Final Win Prob. pScore
551%102
118
1449%101
119
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
111.310698.5
MIA logo Heat
109.210996.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0DAL118
119
OT1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound118
119
OT1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot118
119
OT1 - 0:00.0DALSUB: Jamison FOR Bradley118
119
OT1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)118
119
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Butler 8 AST)118
119
OT1 - 0:02.0DALSUB: Bradley FOR Fortson118
116
OT1 - 0:02.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Haslem118
116
OT1 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound118
116
OT1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 2118
116
OT1 - 0:04.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)118
116
OT1 - 0:04.0DALSUB: Fortson FOR Jamison118
115
OT1 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Butler118
115
OT1 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 8 Short 2)118
115
OT1 - 0:04.0DALJamison P.FOUL (P2.PN)118
115
OT1 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler118
115
OT1 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 8 Short 1)118
115
OT1 - 0:04.0DALJamison 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)118
115
OT1 - 0:06.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)116
115
OT1 - 0:07.0DALMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot116
115
OT1 - 0:27.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)116
115
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 1116
115
OT1 - 0:29.0DALSUB: Walker FOR Fortson116
115
OT1 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade116
115
OT1 - 0:29.0DALJamison S.FOUL (P1.T1)116
115
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAOdom Driving Layup (25 PTS)116
115
OT1 - 0:34.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 7 Short 1)116
113
OT1 - 0:34.0DALDaniels Driving Layup (31 PTS)116
113
OT1 - 0:38.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)114
113
OT1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Odom 7' Jump Shot114
113
OT1 - 1:02DALJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)114
113
OT1 - 1:14DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)114
113
OT1 - 1:16MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot114
113
OT1 - 1:32DALJamison 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)114
113
OT1 - 1:39DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)112
113
OT1 - 1:41MIAMISS Odom 6' Jump Bank Shot112
113
OT1 - 2:01DALNash 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)112
113
OT1 - 2:21DALSUB: Fortson FOR Bradley110
113
OT1 - 2:21DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)110
113
OT1 - 2:22MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)110
113
OT1 - 2:34DALWade STEAL (4 STL)110
111
OT1 - 2:52MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)110
111
OT1 - 2:59MIAHEAT Rebound110
111
OT1 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup110
111
OT1 - 3:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
111
OT1 - 3:17DALMISS Daniels 15' Jump Shot110
111
OT1 - 3:23MIASUB: Wade FOR Butler110
111
OT1 - 3:43MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 7 AST)110
111
OT1 - 4:05DALJamison 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)110
108
OT1 - 4:18MIAOdom Driving Layup (23 PTS)108
108
OT1 - 4:40DALDaniels 8' Jump Shot (29 PTS)108
106
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Bradley: Tip to Nash106
106
OT1 - 5:00106
106
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
106
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)106
106
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nash 17' Jump Shot106
106
Q4 - 0:10.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)106
106
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot106
106
Q4 - 0:24.0DALSUB: Howard FOR Bradley106
106
Q4 - 0:24.0DALSUB: Najera FOR Walker106
106
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)106
106
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)106
106
Q4 - 0:32.0DALMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot106
106
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)106
106
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)106
105
Q4 - 0:54.0DALWalker S.FOUL (P2.PN)106
104
Q4 - 1:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
104
Q4 - 1:10DALMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot106
104
Q4 - 1:25MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 6 AST)106
104
Q4 - 1:39DALDaniels 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)106
101
Q4 - 1:53MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)104
101
Q4 - 1:53MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)104
100
Q4 - 1:53MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade104
99
Q4 - 1:53DALSUB: Walker FOR Nowitzki104
99
Q4 - 1:53DALNowitzki L.B.FOUL (P6.PN)104
99
Q4 - 1:53DALOdom STEAL (1 STL)104
99
Q4 - 2:10MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)104
99
Q4 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)104
96
Q4 - 2:28MIASUB: Alston FOR Butler103
96
Q4 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)103
96
Q4 - 2:28MIAGrant P.FOUL (P5.PN)102
96
Q4 - 2:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)102
96
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade Layup102
96
Q4 - 2:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
96
Q4 - 2:54DALMISS Daniels 22' Jump Shot102
96
Q4 - 3:08DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)102
96
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot102
96
Q4 - 3:30DALDaniels 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS)102
96
Q4 - 3:39MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T4)100
96
Q4 - 3:39DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)100
96
Q4 - 3:41DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
96
Q4 - 3:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)100
96
Q4 - 3:45DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
96
Q4 - 3:58MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)100
96
Q4 - 3:58MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)100
95
Q4 - 3:58DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P5.PN)100
94
Q4 - 4:13DALSUB: Bradley FOR Fortson100
94
Q4 - 4:13DALFortson Foul Turnover (P1.T11)100
94
Q4 - 4:13DALFortson OFF.Foul (P4)100
94
Q4 - 4:23MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)100
94
Q4 - 4:23MIASUB: Butler FOR Alston100
93
Q4 - 4:23DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P4.PN)100
93
