for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 24, 2004
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Heat
62%99
105
30
Magic
38%96
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.19295.9
ORL logo ORL
95.79490.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL105
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Gaines 22' Jump Shot105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLBogans 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)102
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)101
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Alston Layup100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47ORLGooden 10' Jump Shot (23 PTS)100
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)98
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 2:22ORLMISS Gaines 19' Jump Shot98
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 2:31MIALue STEAL (1 STL)98
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 2:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 2:45ORLMISS Gooden 3PT Jump Shot98
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 3:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 3:23ORLHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)98
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:38ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 298
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 3:39MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 3:42ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)97
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 3:46ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Grant Layup97
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 4:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)97
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 4:12ORLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 4:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 4:39ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)97
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 4:39ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 297
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 4:48MIAStevenson STEAL (3 STL)97
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 4:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:53ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot97
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)96
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 5:30ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 5:30ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T14)95
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 6:01ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)95
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q4 - 6:10ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 6:22ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)95
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 6:22ORLMAGIC Rebound95
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 6:23ORLMISS Pachulia Layup95
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 6:43MIAWade Layup (20 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)95
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 7:01ORLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)93
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 7:01ORLGooden Layup (20 PTS)93
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 7:01ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 7:02ORLMISS Gooden Layup93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 7:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 7:18ORLMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 7:31MIAWade Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)93
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 7:34MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Gooden 6' Finger Roll91
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 7:43ORLMAGIC Rebound91
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 7:45ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot91
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAAlston Foul Turnover (P1.T13)91
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 8:03ORLGooden Foul Turnover (P1.T13)91
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 8:14ORLMAGIC Rebound91
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 8:22ORLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)91
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 8:32ORLMcGrady Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)91
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 8:36ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIAGooden BLOCK (2 BLK)91
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 8:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)91
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot91
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 9:11ORLGooden 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS)91
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 9:28MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T12)91
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 9:51ORLDeClercq Layup (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)91
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 10:14ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 10:43ORLGooden 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 11:08MIAGrant 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)91
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)89
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 11:20ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 11:33MIAWade Layup (16 PTS)89
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)87
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q4 - 11:41ORLMISS Stevenson Layup87
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA87
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound87
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 27' 3PT Running Jump Shot87
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0ORLMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)87
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLHoward Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)87
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q3 - 1:08MIAJones Driving Layup (28 PTS)87
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q3 - 1:12ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)85
99.1%
64
0.9%
Q3 - 1:29MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)85
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q3 - 1:43MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 1:45MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot82
