FinalWin Prob.pScore
1847%96
101
2753%97
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.49499.9
WAS logo WAS
86.29488.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0WASDixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0WASDixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWallace 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0WASThomas 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS)99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0WASMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16WASMISS Jeffries 16' Jump Shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34WASMISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 299
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34WASJeffries Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)99
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56WASThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)99
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57WASMISS Hayes 17' Jump Shot99
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)99
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24WASMISS Dixon 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53WASDixon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Alston 11' Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23WASMISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53WASMISS Jeffries 11' Jump Shot94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIAAlston 9' Running Layup (12 PTS)94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:26WASMISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44MIAOdom 6' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)92
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 5:09WASThomas 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Jeffries 4 AST)90
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (22 PTS)90
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 5:30WASHayes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)88
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 5:46MIAOdom Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)88
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 6:13WASBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)88
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 6:36WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 6:45WASDixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)88
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIAHaslem 3' Layup (12 PTS)88
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 7:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)86
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot86
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAHeat Rebound86
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 7:27WASMISS Dixon 22' Jump Shot86
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 7:30WASDixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:31WASMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 7:40WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 7:42MIAThomas BLOCK (4 BLK)86
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q4 - 8:15WASJeffries 13' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)86
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q4 - 8:33MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)86
99.0%
67
1.0%
Q4 - 8:45WASHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)83
98.4%
67
1.6%
Q4 - 8:45WASMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 283
98.5%
66
1.5%
Q4 - 8:56WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot83
98.6%
66
1.4%
Q4 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)83
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 9:13WASMISS Jeffries 17' Jump Shot83
98.3%
66
1.7%
Q4 - 9:30WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot83
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q4 - 9:46WASBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)83
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 9:48WASBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot83
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot83
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 10:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 10:04WASMISS Hayes 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.9%
63
1.1%
Q4 - 10:13WASWIZARDS Rebound83
98.7%
63
1.3%
Q4 - 10:14WASMISS Dixon 19' Jump Shot83
98.9%
63
1.1%
Q4 - 10:27WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
98.7%
63
1.3%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot83
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 10:49WASBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q4 - 10:56WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot83
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 11:03WASHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)83
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 11:11WASWIZARDS Rebound83
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot83
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 11:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)83
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot83
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 11:46WASThomas Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)83
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS83
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler 19' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)83
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0WASHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0WASMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 281
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 280
98.6%
59
1.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)80
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0WASMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot78
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 1:01WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 1:03WASMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
98.3%
57
1.7%
Q3 - 1:06WASHughes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 1:08WASMISS Hayes 18' Jump Shot78
98.3%
57
1.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAOdom 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)78
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 1:55WASHughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)76
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 2:01WASBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
