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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 24, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Kings37%10391
3Lakers63%107115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
39.6
39.1
12
32%
3
6
1
1
0
3
1
2
4-6
67%
4-14
5-10
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.8
37.4
39.4
20
60%
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
35.0
35.7
18
49%
4
2
2
1
0
3
3
1
4-8
50%
7-15
8-18
47%
45%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.9
30.3
35.9
10
39%
4
5
4
2
1
3
4
0
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-5
20%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.1
24.4
22.1
9
51%
2
4
0
1
3
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 27.9
27.3
27.8
2
20%
7
5
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.3
23.9
20.4
11
138%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
3-3
100%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
10.4
6.1
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.1
4.7
6.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
4.7
3.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
2.5
2.8
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.7
3.4
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.6
36.3
35.0
36
64%
6
6
1
2
0
0
2
4
12-12
100%
9-18
7-15
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.0
34.6
38.4
17
59%
16
6
1
1
1
1
2
14
1-3
33%
8-13
8-14
62%
57%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.7
33.5
31.6
20
59%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
10-15
5-9
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.7
32.3
31.4
11
54%
7
4
1
1
0
4
2
5
3-5
60%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.7
30.2
24.5
6
50%
5
5
0
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.0
22.9
13.7
15
70%
8
1
1
0
0
2
4
4
3-4
75%
6-9
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
17.2
16.5
4
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
14.2
15.7
2
17%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
10.1
16.2
0
0%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
3.7
5.1
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
2.5
9.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
2.5
3.3
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.