FinalWin Prob.pScore
439%98
99
661%101
103
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
102.19797.3
IND logo IND
105.19898.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALIND
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL99
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALBest 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 14 AST)99
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot97
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)97
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 297
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALNowitzki 2' Finger Roll (22 PTS) (Nash 13 AST)97
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)95
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALBradley 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)95
11.9%
97
88.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
8.2%
97
91.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0INDMISS Tinsley 21' Jump Shot93
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 1:15DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)93
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q4 - 1:24INDHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)90
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 1:24INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)90
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 1:26INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 1:47DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)90
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 1:51DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 1:53DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot88
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 2:09INDCroshere 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)88
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 2:33DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)88
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 2:50INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)86
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 3:10INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 3:12DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q4 - 3:19DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
7.0%
92
93.0%
Q4 - 3:21INDMISS World Peace 1' Layup86
5.9%
92
94.1%
Q4 - 3:22INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 3:24INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup86
5.9%
92
94.1%
Q4 - 3:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 3:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
6.1%
92
93.9%
Q4 - 3:43INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)84
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 4:02DALHarrington STEAL (3 STL)84
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 4:14INDCroshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)84
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 4:35DALWorld Peace STEAL (8 STL)84
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 4:47DALMavericks Rebound84
11.7%
89
88.3%
Q4 - 4:48DALWorld Peace BLOCK (2 BLK)84
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 4:51DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
11.7%
89
88.3%
Q4 - 4:52DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot84
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 5:02INDTinsley Layup (10 PTS)84
13.7%
89
86.3%
Q4 - 5:03INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 5:04INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot84
21.8%
87
78.2%
Q4 - 5:08INDPACERS Rebound84
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 5:08INDMISS Croshere 2' Layup84
21.8%
87
78.2%
Q4 - 5:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 5:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
17.3%
87
82.7%
Q4 - 5:38DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
13.6%
87
86.4%
Q4 - 5:39INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
12.4%
87
87.6%
Q4 - 6:04INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q4 - 6:05DALMISS Nash 3' Layup82
12.5%
87
87.5%
Q4 - 6:18INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)82
15.3%
87
84.7%
Q4 - 6:18INDCroshere 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)82
19.6%
86
80.4%
Q4 - 6:35INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
24.0%
84
76.0%
Q4 - 6:37DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
26.0%
84
74.0%
Q4 - 6:54INDFoster Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)82
30.9%
84
69.1%
Q4 - 7:09DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
25.4%
84
74.6%
Q4 - 7:09DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
24.3%
84
75.7%
Q4 - 7:15INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foster 4 AST)80
21.1%
84
78.9%
Q4 - 7:33INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
30.9%
81
69.1%
Q4 - 7:34DALMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot80
32.9%
81
67.1%
Q4 - 7:51INDJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T17)80
37.9%
81
62.1%
Q4 - 7:57INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
30.8%
81
69.2%
Q4 - 7:58DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot80
32.9%
81
67.1%
Q4 - 8:11DALMavericks Rebound80
37.7%
81
62.3%
Q4 - 8:13INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q4 - 8:29INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 8:31DALMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
33.5%
81
66.5%
Q4 - 8:53DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
37.7%
81
62.3%
Q4 - 8:54INDMISS Jones 1' Layup80
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q4 - 8:59INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q4 - 9:01DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot80
33.7%
81
66.3%
Q4 - 9:22INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)80
37.7%
81
62.3%
Q4 - 9:34INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
32.0%
81
68.0%
Q4 - 9:36INDMISS Croshere 19' Jump Shot80
35.9%
81
64.1%
Q4 - 10:03INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
32.2%
81
67.8%
Q4 - 10:05DALWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)80
33.8%
81
66.2%
Q4 - 10:14DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
37.7%
81
62.3%
Q4 - 10:17INDMISS Foster 1' Layup80
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q4 - 10:36DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
