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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 22, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks32%9584
24Knicks68%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
37.5
37.9
7
24%
5
5
1
2
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-8
5-10
25%
45%
0-5
0%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
36.4
15.2
18
61%
6
3
0
0
1
3
1
5
6-6
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-5
40%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 26.0
35.2
37.3
20
50%
3
2
2
2
1
4
1
2
4-7
57%
5-10
6-12
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.0
34.3
35.7
7
35%
7
5
3
1
0
5
1
6
1-2
50%
3-9
4-9
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.5
17.7
29.0
7
60%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
45%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
20.2
31.3
3
26%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25.9
17.2
4.8
10
57%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
4-4
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
17.1
18.8
4
67%
7
0
1
0
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.0
13.2
4.1
5
51%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.1
5.9
10.4
1
114%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
5.4
6.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.0
12.2
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
37.6
35.0
11
34%
4
11
0
1
0
5
2
2
5-5
100%
3-12
6-13
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
34.5
28.2
14
62%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-1
100%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
33.2
27.1
3
22%
5
3
5
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
24.7
29.8
10
38%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-13
5-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
23.9
23.5
18
71%
13
0
2
1
0
2
5
8
4-4
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
49%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.9
22.9
6.3
14
64%
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
42%
2-6
33%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
21.9
6.9
9
70%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.3
20.6
20.9
9
53%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
15.8
11.8
7
58%
3
2
1
1
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.4
4.9
14.6
1
57%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.1
25.0
1
4-8
49%
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.9
12.3
0
2-4
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.