FinalWin Prob.pScore
435%85
75
265%90
84
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
86.28788.5
SAS logo SAS
97.78684.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS75
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETWallace 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)75
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Tip Shot73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)73
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:19SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 1:39DETJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williamson 2 AST)73
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 1:54SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)70
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 2:13DETHamilton 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hunter 5 AST)70
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 2:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 268
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14SASMISS Parker 10' Running Jump Shot66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DETMISS Hunter 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32DETPistons Rebound66
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:32DETDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)66
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:55SASParker 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)66
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 4:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)66
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03DETMISS Billups 5' Jump Shot66
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 4:27SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)66
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 4:47DETWallace 6' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)66
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 4:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)64
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 4:51DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot64
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 5:05SASParker 7' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)64
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 5:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 5:28DETNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)64
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q4 - 5:39DETPistons Rebound64
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 5:39DETMISS Hunter 16' Jump Shot64
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q4 - 5:55SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)64
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 6:08SASRose Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)64
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 6:08SASMISS Rose Free Throw Technical64
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 6:08SASSPURS Rebound64
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 6:09DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot64
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q4 - 6:26SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)64
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q4 - 6:37SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q4 - 6:39DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 6:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q4 - 6:47DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 7:04DETPistons Rebound64
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup64
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q4 - 7:17DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T16)64
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q4 - 7:25DETPistons Rebound64
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q4 - 7:26SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot64
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q4 - 7:46DETHamilton 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)64
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q4 - 8:05SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q4 - 8:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q4 - 8:13SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q4 - 8:22DETHamilton Backcourt Turnover (P2.T15)62
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q4 - 8:40SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)62
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q4 - 9:03SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
16.1%
66
83.9%
Q4 - 9:05DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q4 - 9:32SASGinobili 2' Layup (9 PTS)62
19.8%
66
80.2%
Q4 - 9:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
23.7%
64
76.3%
Q4 - 9:35SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot62
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q4 - 9:56DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)62
23.7%
64
76.3%
Q4 - 10:04SASBrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)62
28.8%
64
71.2%
Q4 - 10:18DETPrince 3' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)62
24.0%
64
76.0%
Q4 - 10:46SASBrown 3' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)60
20.4%
64
79.6%
Q4 - 11:01DETBrown STEAL (1 STL)60
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q4 - 11:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
29.1%
62
70.9%
Q4 - 11:05SASMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot60
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q4 - 11:20SASSPURS Rebound60
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q4 - 11:20SASMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot60
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q4 - 11:37DETDuncan STEAL (1 STL)60
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q4 - 11:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)60
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Hart 14' Jump Shot60
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS60
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETPrince 3' Layup (6 PTS)60
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot58
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASNesterovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 258
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASSPURS Rebound58
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETMISS Hunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASParker 4' Running Layup (12 PTS)58
25.0%
61
75.0%
Q3 - 1:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
29.0%
59
71.0%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Wallace 3' Layup58
30.3%
59
69.7%
Q3 - 1:29SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)58
33.4%
59
66.6%