32.1%
81
67.9%
Q4 - 10:36DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
30.9%
81
69.1%
Q4 - 10:41DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
27.7%
81
72.3%
Q4 - 10:43INDMISS Croshere 2' Layup78
26.3%
81
73.7%
Q4 - 10:45INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
23.1%
81
76.9%
Q4 - 10:47INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
23.1%
81
76.9%
Q4 - 10:47INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup78
26.3%
81
73.7%
Q4 - 10:48INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot78
26.3%
81
73.7%
Q4 - 11:05DALWalker 8' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Best 3 AST)78
23.8%
81
76.2%
Q4 - 11:16INDWorld Peace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)76
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q4 - 11:27DALWalker 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)76
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q4 - 11:44INDCroshere 1' Layup (5 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)74
14.1%
81
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND74
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALWalker 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 2 AST)74
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
12.5%
79
87.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
13.0%
78
87.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 271
15.2%
77
84.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0INDJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)70
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 1:05INDPACERS Rebound70
21.5%
74
78.5%
Q3 - 1:07DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot70
22.6%
74
77.4%
Q3 - 1:20INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)70
25.1%
74
74.9%
Q3 - 1:22INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
21.5%
74
78.5%
Q3 - 1:23DALMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot70
22.5%
74
77.5%
Q3 - 1:43INDHarrington 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)70
25.1%
74
74.9%
Q3 - 1:57INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
28.8%
72
71.2%
Q3 - 1:58DALMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot70
30.1%
72
69.9%
Q3 - 2:09INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)70
33.0%
72
67.0%
Q3 - 2:36DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)70
28.7%
72
71.3%
Q3 - 2:50INDHarrington 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)68
25.3%
72
74.7%
Q3 - 2:54DALWorld Peace STEAL (7 STL)68
28.7%
70
71.3%
Q3 - 3:11INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
33.3%
70
66.7%
Q3 - 3:11INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)68
34.1%
69
65.9%
Q3 - 3:11INDJohnson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)68
37.1%
68
62.9%
Q3 - 3:16INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
41.4%
67
58.6%
Q3 - 3:17INDMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot68
44.6%
67
55.4%
Q3 - 3:23INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)68
41.4%
67
58.6%
Q3 - 3:30DALMISS Jamison 2' Layup68
42.8%
67
57.2%
Q3 - 3:38INDFoster 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)68
46.1%
67
53.9%
Q3 - 3:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
50.3%
65
49.7%
Q3 - 3:52DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot68
51.7%
65
48.3%
Q3 - 4:00DALMISS Bradley Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 268
55.0%
65
45.0%
Q3 - 4:00DALBradley Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
58.6%
65
41.4%
Q3 - 4:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
49.8%
65
50.2%
Q3 - 4:02INDMISS Tinsley 10' Jump Shot67
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q3 - 4:19DALHoward 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)67
44.9%
65
55.1%
Q3 - 4:39DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 4:40INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot65
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 5:07DALNash 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
36.8%
65
63.2%
Q3 - 5:31INDMiller Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)63
33.3%
65
66.7%
Q3 - 5:39INDTinsley Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
29.4%
65
70.6%
Q3 - 5:39INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 263
30.4%
64
69.6%
Q3 - 5:46INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
33.0%
64
67.0%
Q3 - 5:48INDMISS World Peace 1' Layup63
35.8%
64
64.2%
Q3 - 5:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)63
33.0%
64
67.0%
Q3 - 5:58INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
35.8%
64
64.2%
Q3 - 6:04DALWorld Peace STEAL (6 STL)63
33.0%
64
67.0%
Q3 - 6:32INDMiller 16' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)63
36.9%
64
63.1%
Q3 - 6:39INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
40.4%
62
59.6%
Q3 - 6:40DALMISS Nash 1' Layup63
41.7%
62
58.3%
Q3 - 6:52INDFoster 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)63
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q3 - 7:06DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
47.4%
60
52.6%
Q3 - 7:30INDHarrington 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)61
44.2%
60
55.8%
Q3 - 7:49DALNash 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
47.5%
58
52.5%
Q3 - 8:13INDWorld Peace 2' Dunk (18 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)59
44.1%
58
55.9%
Q3 - 8:16INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q3 - 8:18DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
48.6%
56
51.4%
Q3 - 8:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
51.6%
56
48.4%
Q3 - 8:26INDMISS Foster 3' Jump Shot59
50.3%
56
49.7%
Q3 - 8:34INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q3 - 8:36DALMISS Daniels 7' Jump Shot59
48.6%
56
51.4%
Q3 - 8:51INDWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)59
51.6%
56
48.4%
Q3 - 9:14DALNash 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
57.6%
53
42.4%
Q3 - 9:23INDWorld Peace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)57
54.2%
53
45.8%
Q3 - 9:24INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)57
50.4%
53
49.6%
Q3 - 9:26INDMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot57
53.0%
53
47.0%
Q3 - 9:44INDMiller Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)57
50.4%
53
49.6%
Q3 - 9:44DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T14)57