98.0%
54
2.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
98.1%
54
1.9%
Q3 - 2:29WASBlake 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
98.3%
54
1.7%
Q3 - 2:43MIAAlston 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)76
98.8%
51
1.2%
Q3 - 2:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
98.6%
51
1.4%
Q3 - 2:49WASMISS Hughes 3' Layup74
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWade 8' Driving Layup (20 PTS)74
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q3 - 3:31WASHughes 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)72
97.7%
51
2.3%
Q3 - 3:47WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
98.1%
49
1.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
98.1%
49
1.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
98.3%
49
1.7%
Q3 - 4:03WASBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)71
97.8%
49
2.2%
Q3 - 4:19MIAButler 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)71
97.3%
49
2.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
96.9%
49
3.1%
Q3 - 4:28WASMISS Hayes 17' Jump Shot69
96.7%
49
3.3%
Q3 - 4:51MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)69
96.3%
49
3.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 5:13WASMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
94.0%
49
6.0%
Q3 - 5:21WASWIZARDS Rebound66
93.3%
49
6.7%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 5:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 5:30WASMISS Brown 3' Jump Shot66
94.0%
49
6.0%
Q3 - 5:49MIAWade 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)66
93.3%
49
6.7%
Q3 - 5:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
92.3%
49
7.7%
Q3 - 5:57WASMISS Blake 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q3 - 6:02WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)64
89.9%
49
10.1%
Q3 - 6:04WASMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot64
91.0%
49
9.0%
Q3 - 6:24MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
90.0%
49
10.0%
Q3 - 6:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
88.6%
49
11.4%
Q3 - 6:32WASMISS Blake 16' Jump Shot62
88.0%
49
12.0%
Q3 - 6:57MIAOdom 3' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)62
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q3 - 7:14WASHaywood 3' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)60
84.0%
49
16.0%
Q3 - 7:16WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
85.7%
47
14.3%
Q3 - 7:18WASMISS Hughes 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
87.1%
47
12.9%
Q3 - 7:24WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
85.7%
47
14.3%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot60
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q3 - 7:38WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)60
87.8%
47
12.2%
Q3 - 7:38WASHaywood 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)60
89.3%
46
10.7%
Q3 - 7:55MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)60
90.5%
44
9.5%
Q3 - 8:10WASHughes 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)57
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q3 - 8:29WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
88.6%
42
11.4%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
89.2%
42
10.8%
Q3 - 8:48WASStackhouse Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)57
90.3%
42
9.7%
Q3 - 8:48MIAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)57
88.7%
42
11.3%
Q3 - 8:55WASStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)57
90.3%
42
9.7%
Q3 - 9:07MIAWade 3' Slam Dunk (15 PTS)57
87.9%
42
12.1%
Q3 - 9:10WASArenas Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)55
86.3%
42
13.7%
Q3 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
84.4%
42
15.6%
Q3 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
84.1%
42
15.9%
Q3 - 9:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
82.5%
42
17.5%
Q3 - 9:28WASMISS Hughes 7' Jump Shot53
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q3 - 9:34WASHughes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q3 - 9:36WASMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot53
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q3 - 9:51WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot53
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q3 - 10:08WASMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot53
81.1%
42
18.9%
Q3 - 10:23MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)53
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q3 - 10:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
77.2%
42
22.8%
Q3 - 10:35WASMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
76.4%
42
23.6%
Q3 - 11:02MIAOdom 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)51
73.8%
42
26.2%
Q3 - 11:26WASBrown 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)49
71.2%
42
28.8%
Q3 - 11:40WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot49
74.7%
40
25.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
76.6%
40
23.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)49
75.2%
40
24.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)49
73.4%
40
26.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
70.0%
40
30.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0WASMISS Hughes 28' 3PT Jump Shot47
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0WASWIZARDS Rebound47
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0WASMISS Thomas 3' Jump Shot47
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0WASMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot47
69.4%
40
30.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)47
68.0%
40
32.0%
Q2 - 1:07WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)45
63.3%
40
36.7%
Q2 - 1:24WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
61.8%
40
38.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 245
62.0%
40
38.0%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
64.1%
40
35.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
60.3%
40
39.7%
Q2 - 1:29MIAThomas BLOCK (3 BLK)44
59.2%
40
40.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
60.3%
40
39.7%
Q2 - 1:41WASMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot44
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 2:05MIAAlston 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
57.6%
40
42.4%
Q2 - 2:24WASBrown 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)41
51.2%
40
48.8%
Q2 - 2:41MIAHaslem 4' Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)41
54.6%
38
45.4%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
51.2%
38
48.8%
