FinalWin Prob.pScore
1345%92
83
1755%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
95.48786.4
MIA logo MIA
107.98989.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0NOHMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0NOHWade STEAL (6 STL)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23NOHWest Dunk (4 PTS)83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25NOHMISS Davis Layup81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:08NOHWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 2:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)79
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 2:51NOHWest Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)79
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 3:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:17NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29NOHWade STEAL (5 STL)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 3:50MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 3:51NOHMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Alston 2' Tip Shot77
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:58MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot77
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 4:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 4:16NOHMISS West Tip Shot77
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 4:17NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 4:18NOHMISS West Layup77
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 4:31NOHHornets Rebound77
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Haslem Layup77
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 4:36MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 4:39NOHMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 5:19MIAJones Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)77
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 5:19NOHTraylor Foul Turnover (P4.T18)77
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 5:34MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)77
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 5:55NOHArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)77
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 5:59NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot74
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 6:20NOHTraylor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T17)74
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 6:28NOHHornets Rebound74
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 6:29NOHMISS Augmon 5' Jump Shot74
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 174
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 6:47MIAAlston 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 7:04NOHAugmon Layup (10 PTS)74
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q4 - 7:08NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)72
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 7:11NOHButler BLOCK (1 BLK)72
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 7:14NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 7:16NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q4 - 7:40NOHTraylor Foul Turnover (P2.T16)72
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q4 - 7:40NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot72
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q4 - 7:53NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)72
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q4 - 7:53NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q4 - 7:54NOHMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)72
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q4 - 8:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 8:37NOHJones BLOCK (3 BLK)72
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q4 - 8:56MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T12)72
17.0%
78
83.0%
Q4 - 9:17NOHArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)72
14.9%
78
85.1%
Q4 - 9:35MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)69
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 9:50NOHDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
12.0%
76
88.0%
Q4 - 10:18MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
8.8%
76
91.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q4 - 10:27NOHHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)66
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q4 - 10:42MIAAlston Foul Turnover (P1.T11)66
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q4 - 10:45NOHTraylor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)66
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q4 - 11:05MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
16.8%
73
83.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
23.6%
70
76.4%
Q4 - 11:28NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 2 of 266
24.1%
70
75.9%
Q4 - 11:28NOHTraylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
26.2%
70
73.8%
Q4 - 11:28NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q4 - 11:28NOHMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T10)65
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
19.9%
70
80.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)65
19.9%
70
80.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWade Dunk (17 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)62
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
20.0%
68
80.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot62
19.9%
68
80.1%
Q3 - 1:14NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)62
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 1:28MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 1:43NOHArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 1:58MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 2:05NOHMISS Augmon 7' Jump Shot56
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 2:25NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 2:28NOHMISS Augmon 18' Jump Shot56
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 2:51MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)56
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 2:51MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 3:08MIAHEAT Rebound56
15.0%
64
85.0%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
16.7%
64
83.3%
Q3 - 3:25NOHDavis 12' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)56
14.9%
64
85.1%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
13.2%
63
86.8%
Q3 - 3:59NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)54
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 4:30NOHWesley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 4:42NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot51
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q3 - 5:00MIAJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 5:01NOHAugmon 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS)51
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 5:02NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q3 - 5:04NOHMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot49
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 5:29MIAJones 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)49
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q3 - 5:38NOHWade STEAL (4 STL)49
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 6:00NOHHornets Rebound49
18.7%
57
81.3%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 6:16NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q3 - 6:16NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 248
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 6:27NOHHornets Rebound48
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot48
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 6:36NOHMISS Augmon 21' Jump Shot48
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q3 - 7:03MIAOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)48
17.5%
57
82.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Butler Layup48
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q3 - 7:25NOHMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)48
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q3 - 7:37NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
25.3%
54
