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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 17, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers72%107106
26Clippers28%100103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.6
40.3
32.2
17
67%
8
5
1
1
0
5
0
8
3-4
75%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.6
39.1
34.2
27
72%
9
6
1
2
1
3
1
8
4-4
100%
10-14
7-14
71%
48%
1-3
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
38.6
37.8
21
64%
11
2
1
1
3
6
4
7
3-8
38%
9-13
9-15
69%
57%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.6
32.8
34.0
10
42%
0
7
3
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.6
26.7
18.8
7
41%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
19.1
13.9
12
75%
5
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
2-4
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
17.5
17.9
2
14%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.0
12.5
12.1
8
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
8.9
18.9
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
4.3
11.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
6.9
0
0-1
41%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.7
5.3
0
1-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
41.4
37.9
26
64%
9
1
1
1
4
2
3
6
8-10
80%
9-16
7-14
56%
50%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
37.7
37.7
25
61%
8
2
0
1
0
3
0
8
9-10
90%
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.9
37.6
35.7
21
46%
5
2
2
1
1
2
4
1
5-6
83%
8-17
5-12
47%
43%
0-3
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.9
25.8
24.5
8
40%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.9
24.7
19.0
0
0%
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.0
15.2
6.8
8
68%
5
1
2
0
0
2
4
1
2-2
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
14.3
24.2
6
60%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
41%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.4
14.3
9.2
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-1
0%
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.6
13.2
22.5
3
31%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.8
9.0
8.6
4
50%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
39%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.9
6.9
8.1
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
10.9
0
2-4
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.