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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 15, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs61%9380
24Warriors39%9097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
43.8
34.4
29
60%
5
6
1
1
0
2
1
4
11-12
92%
9-18
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
39.2
32.1
6
38%
7
3
0
1
3
0
1
6
0-2
0%
3-7
5-11
43%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
31.5
34.2
7
44%
3
1
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.3
24.5
28.5
6
38%
4
2
0
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-10
29%
45%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.8
18.8
27.3
2
26%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
25.2
16.8
7
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
24.6
26.4
16
71%
1
0
0
2
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
21.1
13.6
4
20%
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-2
0%
2-8
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.5
7.1
10.8
3
80%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
4.2
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
8.7
0
2-5
50%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.9
4.0
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.2
40.9
29.5
9
42%
4
6
0
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
1-6
2-6
17%
40%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
39.6
32.8
19
68%
5
4
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
3-3
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
37.0
34.8
22
51%
4
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
5-8
63%
4-13
6-13
31%
45%
3-5
60%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
34.7
13.0
9
64%
7
2
2
0
2
0
4
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
36%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.7
33.2
31.3
16
82%
11
1
1
0
2
2
2
9
4-4
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
49%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.7
16.6
23.1
11
95%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-4
3-6
100%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 23.9
16.1
22.3
4
30%
6
0
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
43%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 39.0
16.1
16.0
7
40%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
3-7
2-5
43%
40%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.0
5.8
10.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
15.1
0
1-3
33%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
13.1
1
1-3
45%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.7
1.2
0
0-0
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.