Q3 - 1:29SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
34.2%
58
65.8%
Q3 - 1:33DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)58
37.7%
57
62.3%
Q3 - 1:52SASRose 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)58
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q3 - 2:09SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q3 - 2:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q3 - 2:11SASMISS Ginobili 1' Tip Shot58
49.3%
55
50.7%
Q3 - 2:13SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
49.3%
55
50.7%
Q3 - 2:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
45.9%
55
54.1%
Q3 - 2:27DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot58
47.4%
55
52.6%
Q3 - 2:43SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)58
51.0%
55
49.0%
Q3 - 2:57DETOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
55.2%
53
44.8%
Q3 - 2:57DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
54.3%
53
45.7%
Q3 - 2:57DETMISS Williamson Free Throw Technical56
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 2:57DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q3 - 3:01DETMISS Hunter 3' Layup56
47.0%
53
53.0%
Q3 - 3:04DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
50.3%
53
49.7%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
48.9%
53
51.1%
Q3 - 3:17DETMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 156
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q3 - 3:17DETOkur 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hunter 4 AST)56
45.6%
53
54.4%
Q3 - 3:33SASParker 4' Layup (10 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)54
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q3 - 3:49DETOkur 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)54
45.6%
51
54.4%
Q3 - 3:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
41.4%
51
58.6%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot52
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q3 - 4:13SASRose Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)52
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q3 - 4:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
40.2%
50
59.8%
Q3 - 4:15DETDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)52
41.7%
50
58.3%
Q3 - 4:34SASTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)52
45.1%
50
54.9%
Q3 - 4:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
48.8%
48
51.2%
Q3 - 4:53DETMISS Wallace 16' Fadeaway Jumper52
50.4%
48
49.6%
Q3 - 5:17DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q3 - 5:19DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot52
49.7%
48
50.3%
Q3 - 5:56SASTurkoglu 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)52
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q3 - 6:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
55.3%
46
44.7%
Q3 - 6:03DETDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)52
56.6%
46
43.4%
Q3 - 6:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q3 - 6:14SASMISS Turkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper52
58.3%
46
41.7%
Q3 - 6:30SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q3 - 6:32SASMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot52
58.3%
46
41.7%
Q3 - 6:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q3 - 6:39DETMISS Wallace 6' Jump Hook Shot52
56.7%
46
43.3%
Q3 - 7:02SASNesterovic 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)52
58.5%
46
41.5%
Q3 - 7:28DETHamilton 2' Dunk (11 PTS)52
61.7%
44
38.3%
Q3 - 7:31SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)50
58.5%
44
41.5%
Q3 - 7:48DETPrince 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
54.2%
44
45.8%
Q3 - 8:13SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)48
50.3%
44
49.7%
Q3 - 8:34DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)48
53.6%
42
46.4%
Q3 - 8:59SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)48
57.9%
42
42.1%
Q3 - 9:16DETPrince Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)48
52.6%
42
47.4%
Q3 - 9:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
56.4%
42
43.6%
Q3 - 9:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 248
57.4%
41
42.6%
Q3 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
56.2%
41
43.8%
Q3 - 9:34SASMISS Bowen 11' Jump Shot48
58.8%
41
41.2%
Q3 - 9:51DETWallace 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)48
56.3%
41
43.7%
Q3 - 10:04SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q3 - 10:04SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q3 - 10:17DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)46
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q3 - 10:31DETPistons Rebound44
51.9%
39
48.1%
Q3 - 10:32SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup44
50.7%
39
49.3%
Q3 - 10:46SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
47.9%
39
52.1%
Q3 - 10:48DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot44
49.1%
39
50.9%
Q3 - 11:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
50.8%
39
49.2%
Q3 - 11:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 244
51.8%
38
48.2%
Q3 - 11:09SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q3 - 11:11DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot44
51.8%
38
48.2%
Q3 - 11:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)44
54.3%
38
45.7%
Q3 - 11:24SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot44
53.2%
38
46.8%
Q3 - 11:44DETPrince 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)44
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET42
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound42
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 46' 3PT Running Jump Shot42
44.9%
38
55.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)42
46.2%
38
53.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)42
46.8%
37
53.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)42
47.5%
36
52.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
53.8%
35
46.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
53.4%
35
46.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASParker 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASSPURS Rebound40
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup40
55.5%
33
44.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETMISS Billups 9' Jump Shot40
54.6%
33
45.4%
Q2 - 1:09SASNesterovic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)40
55.2%
33
44.8%
Q2 - 1:33DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)40
59.9%
31
40.1%
Q2 - 1:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)37
52.0%
31
48.0%
Q2 - 1:43SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup37
51.5%
31
48.5%
Q2 - 1:46DETTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)37
50.3%
31
49.7%
Q2 - 1:55SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)37
52.0%
31
48.0%
Q2 - 1:59SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
50.3%
31
49.7%
