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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 24, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bucks42%9889
20Warriors58%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
39.4
32.2
24
62%
6
4
2
1
0
2
3
3
8-10
80%
8-14
5-11
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.8
34.9
26.7
12
61%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
33.2
35.6
9
45%
8
2
0
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-7
5-11
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
27.9
26.4
8
58%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
14.6
25.5
4
40%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.5
32.4
25.8
20
61%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
8-10
80%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.3
23.4
7.2
3
22%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
0-2
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.4
18.7
21.1
5
53%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.5
10.6
16.6
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
4.5
16.2
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.7
0.3
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
4.2
0
1-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.3
41.7
32.9
18
46%
7
9
1
1
1
2
2
5
5-8
63%
2-10
3-7
20%
43%
3-6
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
40.3
33.5
12
40%
8
2
1
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
36.8
29.0
18
63%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.7
33.3
31.0
18
61%
13
1
0
0
4
2
5
8
2-4
50%
8-13
4-8
62%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
29.8
24.1
18
91%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
44%
2-2
100%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.7
21.9
25.4
4
58%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 39.0
15.3
20.1
3
26%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 23.9
15.2
13.8
7
51%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.0
5.7
13.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
10.1
0
1-2
49%
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
4.7
0
0-1
37%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.8
1.4
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.