FinalWin Prob.pScore
661%93
80
2439%90
97
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.18588.2
GSW logo GSW
114.18582.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW80
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)80
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)79
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0GSWDampier Tip Shot (16 PTS)78
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0GSWMISS Richardson Layup78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Richardson 4' Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0GSWRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0GSWRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0SASMISS Ginobili Dunk78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SASTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37GSWDunleavy 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 276
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:03GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)76
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 2:03GSWDampier Tip Shot (14 PTS)76
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 2:05GSWMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot76
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 2:23GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Hook Shot76
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 2:27SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:29SASPietrus BLOCK (2 BLK)76
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 2:48GSWPietrus 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)76
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 3:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 3:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 3:22SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 3:23GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 274
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 3:23GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)74
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 3:44SASGinobili Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)74
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 3:56GSWRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 3:56GSWRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 4:19SASNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)72
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 4:37GSWDunleavy Driving Layup (17 PTS)70
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 5:03SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)70
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q4 - 5:21GSWDunleavy Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)67
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 5:39SASParker 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)67
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 5:53GSWRichardson Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Robinson 6 AST)65
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 6:15SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)65
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 6:40GSWPietrus Layup (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)62
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 7:01SASParker Driving Layup (25 PTS)62
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q4 - 7:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 7:08GSWMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 7:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)60
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 7:22SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)59
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 7:38GSWRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)58
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 7:53SASGinobili Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)58
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q4 - 8:09GSWRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)58
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 8:11GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q4 - 8:12GSWMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot58
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 8:34GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q4 - 8:36SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot58
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q4 - 8:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q4 - 8:48GSWMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q4 - 9:14GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q4 - 9:16SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q4 - 9:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q4 - 9:26GSWMISS Richardson 18' Fadeaway Jumper58
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q4 - 9:39GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q4 - 9:41SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot58
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q4 - 9:55GSWDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)58
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q4 - 10:08GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot58
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q4 - 10:26GSWRichardson 3' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)58
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q4 - 10:35GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q4 - 10:37SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot58
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q4 - 10:42SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
15.6%
68
84.4%
Q4 - 10:45GSWMISS Murphy 4' Jump Shot58
14.7%
68
85.3%
Q4 - 11:10SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (21 PTS)58
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q4 - 11:19SASSpurs Rebound56
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q4 - 11:20SASPietrus BLOCK (1 BLK)56
10.0%
68
90.0%
Q4 - 11:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q4 - 11:25GSWMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot56
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q4 - 11:46GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q4 - 11:48SASMISS Ginobili 2' Alley Oop Layup56
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW56
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound56
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Richardson 48' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASHorry 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)56
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot54
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0GSWMISS Cheaney Free Throw 2 of 254
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0GSWCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASParker 3' Turnaround Finger Roll (19 PTS)54
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 252
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 1:10SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)52