74.7%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Butler Layup48
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q3 - 8:07NOHAugmon Layup (6 PTS)48
22.6%
54
77.4%
Q3 - 8:29NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
20.4%
54
79.6%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot46
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 8:50NOHSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)46
17.7%
54
82.3%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)43
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q3 - 9:08MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)43
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q3 - 9:10NOHMISS Wesley 11' Jump Shot43
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 9:23NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Odom Layup43
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 9:33MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)43
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q3 - 9:35NOHMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot43
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 9:54MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 243
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q3 - 10:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)43
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 10:04NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 10:22MIAOdom 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q3 - 10:35NOHAugmon Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)43
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q3 - 10:50MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P4.T7)43
21.2%
51
78.8%
Q3 - 10:52MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)43
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q3 - 10:56NOHJones BLOCK (2 BLK)43
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q3 - 11:09MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)43
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q3 - 11:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)43
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot43
25.9%
49
74.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)43
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q3 - 11:37NOHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)43
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q3 - 11:39NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q3 - 11:43NOHMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH43
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound43
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Augmon 46' 3PT Jump Shot43
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)43
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0NOHDavis Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
33.4%
46
66.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)41
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
33.3%
44
66.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0NOHMISS Augmon 17' Jump Shot39
28.2%
44
71.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAAlston Layup (9 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)39
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q2 - 1:23MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 1:25NOHOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)39
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 1:35NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 239
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
33.2%
42
66.8%
Q2 - 1:55NOHAugmon 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 2:06NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
33.4%
41
66.6%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Odom 5' Jump Shot37
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 2:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Odom Layup37
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 2:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup37
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 2:21MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot37
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 2:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)37
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q2 - 2:32NOHMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot37
31.6%
41
68.4%
Q2 - 2:45NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
33.3%
41
66.7%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot37
32.5%
41
67.5%
Q2 - 3:04NOHWesley Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)37
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q2 - 3:09NOHLynch 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 3:16NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade Layup34
25.6%
41
74.4%
Q2 - 3:40NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
23.9%
41
76.1%
Q2 - 3:40NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
23.4%
41
76.6%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)32
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)32
24.1%
40
75.9%
Q2 - 4:17NOHTraylor 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 4:28NOHHornets Rebound30
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
23.9%
38
76.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
22.4%
38
77.6%
Q2 - 4:36NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot30
23.0%
38
77.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAButler Dunk (14 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)30
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 5:04NOHMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot30
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 5:20MIAButler Driving Layup (12 PTS)30
29.3%
36
70.7%
Q2 - 5:34NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 5:34NOHMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 229
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)29
31.7%
34
68.3%
Q2 - 5:52MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 5:57NOHWade STEAL (3 STL)29
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 6:13MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)29
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
39.3%
30
60.7%
Q2 - 6:28NOHMISS Traylor 6' Jump Shot29
40.2%
30
59.8%
Q2 - 6:56NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot29
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 7:05MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q2 - 7:07NOHMISS Armstrong 15' Jump Shot29
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 7:14NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
42.4%
30
57.6%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot29
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 7:30NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q2 - 7:30NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 7:42NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q2 - 7:50MIAHEAT Rebound27
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Haslem Layup27
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q2 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)27
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q2 - 8:08NOHAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
34.6%
30
65.4%
Q2 - 8:08NOHAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
34.1%
30
65.9%
Q2 - 8:08NOHAugmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 8:11NOHMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 8:34MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)25
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 8:49NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q2 - 9:06MIAAlston 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q2 - 9:19NOHSmith 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 223
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Alston Layup23
39.0%
25
61.0%
Q2 - 9:40NOHSmith Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)23
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q2 - 9:42NOHDavis Driving Layup (10 PTS)22
34.8%
25
65.2%
Q2 - 9:49MIAOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)20
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q2 - 10:10NOHDavis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q2 - 10:20NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 10:22NOHMISS Smith 7' Dunk17