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q3 - 10:06DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
57.1%
52
42.9%
Q3 - 10:07INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 257
56.6%
52
43.4%
Q3 - 10:07INDMiller Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)57
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q3 - 10:07INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 257
57.9%
51
42.1%
Q3 - 10:10DALWorld Peace STEAL (5 STL)57
56.7%
51
43.3%
Q3 - 10:11DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q3 - 10:13INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
59.4%
51
40.6%
Q3 - 10:39DALDaniels 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)57
56.7%
51
43.3%
Q3 - 10:43INDWorld Peace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)55
53.6%
51
46.4%
Q3 - 10:52DALWorld Peace STEAL (4 STL)55
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q3 - 11:08DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
52.8%
51
47.2%
Q3 - 11:09INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 255
52.3%
51
47.7%
Q3 - 11:09INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
50.4%
51
49.6%
Q3 - 11:13INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
52.7%
50
47.3%
Q3 - 11:14DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot55
53.8%
50
46.2%
Q3 - 11:24INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
56.3%
50
43.7%
Q3 - 11:24INDHarrington 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)55
56.3%
50
43.7%
Q3 - 11:25INDMISS Foster 3' Layup55
61.9%
48
38.1%
Q3 - 11:46DALFoster STEAL (2 STL)55
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL55
63.0%
48
37.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound55
63.0%
48
37.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot55
60.6%
48
39.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)55
61.4%
48
38.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALHoward 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)55
59.2%
48
40.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
55.0%
48
45.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup53
54.3%
48
45.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALWalker 2' Layup (8 PTS)53
52.7%
48
47.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot51
46.8%
48
53.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDWorld Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)51
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDPACERS Rebound51
56.0%
45
44.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDMISS Harrington 3' Layup51
57.6%
45
42.4%
Q2 - 1:11DALJamison 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)51
55.8%
45
44.2%
Q2 - 1:30INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)48
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 1:41INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
46.1%
45
53.9%
Q2 - 1:42DALMISS Walker 2' Layup48
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q2 - 2:04DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
48.0%
45
52.0%
Q2 - 2:06INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot48
47.1%
45
52.9%
Q2 - 2:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
45.1%
45
54.9%
Q2 - 2:17INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
47.1%
45
52.9%
Q2 - 2:39DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 2:39DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
44.5%
45
55.5%
Q2 - 2:40DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 2:41INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup46
41.0%
45
59.0%
Q2 - 2:48DALHarrington STEAL (2 STL)46
39.1%
45
60.9%
Q2 - 2:55INDTinsley 3' Finger Roll (7 PTS) (Foster 3 AST)46
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 2:59DALHarrington STEAL (1 STL)46
45.2%
43
54.8%
Q2 - 3:20INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 3:20INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
48.2%
42
51.8%
Q2 - 3:40DALHoward 12' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)46
50.3%
41
49.7%
Q2 - 3:54INDTinsley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)44
47.6%
41
52.4%
Q2 - 4:10INDMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)44
52.6%
38
47.4%
Q2 - 4:33DALWalker 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)44
55.5%
37
44.5%
Q2 - 4:35DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
52.6%
37
47.4%
Q2 - 4:37DALMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot42
50.6%
37
49.4%
Q2 - 5:01INDWorld Peace 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)42
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 5:05DALWorld Peace STEAL (3 STL)42
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q2 - 5:12INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 5:15DALTinsley STEAL (1 STL)42
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q2 - 5:18DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 5:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 5:19DALMISS Howard 3' Tip Shot42
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 5:22DALTinsley BLOCK (1 BLK)42
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 5:37DALMISS Nash Free Throw Technical42
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 5:37DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 5:39INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup42
57.0%
35
43.0%
Q2 - 5:56DALJamison 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)42
54.9%
35
45.1%
Q2 - 6:11DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
52.0%
35
48.0%
Q2 - 6:12INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
51.0%
35
49.0%
Q2 - 6:35DALBradley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)40
48.7%
35
51.3%
Q2 - 6:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 6:50INDMISS Foster 18' Jump Shot38
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 6:58INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
43.2%
35
56.8%
Q2 - 7:00DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot38
44.2%
35
55.8%
Q2 - 7:13INDFoster Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 7:23DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)38
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 7:24DALMavericks Rebound38
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 7:24DALMISS Bradley 14' Jump Shot38