98.3%
64
1.7%
Q3 - 1:47MIAHeat Rebound82
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 1:47MIAGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)82
98.3%
64
1.7%
Q3 - 2:08ORLGooden 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q3 - 2:31MIAOdom Layup (17 PTS)82
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q3 - 2:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
98.2%
62
1.8%
Q3 - 2:47ORLMISS Stevenson 7' Running Jump Shot80
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q3 - 3:05MIAOdom 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)80
97.6%
62
2.4%
Q3 - 3:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
96.6%
62
3.4%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
96.1%
62
3.9%
Q3 - 3:33ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
96.6%
62
3.4%
Q3 - 3:33ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
96.7%
61
3.3%
Q3 - 3:40ORLJohnsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
97.1%
60
2.9%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot77
97.3%
60
2.7%
Q3 - 3:59ORLStevenson 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
97.6%
60
2.4%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)77
97.7%
58
2.3%
Q3 - 4:43ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 4:43ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
97.0%
57
3.0%
Q3 - 4:45ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
97.3%
56
2.7%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot74
97.6%
56
2.4%
Q3 - 5:04MIAJones Dunk (23 PTS)74
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 5:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot72
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHeat Rebound72
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 5:29ORLMISS Gooden 14' Turnaround Jump Shot72
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJones Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)72
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
94.8%
56
5.2%
Q3 - 6:11ORLMISS McGrady 16' Running Jump Shot70
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 6:20ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
94.2%
56
5.8%
Q3 - 6:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
94.8%
56
5.2%
Q3 - 6:40ORLMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot70
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)70
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 7:15ORLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)70
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)70
95.7%
53
4.3%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJones Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
95.0%
53
5.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
94.4%
53
5.6%
Q3 - 7:31ORLMISS Bogans 12' Jump Shot67
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q3 - 7:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 7:56MIAOdom Tip Shot (12 PTS)67
93.3%
53
6.7%
Q3 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
92.5%
53
7.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot65
91.6%
53
8.4%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot65
91.3%
53
8.7%
Q3 - 8:19ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
92.2%
53
7.8%
Q3 - 8:19ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
92.5%
52
7.5%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWade Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)65
93.1%
51
6.9%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
92.2%
51
7.8%
Q3 - 8:48ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
91.9%
51
8.1%
Q3 - 8:56ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
90.9%
51
9.1%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot63
91.3%
51
8.7%
Q3 - 9:21ORLPachulia Layup (3 PTS)63
91.8%
51
8.2%
Q3 - 9:35MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
92.8%
49
7.2%
Q3 - 9:57ORLMcGrady 6' Driving Layup (12 PTS)60
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 10:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
91.5%
47
8.5%
Q3 - 10:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
91.3%
47
8.7%
Q3 - 10:34ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
90.4%
47
9.6%
Q3 - 10:34ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
90.8%
46
9.2%
Q3 - 10:39ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
91.5%
45
8.5%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot58
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q3 - 10:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
92.6%
45
7.4%
Q3 - 10:52ORLMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot58
92.3%
45
7.7%
Q3 - 11:10MIAJones Reverse Layup (13 PTS)58
91.3%
45
8.7%
Q3 - 11:29ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T10)56
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q3 - 11:47MIADeClercq STEAL (1 STL)56
88.9%
45
11.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS McGrady 20' Running Jump Shot56
89.8%
45
10.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAButler Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
86.7%
45
13.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Bogans 17' Jump Shot54
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
85.7%
45
14.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAHeat Rebound52
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot52
82.5%
45
17.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLMcGrady Foul Turnover (P1.T9)52
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q2 - 1:05MIAButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)52
81.9%
45
18.1%
Q2 - 1:18ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gaines 3 AST)52
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 1:22ORLGaines REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
86.9%
42
13.1%
Q2 - 1:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
86.9%
42
13.1%
Q2 - 1:24ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot52
87.5%
42
12.5%
Q2 - 1:25ORLMISS Howard Layup52
87.5%
42
12.5%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
86.9%
42
13.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
86.6%
42
13.4%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
84.6%
42
15.4%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot50
84.4%
42
15.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAOdom Driving Layup (10 PTS)50
82.9%
42
17.1%
Q2 - 2:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Lue 15' Fadeaway Jumper48
80.4%
42
19.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
79.2%
42
20.8%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
78.7%
42
21.3%
Q2 - 2:43ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)46
76.8%
42
23.2%