Q2 - 2:52WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
50.4%
38
49.6%
Q2 - 3:00WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
48.4%
38
51.6%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot39
49.0%
38
51.0%
Q2 - 3:18WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)39
51.3%
38
48.7%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
47.9%
38
52.1%
Q2 - 4:01WASStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)37
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)37
48.0%
36
52.0%
Q2 - 4:25MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
45.1%
36
54.9%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
43.1%
36
56.9%
Q2 - 4:41WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
45.1%
36
54.9%
Q2 - 4:41WASMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 235
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 4:58MIAHaslem 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)35
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 5:02WASThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)33
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 5:06MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)33
39.5%
35
60.5%
Q2 - 5:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 5:13WASMISS Hughes 13' Jump Shot33
41.6%
35
58.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
39.5%
35
60.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 5:34WASMISS Arenas 3' Jump Shot33
41.6%
35
58.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)33
39.5%
35
60.5%
Q2 - 6:05WASStackhouse 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)31
37.6%
35
62.4%
Q2 - 6:21MIAHaslem 4' Layup (4 PTS)31
39.6%
33
60.4%
Q2 - 6:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
37.5%
33
62.5%
Q2 - 6:26MIAThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)29
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 6:40WASStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)29
37.5%
33
62.5%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
34.5%
33
65.5%
Q2 - 7:08MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 7:10WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 7:20WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 7:28WASStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)27
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 7:48WASHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 7:50WASMISS Hughes 13' Jump Shot27
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 8:07MIAOdom 3' Layup (7 PTS)27
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 8:14WASThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 8:38MIAOdom 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q2 - 8:59WASStackhouse 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 9:09MIAHaslem 3' Layup (2 PTS)23
26.8%
31
73.2%
Q2 - 9:29WASThomas 3' Layup (3 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)21
25.0%
31
75.0%
Q2 - 9:43MIAWade 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)21
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q2 - 9:55WASBlake Foul Turnover (P2.T5)19
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q2 - 10:06WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
23.2%
29
76.8%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot19
23.8%
29
76.2%
Q2 - 10:23WASBlake Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)19
25.3%
29
74.7%
Q2 - 10:37MIAAlston 3' Layup (2 PTS)19
23.2%
29
76.8%
Q2 - 11:02WASButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)17
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q2 - 11:09WASBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot17
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q2 - 11:27WASStackhouse 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)17
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q2 - 11:41WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
27.3%
25
72.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot17
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS17
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.3%
25
72.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot17
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0WASBlake 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)17
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Alston 1' Layup17
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0WASBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)17
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)17
38.7%
20
61.3%
Q1 - 1:17WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 1:17WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 217
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 1:17WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
40.5%
19
59.5%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Odom 5' Jump Shot17
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 1:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Odom 3' Jump Shot17
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 1:38WASBlake 8' Running Layup (4 PTS)17
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 1:45WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot17
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 2:21WASStackhouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)17
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 2:42MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
49.8%
15
50.2%
Q1 - 3:00WASBlake 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jeffries 3 AST)17
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 3:09WASBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
53.8%
13
46.2%
Q1 - 3:12MIABrown BLOCK (2 BLK)17
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 3:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot17
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 3:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 3:22WASMISS Blake 8' Jump Shot17
55.5%
13
44.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
53.8%
13
46.2%
Q1 - 3:35MIAOdom 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 3:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 3:43WASMISS Haywood 9' Jump Shot14
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 4:10MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 4:24WASJeffries Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 4:28WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot11
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 4:43MIAHeat Rebound11
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 4:43WASMISS Haywood 16' Jump Shot11
