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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 15, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic15%98110
2Lakers85%111113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.9
48.3
31.6
18
51%
6
4
0
1
0
0
4
2
2-4
50%
8-14
4-9
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24.8
47.8
38.9
37
50%
7
10
0
2
2
2
2
5
7-12
58%
9-19
7-16
47%
45%
4-13
31%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.1
42.7
34.1
29
66%
9
2
1
1
1
4
2
7
5-9
56%
12-18
6-14
67%
43%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
27.1
35.6
8
40%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.1
26.3
24.4
4
67%
8
4
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
33.3
17.2
6
77%
8
1
1
0
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Sean Rooks
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.5
21.6
12.0
6
77%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
38%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 22.5
11.5
14.1
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.1
4.0
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Britton Johnsen
F · 6'10" 210 · 24.7
2.5
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
11.8
0
1-2
49%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
7.3
0
1-2
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
46.6
36.7
27
54%
23
3
0
1
5
1
12
11
9-18
50%
9-17
9-15
53%
59%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.6
44.6
31.7
38
60%
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
10-13
77%
11-21
6-13
52%
49%
2-5
40%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.6
44.3
28.4
9
39%
8
4
0
1
2
0
1
7
3-8
38%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
39.3
34.3
12
43%
9
1
2
1
0
1
4
5
1-2
50%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
18.3
20.3
4
67%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
24.9
15.2
11
65%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
45%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
13.7
22.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
12.5
15.0
3
39%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
8.3
12.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
6.8
14.7
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
5.8
7.6
7
45%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
1-1
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.7
6.3
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.