Q4 - 4:23MIAOdom 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS)100
93
Q4 - 4:33MIASUB: Grant FOR Haslem100
91
Q4 - 4:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)100
91
Q4 - 4:36DALDaniels Layup (23 PTS)100
91
Q4 - 4:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)98
91
Q4 - 4:53DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
91
Q4 - 4:53DALMavericks Rebound97
91
Q4 - 4:53DALMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 297
91
Q4 - 4:53MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T3)97
91
Q4 - 4:53DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
91
Q4 - 4:55DALMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot97
91
Q4 - 5:13DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
91
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
91
Q4 - 5:38DALNash 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)97
91
Q4 - 5:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)95
91
Q4 - 5:57MIAHEAT Rebound95
90
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 295
90
Q4 - 5:5795
90
Q4 - 5:57DALFortson S.FOUL (P3.T4)95
90
Q4 - 6:13DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P3.T10)95
90
Q4 - 6:13DALNowitzki OFF.Foul (P3)95
90
Q4 - 6:17DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
90
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot95
90
Q4 - 6:42DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)95
90
Q4 - 6:57DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
90
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Odom 5' Jump Shot95
90
Q4 - 7:17DALJamison 8' Hook Bank Shot (13 PTS)95
90
Q4 - 7:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)93
90
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 293
90
Q4 - 7:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)93
90
Q4 - 7:33DALFortson S.FOUL (P2.T3)93
89
Q4 - 7:55MIASUB: Haslem FOR Allen93
89
Q4 - 7:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)93
89
Q4 - 7:56DALDaniels Layup (21 PTS)93
89
Q4 - 7:58DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
89
Q4 - 8:00DALMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
89
Q4 - 8:06DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
89
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
89
Q4 - 8:26DALJamison 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)91
89
Q4 - 8:34MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)88
89
Q4 - 8:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
89
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 8:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)88
89
Q4 - 8:49DALMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 9:03DALSUB: Fortson FOR Howard88
89
Q4 - 9:03MIAOdom P.FOUL (P4.T2)88
89
Q4 - 9:16MIAWade Running Layup (23 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)88
89
Q4 - 9:20MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)88
87
Q4 - 9:21DALAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)88
87
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
87
Q4 - 9:33MIASUB: Alston FOR Butler88
86
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
86
Q4 - 9:33DALSUB: Nash FOR Bradley88
85
Q4 - 9:33DALBradley S.FOUL (P3.T2)88
85
Q4 - 9:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)88
85
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Odom 6' Hook Shot88
85
Q4 - 9:47MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)88
85
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 10:12DALDaniels 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)88
85
Q4 - 10:28MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)86
85
Q4 - 10:42MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)86
82
Q4 - 10:43DALMISS Howard Layup86
82
Q4 - 10:51MIASUB: Jones FOR Alston86
82
Q4 - 10:51MIAAlston P.FOUL (P2.T1)86
82
Q4 - 11:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)86
82
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
82
Q4 - 11:13MIAAlston Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)86
82
Q4 - 11:13DALHoward T.FOUL (P2.T1)86
81
Q4 - 11:13DALHoward P.FOUL (P2.T1)86
81
Q4 - 11:34DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
81
Q4 - 11:40DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
81
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot84
81
Q4 - 12:0084
81
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL84
81
Q3 - 0:00.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
81
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot84
81
Q3 - 0:26.0DALDaniels 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
81
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
81
Q3 - 0:34.0DALSUB: Nash FOR Fortson82
80
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
80
Q3 - 0:34.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Alston82
79
Q3 - 0:34.0MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant82
79
Q3 - 0:34.0DALFortson S.FOUL (P1.T4)82
79
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)82
79
Q3 - 0:43.0DALMISS Fortson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot82
79
Q3 - 0:55.0DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
79
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot82
79
Q3 - 1:19DALDaniels 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
79
Q3 - 1:37MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)80
79
Q3 - 1:56DALFortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
77
Q3 - 1:56DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
77
Q3 - 1:56MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.PN)78
77
Q3 - 1:57MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)78
77
Q3 - 2:01DALSUB: Howard FOR Nash78
77
Q3 - 2:01MIAHEAT Rebound78
77
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
77
Q3 - 2:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)78
77
Q3 - 2:24DALMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot78
77
Q3 - 2:40DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
77
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Odom Driving Layup78
77
Q3 - 2:59DALFortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
77
Q3 - 2:59DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
77
Q3 - 2:59MIASUB: Odom FOR Haslem76
77
Q3 - 2:59DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)76
77
Q3 - 2:59MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.PN)76
77
Q3 - 3:01DALMavericks Rebound76
77
Q3 - 3:03DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot76
77
Q3 - 3:11DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
77
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot76
77
Q3 - 3:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
77
Q3 - 3:36DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