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 1:10SASGinobili 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 1:27GSWCheaney 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Robinson 5 AST)49
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 1:43GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot49
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 2:03SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
9.9%
64
90.1%
Q3 - 2:04GSWMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 249
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 2:04GSWMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 249
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 2:30SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)49
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 2:45GSWCheaney Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)47
6.9%
64
93.1%
Q3 - 2:54GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)47
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 2:56SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot47
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 3:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
10.8%
62
89.2%
Q3 - 3:11GSWMISS Dunleavy 16' Turnaround Jump Shot47
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q3 - 3:40SASBrown Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)47
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q3 - 3:54GSWDampier Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)45
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 4:07GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 4:09SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot45
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 4:15SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q3 - 4:17GSWMISS Johnson 4' Driving Hook Shot45
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 4:43SASRose 4' Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)45
9.9%
60
90.1%
Q3 - 5:05GSWCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q3 - 5:05GSWCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 5:08GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q3 - 5:10GSWMISS Richardson 5' Jump Shot43
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q3 - 5:21GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q3 - 5:23SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot43
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q3 - 5:33SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 5:35GSWMISS Dampier 14' Jump Shot43
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q3 - 5:52SASRose 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)43
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q3 - 6:10GSWCheaney 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q3 - 6:11GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 6:13GSWMISS Richardson 4' Jump Hook Shot41
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 6:28SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)41
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 6:39SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
9.1%
56
90.9%
Q3 - 6:41GSWMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot38
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q3 - 7:02GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q3 - 7:04SASMISS Brown 3' Running Layup38
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q3 - 7:16GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 7:16GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 238
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q3 - 7:35SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q3 - 7:35SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 237
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q3 - 7:37SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q3 - 7:40SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot37
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q3 - 7:52GSWRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)37
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q3 - 7:55GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q3 - 7:57SASRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)37
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q3 - 7:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q3 - 8:01SASDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)37
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q3 - 8:17GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q3 - 8:17GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
11.0%
54
89.0%
Q3 - 8:31SASBowen Foul Turnover (P2.T10)37
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 8:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q3 - 8:44GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q3 - 8:58SASTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)37
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 9:00SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q3 - 9:02GSWMISS Dunleavy 3' Layup37
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 9:18GSWWARRIORS Rebound37
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q3 - 9:19SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot37
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q3 - 9:38GSWDampier 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)37
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q3 - 10:05SASParker 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
17.8%
51
82.2%
Q3 - 10:31GSWRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)35
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q3 - 10:36GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q3 - 10:39GSWMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot35
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q3 - 10:56SASParker Driving Layup (13 PTS)35
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q3 - 11:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q3 - 11:04GSWMISS Dunleavy 8' Jump Shot33
18.5%
48
81.5%
Q3 - 11:21GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot33
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q3 - 11:41GSWDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)33
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS33
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Richardson 4' Jump Shot33
25.4%
45
74.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASBrown 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)33
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0GSWPietrus Layup (4 PTS)31
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0GSWMISS Dunleavy 15' Fadeaway Jumper31
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)31
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)30
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 1:03GSWDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)29
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q2 - 1:20SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
29.2%
40
70.8%
Q2 - 1:20SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
28.5%
40
71.5%
Q2 - 1:24GSWDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)27
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 1:26GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