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q2 - 7:50DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 7:52INDMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot38
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 8:15INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
42.8%
35
57.2%
Q2 - 8:16DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot38
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 8:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
45.7%
35
54.3%
Q2 - 8:29INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 238
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 8:29INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 8:40INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
45.3%
34
54.7%
Q2 - 8:41INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
47.4%
34
52.6%
Q2 - 9:05DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)38
44.9%
34
55.1%
Q2 - 9:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 9:12INDMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
41.9%
34
58.1%
Q2 - 9:34DALBradley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)36
40.0%
34
60.0%
Q2 - 9:51INDJones 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)34
37.9%
34
62.1%
Q2 - 10:09DALBest 3' Layup (4 PTS)34
39.9%
32
60.1%
Q2 - 10:30INDJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
37.8%
32
62.2%
Q2 - 10:44INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 10:46DALMISS Jamison 13' Jump Shot32
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 11:08DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
41.9%
30
58.1%
Q2 - 11:09INDMISS Jones 2' Layup32
41.2%
30
58.8%
Q2 - 11:26DALBest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q2 - 11:36INDJones 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q2 - 11:45INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q2 - 11:47DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot30
40.4%
28
59.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND30
42.0%
28
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALBradley 1' Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)27
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot25
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALNash 11' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)25
29.0%
28
71.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)23
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALJamison 2' Finger Roll (6 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)23
31.0%
25
69.0%
Q1 - 1:08INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
28.6%
25
71.4%
Q1 - 1:13INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q1 - 1:14INDMISS World Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 1:42DALJamison 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)21
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q1 - 1:56DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 1:57INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 2:06DALJones STEAL (1 STL)19
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 2:10INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q1 - 2:30INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 2:32DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot19
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q1 - 2:45INDPollard 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q1 - 2:59INDMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical19
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q1 - 3:20DALJamison 2' Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)19
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q1 - 3:36INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
29.2%
21
70.8%
Q1 - 3:36INDFoster 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)17
31.1%
20
68.9%
Q1 - 3:53DALDaniels 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 3:57INDHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)15
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 3:59INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 4:01INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot15
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 4:15DALNash 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)15
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 4:26INDWorld Peace Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 4:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)13
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 4:44DALMISS Daniels 2' Layup13
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 4:48DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 4:51INDMISS Miller 1' Layup13
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 4:56DALWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)13
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 5:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 5:06INDMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot13
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 5:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:23DALMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot13
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 5:27DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 5:29INDMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot13
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 5:48INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:49DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot13
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 6:00DALNash Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)13
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 6:21INDTinsley 2' Layup (2 PTS)12
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 6:26DALFoster STEAL (1 STL)12
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 6:35INDFoster 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)12
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 6:43INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 6:45DALMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot12
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 7:07INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)12
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 7:20DALNowitzki 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)12
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 7:27DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 7:29INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot10
