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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 24, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies52%97111
25Knicks48%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
30.4
31.4
23
53%
6
4
1
1
1
2
4
2
13-15
87%
5-15
7-14
33%
49%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.2
27.0
33.3
17
80%
4
2
2
2
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.3
26.2
30.5
7
39%
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.1
26.0
22.6
15
65%
6
0
1
1
0
5
2
4
7-8
88%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.8
13.3
12.9
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.3
31.6
25.9
14
53%
4
0
3
1
4
0
0
4
2-3
67%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
22.0
20.7
13
47%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
5-12
3-8
42%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.5
21.0
15.8
8
80%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.8
19.7
16.5
6
61%
1
8
0
1
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
18.4
23.0
6
50%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
2.3
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.4
2.0
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
41.0
35.2
23
46%
2
10
1
1
0
5
1
1
3-4
75%
7-17
6-13
41%
47%
2-6
33%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
32.0
28.7
11
81%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
31.6
29.9
9
46%
5
1
1
1
0
4
0
5
3-4
75%
3-6
4-9
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
28.3
23.3
13
55%
7
0
1
1
2
1
3
4
3-4
75%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
16.6
27.4
6
60%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.4
25.0
11.0
9
54%
11
0
1
0
1
0
4
7
3-3
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.9
22.1
12.7
6
39%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.3
20.2
20.5
9
61%
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
17.2
13.3
10
64%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
1-3
33%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
5.9
13.1
1
57%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.1
17.2
1
3-5
47%
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.9
10.5
0
2-4
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.