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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 16, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Kings55%9977
10Nets45%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
39.1
38.2
17
49%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.8
32.0
38.7
11
51%
7
3
2
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.9
31.3
38.8
0
0%
6
1
1
2
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
27.1
29.9
15
37%
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
5-8
63%
5-17
7-16
29%
45%
0-0
-
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.1
19.4
22.3
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.9
26.0
32.1
12
61%
6
4
2
1
0
2
4
2
1-2
50%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.3
23.7
18.5
4
40%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.1
15.6
6.6
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
12.4
5.6
4
40%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
40%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
7.6
3.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
5.8
2.5
6
60%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
3.0
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
40.0
35.6
24
71%
9
5
2
2
0
2
0
9
0-0
-
9-13
4-9
69%
49%
2-4
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.7
38.4
38.9
19
50%
0
3
0
1
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
7-15
6-13
47%
51%
1-3
33%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
33.0
29.7
6
53%
10
3
2
1
4
2
4
6
4-6
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.0
32.6
34.6
4
33%
8
13
0
2
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
25.5
19.3
8
45%
6
3
2
1
1
4
0
6
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.7
24.2
16.6
20
91%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
4-6
67%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
17.9
18.1
9
45%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
42%
1-2
50%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.5
12.4
15.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
8.0
19.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 33.8
3.7
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.7
2.2
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 21.5
2.2
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.