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q2 - 10:25NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 10:28NOHMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q2 - 10:34NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot17
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q2 - 10:57NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q2 - 10:57NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q2 - 11:21MIAOdom Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)15
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q2 - 11:42NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)15
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA13
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHOdom STEAL (1 STL)13
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot13
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade 4' Turnaround Jump Shot13
28.1%
20
71.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 1:11NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
27.6%
20
72.4%
Q1 - 1:39MIAAlston Reverse Layup (2 PTS)13
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 1:43NOHAlston STEAL (1 STL)13
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 1:58NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot13
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)13
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot13
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 2:29NOHLynch 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)13
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)11
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 3:09MIAHEAT Rebound11
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 3:28NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)11
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)8
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 3:39NOHWade STEAL (2 STL)8
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 4:00MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)8
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 4:00MIAHEAT Rebound8
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot8
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 4:25NOHLynch Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)8
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 4:49MIAButler Layup (8 PTS)8
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 4:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot8
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 5:04NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot8
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 5:22MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 5:43NOHDavis 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 6:06NOHMISS West Layup6
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 6:31MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 6:49NOHArmstrong 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 6:58NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
25.5%
14
74.5%
Q1 - 7:00NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot4
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 7:20MIAButler Layup (6 PTS)4
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 7:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Jones 29' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 7:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot4
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 7:50NOHWesley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)4
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)4
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)4
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 8:05NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)4
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 8:09NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot4
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 8:24NOHAugmon Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 8:54NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 8:54NOHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)2
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 9:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 9:17NOHMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot2
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 9:25NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot2
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 9:50NOHWesley Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 9:54NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Odom Layup0
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 10:11NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 10:28MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 10:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 10:35NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 11:01MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
36.0%
4
64.0%
Q1 - 11:12MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 11:16NOHMISS Augmon 12' Jump Shot0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Odom Layup0
42.5%
0
57.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Magloire: Tip to Wade0
41.3%
0
58.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
7
16
44%
MIA
14
28
50%
Midrange
NOH
11
31
35%
MIA
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
NOH
17
20
85%
MIA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis2352%11.5 / 22
D. Armstrong1478%7.0 / 9
S. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
S. Augmon1036%5.0 / 14
D. Wesley638%3.0 / 8
J. Magloire563%2.5 / 4
D. West433%2.0 / 6
G. Lynch4100%2.0 / 2
R. Traylor338%1.5 / 4
S. Williams250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2357%11.5 / 20
C. Butler2053%10.0 / 19
R. Alston1761%8.5 / 14
L. Odom938%4.5 / 12
B. Grant867%4.0 / 6
E. Jones840%4.0 / 10
R. Butler770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem330%1.5 / 5
S. Walker1-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
67
+16
-20
83
MIA
76
+18
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.8
99.3
NOH 95.4 +12.5
MIA 107.9
Pace
91.4
90.6
NOH 86.4
MIA 89.9 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.0
NOH 16.7
MIA 16.0 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
46.3%
NOH 45.2%
MIA 46.8% +1.6%
TO %
15.3%
14.4%
NOH 20.4%
MIA 13.4% +7.0%
ORB %
30.6%
27.5%
NOH 31.8%
MIA 35.9% +4.1%
FTrt
29.3
29.8
NOH 27.4
MIA 32.9 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
57.3%
NOH 35.7%
MIA 47.1% +11.4%
STL %
9.4%
7.9%
NOH 2.3%
MIA 9.0% +6.7%
BLK %
6.7%
6.3%
NOH 3.1%
MIA 12.8% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.1%
48.3%
NOH 49.4%
MIA 50.0% +0.6%
Rim FG%
54.9%
53.9%
NOH 43.8%
MIA 50.0% +6.2%
Mid FG%
37.9%
36.9%
NOH 35.5%
MIA 38.9% +3.4%
3P %
31.9%
35.7%
NOH 38.5%
MIA 40.0% +1.5%
FT %
75.1%
76.2%
NOH 85.0% +0.4%
MIA 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.8%
34.4%
NOH 21.9%
MIA 35.4% +13.5%
Mid Att. %
42.0%
44.5%
NOH 42.5% +3.1%
MIA 45.6%
3P Att. %
25.2%
21.1%
NOH 35.6% +16.6%
MIA 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points8396
Rebounds3944
Assists1016
Steals28
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)30 (0)
Field Goals28-7334-79
At-the-Rim FG7-1614-28
Midrange FG11-3114-36
2-Point FG18-4728-64
3-Point FG10-266-15
Free Throws17-2022-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 212 · 25
45.7
23
52%
9
5
1
1
6
2
2
7
0-0
-
4-11
36%
5-11
45%
G · 6'1" 203 · 33
32.0
6
38%
2
1
0
0
3
3
1
1
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 213 · 36
29.0
10
36%
8
0
0
0
2
3
5
3
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
26.8
5
63%
6
1
0
0
1
3
1
5
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
17.4
4
33%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35
30.3
12
55%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
5-5
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 180 · 36
27.2
14
78%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27
19.6
3
38%
5
2
1
1
4
4
3
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
9.7
4
100%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 29
2.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
49%
39
10
2
2
20
0
14
25
17-20
85%
18-47
38%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.