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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 20, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Celtics16%8787
3Spurs84%100103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.3
39.7
37.6
12
86%
12
2
3
1
0
2
6
6
0-0
-
6-7
5-10
86%
49%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
39.5
33.7
15
64%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
3-6
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.4
37.6
38.5
18
34%
3
6
1
2
0
4
1
2
6-6
100%
6-23
6-14
26%
41%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.6
33.6
34.4
14
50%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
2-6
40%
40%
2-4
50%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.1
25.6
23.5
6
43%
4
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
40%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.5
27.0
27.9
9
46%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.3
16.6
12.1
6
51%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
37%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.1
10.3
4.1
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
5.2
10.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
3.2
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.3
1.9
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.4
2.9
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.8
38.0
26.4
9
38%
1
3
1
1
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
2-8
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
36.2
36.4
15
64%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-6
50%
6-7
6-11
86%
50%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
30.6
17.6
26
83%
15
2
1
0
2
3
3
12
6-6
100%
10-13
5-10
77%
52%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
29.1
32.3
5
32%
8
4
1
1
1
0
3
5
1-2
50%
2-7
5-11
29%
50%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
26.8
33.7
5
31%
5
2
4
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.3
26.8
20.9
13
89%
6
0
0
1
1
4
4
2
3-3
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
23.6
26.2
26
93%
3
1
2
2
0
4
0
3
9-9
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
3-3
100%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
13.0
15.1
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
6.5
17.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
3.2
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.9
3.2
3.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.5
3.0
6.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.