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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 21, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Raptors36%90121
14Hornets64%95120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.1
46.6
36.6
42
82%
6
12
2
1
1
4
0
6
12-13
92%
9-15
7-16
60%
45%
4-5
80%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
43.8
33.2
10
42%
7
1
3
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
2-7
29%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
41.9
39.9
26
60%
1
9
1
1
0
4
0
1
7-8
88%
5-11
5-12
45%
42%
3-7
43%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
39.5
25.3
10
83%
4
3
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.0
29.0
35.3
14
60%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
6-6
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
46%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35.2
22.2
18.6
6
100%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
20.5
5.4
2
25%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
41%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
13.4
14.0
7
51%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.4
5.2
4.4
4
100%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
2.8
4.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.6
26.1
1
3-7
44%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.9
2.2
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.9
42.8
39.5
29
65%
4
6
5
2
1
6
1
3
12-14
86%
4-10
5-12
40%
46%
3-6
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
36.7
33.5
23
58%
18
0
0
1
2
2
5
13
15-20
75%
4-11
5-9
36%
49%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.4
36.0
20.3
12
43%
5
3
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
5-13
2-5
38%
49%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.6
31.3
23.7
12
62%
1
0
2
1
0
3
0
1
6-6
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.3
21.8
32.4
0
0%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.7
26.9
24.2
7
48%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-3
0%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
23.1
11.1
10
83%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
17.0
17.1
7
60%
4
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.1
16.2
15.5
11
56%
10
0
2
1
1
2
4
6
5-11
45%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.0
13.3
14.3
9
77%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 29.0
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.