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 7:54DALNowitzki 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)10
34.2%
10
65.8%
Q1 - 7:58DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 7:59INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup8
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 8:15DALWalker 1' Layup (4 PTS)8
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 8:19INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 8:42DALNash 3' Finger Roll (2 PTS)6
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 8:53INDFoster 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)4
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 9:17DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 9:17DALDaniels Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 9:18DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot2
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 9:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 9:31INDMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot2
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 9:36INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 9:38DALMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot2
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 9:50INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 9:50INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
26.7%
7
73.3%
Q1 - 9:50INDMiller Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:50INDMiller Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)2
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 9:53DALWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)2
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:54DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 9:55INDMISS Foster 2' Layup2
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 9:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:58INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup2
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 10:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 10:21DALMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot2
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 10:24DALMavericks Rebound2
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:25DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot2
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 10:39INDMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:43INDMiller Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 10:58DALWalker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
32.2%
3
67.8%
Q1 - 11:13INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
30.7%
3
69.3%
Q1 - 11:13INDHarrington 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:15DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 11:35DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:36INDMISS Foster 3' Layup0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 11:39INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Harrington vs. Williams: Tip to Miller0
34.1%
0
65.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.08 53.8%
IND
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
17
25
68%
IND
22
45
49%
Midrange
DAL
20
48
42%
IND
4
18
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
IND
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
DAL
13
16
81%
IND
24
33
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2250%11.0 / 22
A. Walker1568%7.5 / 11
A. Jamison1558%7.5 / 13
S. Nash1350%6.5 / 13
J. Howard1350%6.5 / 13
S. Bradley990%4.5 / 5
M. Daniels638%3.0 / 8
T. Best6100%3.0 / 3
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace2043%10.0 / 23
A. Harrington1745%8.5 / 19
R. Miller1689%8.0 / 9
A. Croshere1673%8.0 / 11
J. Foster1243%6.0 / 14
J. Tinsley1056%5.0 / 9
A. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
F. Jones433%2.0 / 6
S. Pollard2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
80
+12
-17
92
IND
78
+19
-20
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.08 53.8%
IND
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
101.1
DAL 102.1
IND 105.1 +3.0
Pace
95.3
89.9
DAL 97.3
IND 98.4 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.2
DAL 14.8
IND 14.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
47.1%
DAL 51.8% +4.8%
IND 47.0%
TO %
12.3%
15.0%
DAL 16.7% +0.2%
IND 16.9%
ORB %
31.4%
28.5%
DAL 21.1%
IND 33.3% +12.2%
FTrt
25.6
31.9
DAL 19.3
IND 39.3 +20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
64.4%
DAL 61.0%
IND 85.7% +24.7%
STL %
8.3%
9.8%
DAL 11.3%
IND 15.3% +4.0%
BLK %
8.2%
8.0%
DAL 14.3% +10.2%
IND 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
49.2%
DAL 53.8% +1.8%
IND 52.0%
Rim FG%
59.0%
55.2%
DAL 68.0% +19.1%
IND 48.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.5%
DAL 41.7% +19.5%
IND 22.2%
3P %
34.8%
35.1%
DAL 40.0%
IND 42.9% +2.9%
FT %
79.6%
76.4%
DAL 81.3% +8.6%
IND 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
34.4%
DAL 30.1%
IND 53.6% +23.5%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
45.4%
DAL 57.8%
IND 21.4% +36.4%
3P Att. %
20.1%
20.3%
DAL 12.0%
IND 25.0% +13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALIND
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.923.9
Points99103
Rebounds4247
Assists2530
Steals1115
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals41-8335-84
At-the-Rim FG17-2522-45
Midrange FG20-484-18
2-Point FG37-7326-63
3-Point FG4-109-21
Free Throws13-1624-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 26
39.0
22
50%
7
2
2
5
2
6
0
7
5-6
83%
7-15
47%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 178 · 30
38.1
13
50%
6
14
1
0
6
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 28
29.0
15
68%
11
1
1
3
5
2
2
9
0-0
-
6-8
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
16.6
6
38%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 36
13.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
33.3
15
58%
3
0
2
0
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24
33.1
13
50%
5
1
3
0
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
1-1
100%
C · 7'6" 275 · 32
23.9
9
90%
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 32
8.2
6
100%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
42
25
11
9
17
0
8
34
13-16
81%
37-73
51%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.