42.1%
13
57.9%
Q1 - 4:47WASJeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 4:49WASMISS Jeffries 11' Jump Shot11
42.1%
13
57.9%
Q1 - 5:01WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 5:25WASJeffries 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 5:46WASWIZARDS Rebound11
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 6:04WASHaywood 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jeffries 2 AST)11
48.8%
10
51.2%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWade 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)11
50.7%
8
49.3%
Q1 - 6:35WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 6:54MIAGrant 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)9
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
44.7%
8
55.3%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Odom 5' Jump Shot7
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 7:15WASHughes Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 7:20WASWIZARDS Rebound7
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 7:21WASMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot7
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 7:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)7
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 7:45WASMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot7
44.2%
8
55.8%
Q1 - 8:03MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)7
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 8:19WASMISS Hughes 14' Jump Shot5
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 8:25WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot5
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 8:35MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 8:47WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 8:47WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
40.1%
7
59.9%
Q1 - 8:55WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot4
41.7%
6
58.3%
Q1 - 9:09MIAHeat Rebound4
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 9:10WASMISS Hughes 4' Jump Shot4
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 9:14WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 9:17MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)4
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHeat Rebound4
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)4
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 9:41WASHaywood 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jeffries 1 AST)4
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 10:02MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)4
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 10:10WASMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot4
46.0%
4
54.0%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 10:49WASMISS Haywood 8' Jump Shot2
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 11:12MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 11:39WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:42WASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 10
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 11:42WASBrown 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Haywood vs. Grant: Tip to Hughes0
44.7%
0
55.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
WAS
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
32
53%
WAS
8
14
57%
Midrange
MIA
20
44
45%
WAS
15
43
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
WAS
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
9
12
75%
WAS
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2252%11.0 / 21
L. Odom1856%9.0 / 16
E. Jones1642%8.0 / 19
R. Alston1260%6.0 / 10
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
C. Butler1056%5.0 / 9
B. Grant660%3.0 / 5
R. Butler375%1.5 / 2
J. Wallace250%1.0 / 2
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Blake2188%10.5 / 12
B. Haywood1161%5.5 / 9
E. Thomas1169%5.5 / 8
J. Stackhouse1161%5.5 / 9
J. Jeffries850%4.0 / 8
L. Hughes827%4.0 / 15
K. Brown633%3.0 / 9
J. Dixon217%1.0 / 6
M. Butler2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hayes18%0.5 / 6
G. Arenas0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+12
-7
99
WAS
73
+15
-21
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
WAS
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
95.6
MIA 107.4
WAS 86.2 +21.3
Pace
90.6
95.4
MIA 99.9 +11.1
WAS 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.8
MIA 14.4 +1.8
WAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.4%
MIA 50.5% +6.4%
WAS 44.1%
TO %
14.4%
17.4%
MIA 6.8% +13.0%
WAS 19.8%
ORB %
27.5%
30.7%
MIA 23.9%
WAS 28.6% +4.7%
FTrt
29.8
33.7
MIA 13.2
WAS 26.3 +13.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
55.7%
MIA 55.8% +2.5%
WAS 53.3%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 10.6% +7.4%
WAS 3.2%
BLK %
6.3%
7.4%
MIA 1.8%
WAS 9.2% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
47.4%
MIA 51.0% +5.5%
WAS 45.5%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.8%
MIA 53.1%
WAS 57.1% +4.0%
Mid FG%
36.9%
34.5%
MIA 45.5% +10.6%
WAS 34.9%
3P %
35.7%
34.2%
MIA 40.0% +3.2%
WAS 36.8%
FT %
76.2%
71.4%
MIA 75.0% +5.0%
WAS 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
37.6%
MIA 35.2% +16.7%
WAS 18.4%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
43.0%
MIA 48.4% +8.2%
WAS 56.6%
3P Att. %
21.1%
19.4%
MIA 16.5%
WAS 25.0% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points10181
Rebounds4147
Assists2416
Steals103
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)35 (3)
Field Goals43-9130-76
At-the-Rim FG17-328-14
Midrange FG20-4415-43
2-Point FG37-7623-57
3-Point FG6-157-19
Free Throws9-1214-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
38.1
18
56%
5
2
1
0
2
3
2
3
2-3
67%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
37.1
22
52%
4
6
2
1
4
0
1
3
2-4
50%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
32.8
10
56%
9
5
2
0
0
4
2
7
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
32.8
16
42%
6
3
2
0
0
4
0
6
3-3
100%
2-9
22%
3-9
33%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
24.6
6
60%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
28.5
12
60%
3
7
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
23.2
12
60%
5
0
2
0
1
4
4
1
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
10.8
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
6.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
1.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
41
24
10
1
7
0
11
30
9-12
75%
37-76
49%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.