24.1%
40
75.9%
Q2 - 1:28SASMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot27
24.5%
40
75.5%
Q2 - 1:45GSWDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)27
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 1:58SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)27
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 1:58SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
31.2%
37
68.8%
Q2 - 2:00GSWDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)25
27.9%
37
72.1%
Q2 - 2:05GSWRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
27.1%
37
72.9%
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 45' 3PT Jump Shot25
27.8%
37
72.2%
Q2 - 2:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
29.5%
37
70.5%
Q2 - 2:13SASDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)25
27.8%
37
72.2%
Q2 - 2:35SASSpurs Rebound25
29.4%
37
70.6%
Q2 - 2:37GSWMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 2:57GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
27.1%
37
72.9%
Q2 - 2:59SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot25
27.7%
37
72.3%
Q2 - 3:17GSWRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)25
31.2%
37
68.8%
Q2 - 3:30SASRose Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)25
36.2%
34
63.8%
Q2 - 3:46GSWDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
39.3%
34
60.7%
Q2 - 3:46GSWDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
40.1%
33
59.9%
Q2 - 3:55SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
41.9%
32
58.1%
Q2 - 3:55SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
41.2%
32
58.8%
Q2 - 4:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.3%
32
59.7%
Q2 - 4:10GSWMISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot23
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 4:19GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.6%
32
62.4%
Q2 - 4:21SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot23
38.4%
32
61.6%
Q2 - 4:35GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
40.3%
32
59.7%
Q2 - 4:35GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
41.0%
31
59.0%
Q2 - 5:06SASParker Driving Layup (5 PTS)23
43.6%
30
56.4%
Q2 - 5:15SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q2 - 5:17GSWMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot21
40.2%
30
59.8%
Q2 - 5:26SASPietrus STEAL (2 STL)21
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 5:39SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q2 - 5:40GSWMISS Murphy 2' Reverse Layup21
40.1%
30
59.9%
Q2 - 6:07SASParker 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 6:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.9%
30
63.1%
Q2 - 6:22GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
33.8%
30
66.2%
Q2 - 6:22GSWMISS Pietrus Tip Shot19
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q2 - 6:24GSWMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot19
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q2 - 6:37GSWMurphy Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)19
33.8%
30
66.2%
Q2 - 6:46GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 6:48SASMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot19
37.2%
29
62.8%
Q2 - 7:11GSWMurphy 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)19
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q2 - 7:21GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 7:23GSWMISS Murphy 16' Jump Shot19
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q2 - 7:38SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)19
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 7:47GSWCheaney 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q2 - 8:12SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 8:12SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
42.5%
27
57.5%
Q2 - 8:31SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
40.8%
27
59.2%
Q2 - 8:33GSWMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot17
40.0%
27
60.0%
Q2 - 9:01SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
38.9%
27
61.1%
Q2 - 9:01SASWillis Tip Shot (3 PTS)17
38.9%
27
61.1%
Q2 - 9:02SASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 215
34.6%
27
65.4%
Q2 - 9:02SASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 215
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q2 - 9:02SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q2 - 9:03SASFoyle BLOCK (1 BLK)15
35.0%
27
65.0%
Q2 - 9:23GSWJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q2 - 9:23GSWMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 215
37.2%
26
62.8%
Q2 - 9:36SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q2 - 9:36SASMISS Willis Free Throw 1 of 214
35.7%
26
64.3%
Q2 - 9:53GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 114
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q2 - 9:53GSWMurphy 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 10:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
39.0%
24
61.0%
Q2 - 10:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 213
38.4%
24
61.6%
Q2 - 10:17GSWCheaney Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q2 - 10:23GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q2 - 10:26SASMISS Brown 11' Jump Shot13
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q2 - 10:40GSWMurphy Foul Turnover (P1.T4)13
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q2 - 10:58GSWCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q2 - 11:00SASMISS Brown 13' Turnaround Jump Shot13
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q2 - 11:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q2 - 11:12GSWMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot13
39.1%
24
60.9%
Q2 - 11:26GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
37.5%
24
62.5%
Q2 - 11:28SASMISS Bowen 6' Jump Shot13
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q2 - 11:43GSWJohnson 4' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)13
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW13
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound13
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ward 10' Jump Shot13
42.8%
22
57.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0GSWDampier Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
44.5%
22
55.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0GSWJohnson 5' Running Finger Roll (4 PTS)11
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMISS Horry 12' Jump Shot11
48.0%
18
52.0%
Q1 - 1:06GSWJohnson 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
49.4%
18
50.6%
Q1 - 1:24SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
52.3%
16
47.7%
Q1 - 1:24SASHorry Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
52.3%
16
47.7%
Q1 - 1:26SASMISS Horry 3' Layup9
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 1:37SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 1:39SASMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot9
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 1:51SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 1:53GSWMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
48.8%
16
51.2%
Q1 - 2:20SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)9