Q2 - 2:01SASMISS Turkoglu 4' Jump Shot37
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q2 - 2:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
48.9%
31
51.1%
Q2 - 2:18DETMISS Wallace 4' Hook Shot37
49.8%
31
50.2%
Q2 - 2:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
51.8%
31
48.2%
Q2 - 2:31SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 237
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q2 - 2:51DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)37
52.2%
30
47.8%
Q2 - 3:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
47.9%
30
52.1%
Q2 - 3:09SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 3:18SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
44.6%
30
55.4%
Q2 - 3:20DETNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)35
45.6%
30
54.4%
Q2 - 3:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
48.0%
30
52.0%
Q2 - 3:32SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot35
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q2 - 3:51DETWallace 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)35
44.7%
30
55.3%
Q2 - 4:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Billups 3' Layup33
39.2%
30
60.8%
Q2 - 4:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
41.2%
30
58.8%
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 233
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 4:24SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 4:29SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
41.2%
29
58.8%
Q2 - 4:30DETHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)33
42.0%
29
58.0%
Q2 - 4:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 4:52SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot33
43.2%
29
56.8%
Q2 - 5:06SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 5:08DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot33
41.6%
29
58.4%
Q2 - 5:27SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)33
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 5:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 5:44SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot33
42.8%
29
57.2%
Q2 - 5:57DETBillups 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 6:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 6:10SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 231
38.8%
28
61.2%
Q2 - 6:21DETBowen STEAL (1 STL)31
37.6%
28
62.4%
Q2 - 6:27SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)31
40.7%
28
59.3%
Q2 - 6:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
37.6%
28
62.4%
Q2 - 6:34DETMISS James 6' Jump Shot31
38.5%
28
61.5%
Q2 - 6:58SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)31
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q2 - 7:06DETJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)31
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q2 - 7:22DETMISS Billups Free Throw Technical29
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q2 - 7:22SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)29
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q2 - 7:39SASSPURS Rebound29
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 2 of 229
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 1 of 229
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 8:02SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)29
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 8:02SASBowen 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)29
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q2 - 8:12DETCampbell Foul Turnover (P1.T6)29
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q2 - 8:26SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q2 - 8:46DETWilliamson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)29
44.7%
23
55.3%
Q2 - 9:12SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)27
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q2 - 9:22SASSPURS Rebound27
46.6%
20
53.4%
Q2 - 9:23DETMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q2 - 9:37SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q2 - 9:48DETCampbell 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)27
46.6%
20
53.4%
Q2 - 10:11SASBrown 3' Layup (2 PTS)25
44.2%
20
55.8%
Q2 - 10:31DETJames 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q2 - 10:49SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)23
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q2 - 11:09DETHunter 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q2 - 11:23DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
38.6%
18
61.4%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Brown 2' Layup21
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q2 - 11:40DETOkur 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
34.1%
18
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot19
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETRose BLOCK (1 BLK)19
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0DETPistons Rebound19
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASMISS Brown 8' Jump Shot19
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup19
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 1:16DETWilliamson 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)19
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 1:32SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)17
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 1:42DETTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)17
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 1:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 1:49SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 2:04DETHamilton 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)17
31.8%
16
68.2%
Q1 - 2:08SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)15
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 2:25DETHamilton Layup (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)15
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 2:46SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 2:59SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 3:00DETMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot13
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 3:20DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 3:22SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot13
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 3:32SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 3:58DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)13
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 4:17DETPistons Rebound10
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 4:18SASMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot10
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 4:33DETBillups Backcourt Turnover (P3.T4)10