77
Q3 - 3:42DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
77
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot76
77
Q3 - 3:45MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
77
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
77
Q3 - 3:58DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)76
77
Q3 - 3:58MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)75
77
Q3 - 3:58DALFortson Layup (6 PTS)75
77
Q3 - 4:01DALMavericks Rebound73
77
Q3 - 4:03DALMISS Nash 10' Running Jump Shot73
77
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem Driving Layup (8 PTS)73
77
Q3 - 4:40DALFortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
75
Q3 - 4:40MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom72
75
Q3 - 4:40MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade72
75
Q3 - 4:40DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
75
Q3 - 4:40MIAOdom P.FOUL (P3.PN)71
75
Q3 - 4:50DALMavericks Rebound71
75
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot71
75
Q3 - 5:07DALFortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
75
Q3 - 5:07DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
75
Q3 - 5:07MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T4)69
75
Q3 - 5:15MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)69
75
Q3 - 5:26DALSUB: Jamison FOR Walker69
75
Q3 - 5:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)69
75
Q3 - 5:26DALWalker P.FOUL (P1.T3)69
75
Q3 - 5:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
75
Q3 - 5:29DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot69
75
Q3 - 5:42MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)69
75
Q3 - 6:04DALDaniels Tip Shot (13 PTS)69
73
Q3 - 6:06DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
73
Q3 - 6:07DALMISS Fortson 6' Jump Shot67
73
Q3 - 6:24MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)67
73
Q3 - 6:24DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
73
Q3 - 6:25DALMISS Daniels Reverse Layup67
73
Q3 - 6:39MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)67
73
Q3 - 7:00DALNash 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
70
Q3 - 7:02DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
70
Q3 - 7:04DALGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)65
70
Q3 - 7:25MIAWade Driving Dunk (13 PTS)65
70
Q3 - 7:39MIAHEAT Rebound65
68
Q3 - 7:41DALMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 7:46DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
68
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 8:11DALDaniels Driving Layup (11 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 8:23MIAButler L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)63
68
Q3 - 8:23DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
68
Q3 - 8:24DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot63
68
Q3 - 8:40MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 8:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
67
Q3 - 8:40DALNash S.FOUL (P1.T2)63
66
Q3 - 9:06DALNowitzki Reverse Layup (21 PTS)63
66
Q3 - 9:15MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
66
Q3 - 9:44DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)61
64
Q3 - 10:00MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)59
64
Q3 - 10:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)59
62
Q3 - 10:06DALGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)59
62
Q3 - 10:22MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 10:22DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T1)59
61
Q3 - 10:22MIAOdom Driving Layup (13 PTS)59
61
Q3 - 10:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
59
Q3 - 10:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)58
59
Q3 - 10:34MIAOdom S.FOUL (P2.T1)57
59
Q3 - 10:34DALMavericks Rebound57
59
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Odom 6' Running Hook Shot57
59
Q3 - 10:55DALWade STEAL (3 STL)57
59
Q3 - 10:59DALMavericks Rebound57
59
Q3 - 11:00DALMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot57
59
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)57
59
Q3 - 11:19DALJones STEAL (1 STL)57
57
Q3 - 11:23MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)57
57
Q3 - 11:47DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)57
57
Q3 - 12:0054
57
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL54
57
Q2 - 0:00.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
57
Q2 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
57
Q2 - 0:11.0DALSUB: Howard FOR Walker53
57
Q2 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
57
Q2 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Grant FOR Haslem52
57
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T4)52
57
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
57
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
55
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup52
55
Q2 - 0:53.0DALDaniels 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)52
55
Q2 - 1:06DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
55
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot50
55
Q2 - 1:13MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)50
55
Q2 - 1:15DALMISS Daniels 7' Jump Shot50
55
Q2 - 1:32DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
55
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 250
55
Q2 - 1:33MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
55
Q2 - 1:33DALBradley S.FOUL (P2.PN)50
54
Q2 - 1:52DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)50
54
Q2 - 1:55MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade48
54
Q2 - 1:55DALMavericks Rebound48
54
Q2 - 1:56DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot48
54
Q2 - 2:15MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)48
54
Q2 - 2:32DALSUB: Bradley FOR Jamison48
51
Q2 - 2:32DALSUB: Walker FOR Williams48
51
Q2 - 2:32DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
51
Q2 - 2:32DALWilliams L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)48
51
Q2 - 2:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
51
Q2 - 2:33DALMISS Jamison 5' Hook Shot48
51
Q2 - 2:41MIAJones 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
51
Q2 - 2:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
49
Q2 - 2:53DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot48
49
Q2 - 3:06MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
49
Q2 - 3:06MIAHEAT Rebound48
48
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 248
48
Q2 - 3:06DALWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)48
48
Q2 - 3:15DALSUB: Williams FOR Najera48
48
Q2 - 3:15DALNash Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)48
48
Q2 - 3:1547
