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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 25, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Wizards46%99103
27Clippers54%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.2
39.9
29.6
30
68%
12
2
3
1
2
2
0
12
4-5
80%
7-13
5-11
54%
45%
4-7
57%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.0
34.1
31.2
9
30%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
3-13
4-8
23%
49%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
32.9
22.7
11
43%
5
6
1
1
0
2
3
2
3-4
75%
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
2-9
22%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.3
22.7
20.3
6
52%
7
0
0
0
1
2
5
2
2-4
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
14.0
22.8
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.4
36.0
25.7
20
55%
6
4
1
1
1
0
0
6
6-7
86%
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.0
22.4
25.3
6
63%
2
1
0
1
3
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.1
18.0
25.3
17
124%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
3-3
100%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.6
11.9
11.7
2
25%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
8.1
19.5
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.5
10.3
1
1-3
44%
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.5
4.4
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
42.6
33.3
18
50%
8
2
2
1
1
1
2
6
8-9
89%
5-14
6-12
36%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.9
37.7
24.3
17
50%
4
3
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
40%
3-7
43%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
36.8
26.1
25
51%
6
2
1
1
0
4
3
3
8-10
80%
7-16
4-8
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.9
27.0
15.9
7
40%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.9
21.3
22.1
0
0%
7
0
0
0
3
1
1
6
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.8
35.1
29.2
15
47%
10
6
1
1
0
1
3
7
9-11
82%
3-10
4-8
30%
43%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.9
21.7
12.3
10
56%
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
0-0
-
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.6
12.4
17.1
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.4
5.4
21.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-8
0%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.0
25.0
1
2-5
48%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.9
17.4
1
3-6
45%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.6
5.7
0
1-2
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.