Q2 - 2:47ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot46
75.4%
42
24.6%
Q2 - 2:55MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
76.8%
42
23.2%
Q2 - 2:57ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot46
76.2%
42
23.8%
Q2 - 3:10MIAJones 19' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)46
74.3%
42
25.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
71.5%
42
28.5%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T7)44
69.5%
42
30.5%
Q2 - 3:54ORLHoward Layup (5 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST)44
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAStevenson STEAL (2 STL)44
74.3%
40
25.7%
Q2 - 4:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
76.5%
40
23.5%
Q2 - 4:12ORLMISS McGrady 10' Jump Shot44
75.9%
40
24.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
74.4%
40
25.6%
Q2 - 4:29MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
74.0%
40
26.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
72.1%
40
27.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIADeClercq BLOCK (3 BLK)42
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q2 - 4:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
72.1%
40
27.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot42
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q2 - 4:48ORLBogans Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)42
72.1%
40
27.9%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
69.3%
40
30.7%
Q2 - 5:09ORLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
67.6%
40
32.4%
Q2 - 5:09ORLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 240
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q2 - 5:09ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 5:11ORLMISS Gooden 10' Jump Shot40
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 5:19MIAGaines STEAL (1 STL)40
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 5:26MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 5:28ORLMISS Pachulia 9' Turnaround Jump Shot40
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)40
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 6:00ORLMISS Gooden 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 6:15MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T3)40
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q2 - 6:30ORLBogans 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gaines 2 AST)40
70.2%
39
29.8%
Q2 - 6:51MIAAlston Layup (2 PTS)40
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 7:14ORLGooden 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
70.1%
37
29.9%
Q2 - 7:30ORLMAGIC Rebound38
72.1%
35
27.9%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot38
72.8%
35
27.2%
Q2 - 7:55ORLGooden 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
74.4%
35
25.6%
Q2 - 8:14MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)38
75.8%
33
24.2%
Q2 - 8:27ORLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)35
72.1%
33
27.9%
Q2 - 8:38MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)35
69.7%
33
30.3%
Q2 - 8:51ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
67.8%
33
32.2%
Q2 - 8:51ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
68.4%
32
31.6%
Q2 - 8:56ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
69.7%
31
30.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot33
70.5%
31
29.5%
Q2 - 9:15ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)33
72.0%
31
28.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAJones Dunk (9 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)33
75.7%
28
24.3%
Q2 - 9:40ORLPachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
74.0%
28
26.0%
Q2 - 10:01MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)31
71.5%
28
28.5%
Q2 - 10:25ORLMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
69.7%
28
30.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
73.5%
25
26.5%
Q2 - 10:39MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
75.6%
25
24.4%
Q2 - 10:41ORLMISS Gooden 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
75.0%
25
25.0%
Q2 - 10:53ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
73.5%
25
26.5%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Jones 10' Running Jump Shot29
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q2 - 11:14ORLGooden 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)29
75.4%
25
24.6%
Q2 - 11:23ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
77.2%
23
22.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Alston 20' Running Jump Shot29
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
78.8%
23
21.2%
Q2 - 11:31ORLMISS Gooden 12' Jump Shot29
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAOdom 7' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)29
77.1%
23
22.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
75.4%
23
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound27
75.4%
23
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
74.1%
23
25.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLGooden 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)27
74.9%
23
25.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Gaines 18' Jump Shot27
78.0%
21
22.0%
Q1 - 1:01ORLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade Layup27
77.5%
21
22.5%
Q1 - 1:19ORLStevenson Palming Turnover (P2.T4)27
78.3%
21
21.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)27
77.0%
21
23.0%
Q1 - 2:00ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
74.9%
21
25.1%
Q1 - 2:21MIAButler Dunk (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)25
77.1%
19
22.9%
Q1 - 2:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
75.3%
19
24.7%
Q1 - 2:28ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot23
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q1 - 2:39ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
73.6%
19
26.4%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
74.1%
19
25.9%
Q1 - 3:01ORLDeClercq Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
75.1%
19
24.9%
Q1 - 3:01ORLDeClercq Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
75.6%
18
24.4%
Q1 - 3:01ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
76.5%
17
23.5%
Q1 - 3:03ORLMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot23
77.8%
17
22.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)23
76.6%
17
23.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
75.1%
17
24.9%
Q1 - 3:34ORLMISS Howard 11' Hook Shot21
74.6%
17
25.4%
Q1 - 3:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
73.2%
17
26.8%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot21
73.8%
17
26.2%
Q1 - 4:10ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)21
75.2%
17
24.8%
Q1 - 4:25MIAOdom Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
76.5%
15
