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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 19, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Celtics23%100104
3Mavericks77%110120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.3
42.0
35.8
29
86%
10
1
2
1
0
3
3
7
7-9
78%
11-13
5-10
85%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.4
38.6
40.2
17
45%
4
5
2
2
0
4
1
3
3-7
43%
7-13
7-15
54%
44%
0-3
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.6
37.8
33.6
19
66%
0
4
0
1
0
5
0
0
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
3-6
50%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.1
24.1
23.4
9
45%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.3
6.5
11.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
40.5
29.7
6
47%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.5
28.4
28.3
8
40%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
6-7
86%
1-6
4-9
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.3
10.3
12.7
8
59%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
6.0
13.9
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.1
3.5
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.4
2.5
2.1
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
1.7
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.7
40.4
37.7
24
55%
7
5
1
1
0
3
2
5
6-6
100%
9-19
7-15
47%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
38.8
28.0
21
71%
9
3
2
1
1
1
3
6
2-4
50%
8-10
4-9
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.1
32.5
34.4
13
89%
5
10
2
1
1
4
0
5
3-3
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.0
31.6
35.3
8
27%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-11
5-11
36%
47%
0-4
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28.0
4.8
7.8
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
36.5
26.2
18
65%
12
2
2
1
1
4
4
8
4-4
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
21.4
14.1
19
63%
6
1
2
1
1
0
3
3
5-5
100%
7-13
2-4
54%
46%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
18.3
18.0
12
90%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
1-1
3-7
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.7
8.0
4.6
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.0
3.9
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
3.5
15.1
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.0
0.3
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.