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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons63%9596
19Cavaliers37%9176
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.1
31.2
23.3
13
79%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
29.6
32.3
2
14%
10
1
0
1
3
1
3
7
0-0
-
1-7
4-8
14%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.1
28.9
30.6
14
44%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.5
26.2
32.1
18
75%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
6-7
86%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
14.3
32.4
10
56%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.8
22.0
19.0
13
81%
7
2
1
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.3
21.8
18.6
3
30%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
1-4
25%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.7
20.0
3.6
5
43%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.7
19.1
15.1
6
43%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-3
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
16.8
22.1
12
87%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.8
6.7
4.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
3.4
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.3
37.1
37.8
21
82%
17
1
0
1
0
1
3
14
1-2
50%
10-12
7-13
83%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.2
36.8
33.7
15
39%
7
3
0
1
2
4
2
5
4-5
80%
4-13
6-14
31%
43%
1-4
25%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.8
34.6
33.6
7
33%
6
2
1
1
4
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-9
6-14
22%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.7
30.6
15.7
13
51%
6
2
1
1
0
4
3
3
4-4
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
42%
1-4
25%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.2
29.2
23.1
3
31%
1
8
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.1
22.2
13.7
3
14%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-7
2-4
0%
38%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.1
15.1
6.0
5
73%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
40%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.1
13.2
19.2
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
11.2
16.0
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 23.0
6.7
3.2
4
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
3.2
17.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.