23.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
75.2%
15
24.8%
Q1 - 4:33ORLMISS Lue 7' Running Jump Shot19
74.6%
15
25.4%
Q1 - 4:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMISS McGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot19
74.6%
15
25.4%
Q1 - 4:56MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)19
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 5:20ORLLue 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)16
69.9%
15
30.1%
Q1 - 5:30MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
73.2%
12
26.8%
Q1 - 5:30MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
72.8%
12
27.2%
Q1 - 5:37ORLStevenson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
71.7%
12
28.3%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
69.7%
12
30.3%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
69.5%
12
30.5%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot12
66.7%
12
33.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAHeat Rebound12
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 6:00MIADeClercq BLOCK (2 BLK)12
66.7%
12
33.3%
Q1 - 6:08MIAHeat Rebound12
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 6:09MIADeClercq BLOCK (1 BLK)12
66.7%
12
33.3%
Q1 - 6:26ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)12
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIAButler Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
69.6%
10
30.4%
Q1 - 6:50ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 7:05MIAOdom Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
66.3%
10
33.7%
Q1 - 7:26ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)8
64.8%
10
35.2%
Q1 - 7:42MIAButler 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)8
66.3%
8
33.7%
Q1 - 7:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
64.8%
8
35.2%
Q1 - 7:51ORLMISS DeClercq 15' Jump Shot6
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 8:03ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot6
64.1%
8
35.9%
Q1 - 8:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.4%
8
34.6%
Q1 - 8:19ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot6
64.8%
8
35.2%
Q1 - 8:45MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)6
63.4%
8
36.6%
Q1 - 8:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Jones Driving Dunk4
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 9:10ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 9:14ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.1%
6
36.9%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Bank Shot4
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 9:36ORLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)4
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 9:50MIAStevenson STEAL (1 STL)4
68.3%
3
31.7%
Q1 - 10:04ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
70.1%
3
29.9%
Q1 - 10:04ORLHoward Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 10:21MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
73.0%
0
27.0%
Q1 - 10:43MIAHeat Rebound2
71.7%
0
28.3%
Q1 - 10:43ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot2
71.2%
0
28.8%
Q1 - 11:00MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
69.9%
0
30.1%
Q1 - 11:14ORLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Jones 12' Fadeaway Jumper0
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:46ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot0
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball DeClercq vs. Grant: Tip to Lue0
66.9%
0
33.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
ORL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
34
68%
ORL
6
11
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
27
33%
ORL
19
50
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
ORL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
MIA
20
21
95%
ORL
19
21
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2858%14.0 / 24
D. Wade2486%12.0 / 14
L. Odom2083%10.0 / 12
C. Butler1050%5.0 / 10
B. Grant836%4.0 / 11
R. Alston630%3.0 / 10
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
R. Butler338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gooden2355%11.5 / 21
T. McGrady1853%9.0 / 17
D. Stevenson1267%6.0 / 9
J. Howard1137%5.5 / 15
T. Lue956%4.5 / 8
K. Bogans964%4.5 / 7
A. DeClercq467%2.0 / 3
Z. Pachulia440%2.0 / 5
R. Gaines0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+17
-15
94
ORL
80
+10
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
ORL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
100.3
MIA 114.1
ORL 95.7 +18.4
Pace
90.6
93.1
MIA 95.9 +5.5
ORL 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.2
MIA 15.0 +0.9
ORL 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.1%
MIA 53.1% +7.0%
ORL 46.1%
TO %
14.4%
13.8%
MIA 16.0%
ORL 14.8% +1.2%
ORB %
27.5%
28.1%
MIA 32.4% +12.9%
ORL 19.5%
FTrt
29.8
29.6
MIA 26.3
ORL 27.3 +1.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
54.5%
MIA 64.1% +20.3%
ORL 43.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
MIA 8.7% +2.3%
ORL 6.4%
BLK %
6.3%
5.6%
MIA 8.2%
ORL 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.1%
MIA 54.7% +4.7%
ORL 50.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
52.9%
MIA 67.6% +13.1%
ORL 54.5%
Mid FG%
36.9%
40.2%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 38.0% +4.7%
3P %
35.7%
34.4%
MIA 36.8%
ORL 43.8% +7.0%
FT %
76.2%
73.7%
MIA 95.2% +4.7%
ORL 90.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.7%
MIA 42.5% +28.2%
ORL 14.3%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
51.8%
MIA 33.8% +31.2%
ORL 64.9%
3P Att. %
21.1%
18.4%
MIA 23.8% +3.0%
ORL 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points10590
Rebounds4431
Assists2514
Steals86
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (6)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)23 (2)
Field Goals39-8032-77
At-the-Rim FG23-346-11
Midrange FG9-2719-50
2-Point FG32-6125-61
3-Point FG7-197-16
Free Throws20-2119-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
40.5
20
83%
14
1
2
3
3
5
3
11
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
2-2
100%
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
37.1
28
58%
7
4
1
0
2
1
2
5
3-3
100%
8-15
53%
3-7
43%
Brian Grant
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
36.3
8
36%
10
0
0
0
1
3
3
7
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
35.9
24
86%
3
7
1
2
5
4
0
3
8-8
100%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
28.8
10
50%
4
4
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
30.7
6
30%
2
7
2
0
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
19.2
6
50%
3
2
0
0
1
4
2
1
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
11.5
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
44
25
8
5
15
0
11
33
20-21
95%
32-61
52%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.