNMISS Collins 13' Jump Shot6
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHaslem Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 8:53NJNWade STEAL (1 STL)6
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 9:09MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 9:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 9:17NJNMISS Rogers Layup6
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 9:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 9:38NJNKidd 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)6
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 10:01MIAJones 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
56.1%
4
43.9%
Q1 - 10:22NJNKidd 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:29MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 10:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 10:34NJNMISS Jefferson Driving Layup2
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 10:52MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 10:52MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
56.5%
1
43.5%
Q1 - 11:16NJNCollins 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 11:33NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Odom 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Collins: Tip to Butler0
54.2%
0
45.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.19 59.4%
MIA
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
15
21
71%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
NJN
13
26
50%
MIA
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
Free Throws
NJN
18
20
90%
MIA
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson2566%12.5 / 19
R. Rogers1470%7.0 / 10
J. Kidd1350%6.5 / 13
J. Collins1365%6.5 / 10
B. Scalabrine1063%5.0 / 8
K. Kittles950%4.5 / 9
A. Williams675%3.0 / 4
L. Harris3150%1.5 / 1
B. Armstrong225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2377%11.5 / 15
C. Butler1856%9.0 / 16
D. Wade1673%8.0 / 11
L. Odom1550%7.5 / 15
R. Alston1365%6.5 / 10
B. Grant758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem739%3.5 / 9
R. Butler5125%2.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
75
+4
-16
79
MIA
77
+10
-15
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.19 59.4%
MIA
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
97.9
99.3
NJN 104.4
MIA 113.0 +8.6
Pace
92.2
90.6
NJN 93.4 +3.7
MIA 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.0
NJN 15.4 +0.6
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
46.3%
NJN 56.6%
MIA 59.9% +3.3%
TO %
15.3%
14.4%
NJN 17.2%
MIA 16.3% +0.9%
ORB %
26.0%
27.5%
NJN 10.0%
MIA 28.1% +18.1%
FTrt
29.1
29.8
NJN 29.4
MIA 36.6 +7.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
71.4%
57.3%
NJN 54.3% +4.3%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
9.4%
7.9%
NJN 5.5%
MIA 13.0% +7.5%
BLK %
6.3%
6.3%
NJN 1.8% +1.8%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.9%
48.3%
NJN 59.4%
MIA 59.8% +0.4%
Rim FG%
57.5%
53.9%
NJN 71.4% +0.6%
MIA 70.8%
Mid FG%
37.9%
36.9%
NJN 50.0% +13.6%
MIA 36.4%
3P %
33.6%
35.7%
NJN 33.3%
MIA 64.3% +31.0%
FT %
75.3%
76.2%
NJN 90.0% +16.9%
MIA 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
34.4%
NJN 30.9%
MIA 33.8% +2.9%
Mid Att. %
46.6%
44.5%
NJN 38.2% +8.2%
MIA 46.5%
3P Att. %
17.6%
21.1%
NJN 30.9% +11.2%
MIA 19.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points95104
Rebounds2636
Assists1919
Steals512
Blocks10
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (1)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)27 (4)
Field Goals35-6838-71
At-the-Rim FG15-2117-24
Midrange FG13-2612-33
2-Point FG28-4729-57
3-Point FG7-219-14
Free Throws18-2019-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 24
41.0
25
66%
3
2
0
0
4
4
1
2
4-5
80%
6-12
50%
3-4
75%
G · 6'4" 210 · 31
40.5
13
50%
5
7
3
0
4
0
0
5
3-3
100%
5-7
71%
0-5
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
37.8
9
50%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
34.3
13
65%
5
1
1
1
4
3
1
4
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 270 · 33
24.8
14
70%
4
3
0
0
2
5
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
23.7
10
63%
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
15.8
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32
11.8
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
10.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
G · 6'5" 183 · 34
· 6'7" 195 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
59%
26
19
5
1
16
0
3
23
18-20
90%
28-47
60%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.