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 4:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 4:48SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot10
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 5:08DETWilliamson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)10
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 5:14SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 5:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot8
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 5:34DETWallace 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)8
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 5:53SASRose 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 5:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 6:02DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 6:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 6:09SASMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot6
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 6:30DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)6
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 6:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 6:35DETMISS Williamson 7' Jump Shot6
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 6:52SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 6:52SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 7:09DETHamilton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)6
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 7:32SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 7:53DETWilliamson 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 8:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 8:04SASMISS Bowen 2' Layup2
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 8:24DETWallace 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:46SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 8:46SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
19.5%
7
80.5%
Q1 - 8:58SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 9:00DETMISS Hamilton 3' Layup0
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)0
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 9:40DETBillups Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 9:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 9:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 9:47SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot0
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 9:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 9:56DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot0
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:18SASBowen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)0
24.2%
4
75.8%
Q1 - 10:21DETNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)0
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 10:44SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)0
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:59SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:00DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:10SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Jump Shot0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:16SASSPURS Rebound0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:17SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:29DETMISS Wallace 1' Reverse Layup0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:44DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:46SASMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Wallace: Tip to Duncan0
28.5%
0
71.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.3%
SAS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
24
50%
SAS
15
30
50%
Midrange
DET
18
39
46%
SAS
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
SAS
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
DET
6
13
46%
SAS
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace1747%8.5 / 18
R. Hamilton1558%7.5 / 13
C. Williamson1071%5.0 / 7
T. Prince867%4.0 / 6
M. Okur850%4.0 / 8
M. James770%3.5 / 5
C. Billups425%2.0 / 8
B. Wallace214%1.0 / 7
L. Hunter220%1.0 / 5
E. Campbell250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili1761%8.5 / 14
T. Parker1647%8.0 / 17
T. Duncan1246%6.0 / 13
B. Bowen1056%5.0 / 9
H. Turkoglu935%4.5 / 13
R. Nesterovic950%4.5 / 9
M. Rose6100%3.0 / 3
D. Brown433%2.0 / 6
R. Horry125%0.5 / 2
J. Hart0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
71
+10
-16
81
SAS
71
+17
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.3%
SAS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.1
100.0
DET 86.2
SAS 97.7 +11.5
Pace
90.5
91.3
DET 88.5 +3.9
SAS 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.0
DET 16.3 +0.7
SAS 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.1%
47.3%
DET 47.3% +5.4%
SAS 41.9%
TO %
15.8%
15.4%
DET 17.8%
SAS 14.7% +3.1%
ORB %
30.2%
29.5%
DET 19.4%
SAS 36.8% +17.4%
FTrt
32.8
32.2
DET 17.8
SAS 39.2 +21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
59.0%
DET 72.7% +10.6%
SAS 62.1%
STL %
8.9%
8.8%
DET 12.6% +4.5%
SAS 8.1%
BLK %
11.0%
9.9%
DET 6.8%
SAS 11.1% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.5%
48.6%
DET 46.3%
SAS 46.7% +0.4%
Rim FG%
54.7%
57.6%
DET 50.0%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.0%
DET 46.2% +11.7%
SAS 34.5%
3P %
34.4%
35.8%
DET 30.0% +3.3%
SAS 26.7%
FT %
75.3%
68.1%
DET 46.2%
SAS 75.9% +29.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
35.9%
DET 32.9%
SAS 40.5% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
47.3%
46.4%
DET 53.4%
SAS 39.2% +14.2%
3P Att. %
15.3%
17.7%
DET 13.7%
SAS 20.3% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points7584
Rebounds3143
Assists2418
Steals117
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (5)29 (4)
Field Goals33-7329-74
At-the-Rim FG12-2415-30
Midrange FG18-3910-29
2-Point FG30-6325-59
3-Point FG3-104-15
Free Throws6-1322-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 27
35.3
4
25%
1
3
2
0
5
3
0
1
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 230 · 30
35.0
17
47%
14
2
1
2
1
4
1
13
0-0
-
7-15
47%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 240 · 30
34.3
2
14%
8
4
1
2
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 26
33.2
15
58%
0
5
2
0
3
4
0
0
0-0
-
6-12
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 212 · 24
14.1
8
67%
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 30
31.0
10
71%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-5
40%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
27.1
2
20%
2
5
3
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 260 · 25
14.9
8
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 29
11.1
7
70%
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36
4.2
2
50%
0
1
2
0
1
2
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 19
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
46%
31
24
11
4
16
0
7
24
6-13
46%
30-63
48%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.