for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat47%96101
27Wizards53%9781
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
38.1
30.0
18
59%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
8-13
4-10
62%
46%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.2
37.1
30.9
22
53%
4
6
2
1
1
4
1
3
2-4
50%
10-19
6-12
53%
47%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.0
32.8
30.4
10
56%
9
5
2
1
0
0
2
7
2-2
100%
4-8
4-10
50%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.4
32.8
32.7
16
41%
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
44%
3-9
33%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
24.6
30.3
6
60%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
28.5
27.8
12
60%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
41%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
23.2
24.7
12
60%
5
0
2
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
10.8
17.2
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.7
6.5
7.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.7
3.5
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.1
1.9
3.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.1
3.1
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.0
31.3
35.8
6
36%
7
2
1
1
2
0
0
7
0-1
0%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
28.5
24.9
8
51%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.2
26.7
15.3
8
27%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-10
3-6
20%
45%
1-4
25%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
21.9
41.3
0
0%
1
2
0
2
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
6-13
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.3
15.6
19.7
11
66%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
3-3
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.0
30.6
24.2
11
72%
16
2
1
0
4
3
4
12
5-6
83%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.1
26.1
13.2
21
88%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
5-7
71%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.4
20.0
26.8
11
62%
3
0
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
5-7
4-9
71%
44%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.6
17.7
10.9
1
9%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.4
12.3
11.7
2
17%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
9.3
27.4
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.6
8.3
0
1-2
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.