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 2:41GSWRobinson 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)7
45.4%
16
54.6%
Q1 - 2:54GSWWARRIORS Rebound7
47.9%
14
52.1%
Q1 - 2:56GSWMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot7
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 3:22SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T5)7
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 3:32SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 3:34GSWMISS Richardson 3' Reverse Layup7
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 3:46GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 3:48SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
49.1%
14
50.9%
Q1 - 3:58GSWDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)7
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 4:12SASPietrus STEAL (1 STL)7
48.8%
14
51.2%
Q1 - 4:33GSWDunleavy 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)7
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 4:48GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 4:50SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot7
54.0%
12
46.0%
Q1 - 5:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
56.4%
12
43.6%
Q1 - 5:08GSWMISS Robinson 16' Fadeaway Jumper7
55.7%
12
44.3%
Q1 - 5:32SASGinobili 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)7
54.1%
12
45.9%
Q1 - 5:54GSWDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
52.2%
12
47.8%
Q1 - 5:54GSWDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 5:58SASDampier STEAL (1 STL)5
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 6:11SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
56.6%
10
43.4%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot5
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 6:34GSWDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)5
56.6%
10
43.4%
Q1 - 6:53GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
58.5%
8
41.5%
Q1 - 6:55SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot5
59.1%
8
40.9%
Q1 - 7:10GSWRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 7:20GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 7:22GSWMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot5
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 7:44SASTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)5
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 7:50SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 7:52GSWMISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot5
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 8:15SASTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)5
59.6%
8
40.4%
Q1 - 8:29GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 8:55SASTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 9:18GSWPietrus Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)2
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 9:34SASNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
57.5%
6
42.5%
Q1 - 9:45GSWRichardson 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)0
56.1%
6
43.9%
Q1 - 10:00GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
57.5%
4
42.5%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot0
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 10:19SASSpurs Rebound0
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 10:22SASMISS Turkoglu 16' Fadeaway Jumper0
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 10:34GSWRichardson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 10:57GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 10:59SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot0
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 11:24GSWDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)0
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 11:38GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Rose 16' Turnaround Jump Shot0
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Dampier vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Turkoglu0
66.5%
0
33.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.5%
GSW
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
26
50%
GSW
15
29
52%
Midrange
SAS
10
33
30%
GSW
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
GSW
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
SAS
22
29
76%
GSW
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2958%14.5 / 25
M. Ginobili1667%8.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu744%3.5 / 8
R. Horry750%3.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic638%3.0 / 8
M. Rose638%3.0 / 8
D. Brown420%2.0 / 10
K. Willis375%1.5 / 2
B. Bowen225%1.0 / 4
C. Ward0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2252%11.0 / 21
M. Dunleavy1968%9.5 / 14
E. Dampier1680%8.0 / 10
C. Cheaney1192%5.5 / 6
C. Robinson941%4.5 / 11
M. Pietrus964%4.5 / 7
A. Johnson739%3.5 / 9
T. Murphy429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
73
+12
-12
85
GSW
75
+13
-10
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.5%
GSW
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
100.9
SAS 94.1 +20.0
GSW 114.1
Pace
91.3
91.7
SAS 88.2 +6.3
GSW 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.8
SAS 16.3 +1.2
GSW 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
47.5%
SAS 41.4%
GSW 53.5% +12.1%
TO %
15.4%
15.2%
SAS 12.7%
GSW 11.6% +1.1%
ORB %
29.5%
28.4%
SAS 24.4%
GSW 28.9% +4.5%
FTrt
32.2
31.1
SAS 41.4
GSW 42.3 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
58.5%
SAS 51.9%
GSW 61.8% +9.9%
STL %
8.8%
7.6%
SAS 5.9% +2.4%
GSW 3.5%
BLK %
9.9%
7.0%
SAS 8.8%
GSW 10.2% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
49.1%
SAS 46.5%
GSW 53.9% +7.4%
Rim FG%
57.6%
57.2%
SAS 50.0%
GSW 51.7% +1.7%
Mid FG%
37.0%
38.0%
SAS 30.3%
GSW 39.3% +9.0%
3P %
35.8%
33.4%
SAS 36.4%
GSW 57.1% +20.7%
FT %
68.1%
72.5%
SAS 75.9% +5.9%
GSW 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
36.8%
SAS 37.1%
GSW 40.8% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
43.5%
SAS 47.1%
GSW 39.4% +7.7%
3P Att. %
17.7%
19.7%
SAS 15.7%
GSW 19.7% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASGSW
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8097
Rebounds3742
Assists1421
Steals53
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals27-7034-71
At-the-Rim FG13-2615-29
Midrange FG10-3311-28
2-Point FG23-5926-57
3-Point FG4-118-14
Free Throws22-2921-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
43.8
29
58%
5
6
1
0
2
3
1
4
11-12
92%
9-18
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
39.2
6
38%
7
3
0
3
0
2
1
6
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'10" 220 · 25
31.5
7
44%
3
1
2
0
3
5
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
24.5
6
38%
4
2
0
0
2
4
3
1
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
18.8
2
25%
1
0
1
1
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
25.2
7
50%
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
24.6
16
67%
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
21.1
4
20%
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42
7.1
3
75%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
37
14
5
5
12
0
10
27
22-29
76%
23-59
39%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.