48
Q2 - 3:25DALJamison 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)47
48
Q2 - 3:35MIAOdom Layup (9 PTS)45
48
Q2 - 3:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
46
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 3:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
46
Q2 - 3:47DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 3:54MIAWade Layup (9 PTS)45
46
Q2 - 4:02MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
44
Q2 - 4:04DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot45
44
Q2 - 4:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)45
44
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
44
Q2 - 4:27DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
44
Q2 - 4:27DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
44
Q2 - 4:27MIAAlston S.FOUL (P1.T3)43
44
Q2 - 4:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
44
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 143
44
Q2 - 4:43DALSUB: Daniels FOR Howard43
44
Q2 - 4:43MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler43
44
Q2 - 4:43DALNajera S.FOUL (P1.T2)43
44
Q2 - 4:43MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
44
Q2 - 4:59DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
42
Q2 - 5:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
42
Q2 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound41
41
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 241
41
Q2 - 5:12DALSUB: Jamison FOR Walker41
41
Q2 - 5:1241
41
Q2 - 5:12DALHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)41
41
Q2 - 5:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
41
Q2 - 5:18DALButler BLOCK (1 BLK)41
41
Q2 - 5:30MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)41
41
Q2 - 5:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
39
Q2 - 5:35DALOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)41
39
Q2 - 5:39MIAOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
39
Q2 - 5:41MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
39
Q2 - 5:43DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot41
39
Q2 - 5:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
39
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
39
Q2 - 6:22DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)41
39
Q2 - 6:39MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)39
39
Q2 - 7:01DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Jamison39
36
Q2 - 7:01DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
36
Q2 - 7:01DALSUB: Najera FOR Bradley38
36
Q2 - 7:01DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
36
Q2 - 7:01MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
36
Q2 - 7:02DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
36
Q2 - 7:03DALMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot37
36
Q2 - 7:16MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)37
36
Q2 - 7:26MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
34
Q2 - 7:28DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot37
34
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)37
34
Q2 - 8:03DALJamison 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)37
34
Q2 - 8:12MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)35
34
Q2 - 8:16MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
32
Q2 - 8:18DALMISS Bradley 21' Jump Shot35
32
Q2 - 8:31DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
32
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot35
32
Q2 - 8:54MIAHEAT Rebound35
32
Q2 - 8:55DALMISS Walker Tip Shot35
32
Q2 - 8:56DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
32
Q2 - 8:57DALMISS Jamison Layup35
32
Q2 - 9:06MIAAlston 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
32
Q2 - 9:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 9:12DALMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot35
30
Q2 - 9:27MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
30
Q2 - 9:36MIAOdom Layup (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)35
30
Q2 - 9:40DALAlston STEAL (1 STL)35
28
Q2 - 9:54MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)35
28
Q2 - 10:06DALSUB: Walker FOR Daniels35
28
Q2 - 10:06DALSUB: Nash FOR Nowitzki35
28
Q2 - 10:06MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler35
28
Q2 - 10:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)35
28
Q2 - 10:09DALJamison Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)35
28
Q2 - 10:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
28
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot33
28
Q2 - 10:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
28
Q2 - 10:31DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot33
28
Q2 - 10:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
28
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup33
28
Q2 - 10:42DALButler STEAL (2 STL)33
28
Q2 - 10:56MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)33
28
Q2 - 11:14DALJamison Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)33
28
Q2 - 11:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
28
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 11:43DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)31
28
Q2 - 12:0029
28
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL29
28
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
28
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
27
Q1 - 0:01.0DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T4)29
26
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
26
Q1 - 0:08.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot29
26
Q1 - 0:30.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
26
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot29
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
26
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
26
Q1 - 0:59.0DALBradley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)29
26
Q1 - 1:01DALMavericks Rebound27
26
Q1 - 1:02DALMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
26
Q1 - 1:11DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
26
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot27
26
Q1 - 1:36DALBradley Dunk (2 PTS)27
26
Q1 - 1:37DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
26
Q1 - 1:39DALMISS Jamison Layup25
26
Q1 - 1:53DALSUB: Jamison FOR Walker25
26
Q1 - 1:53MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade25
26
Q1 - 1:53DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
26
Q1 - 1:53MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)25
26
Q1 - 1:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
26
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup25
26
Q1 - 1:58DALButler STEAL (1 STL)25
26
Q1 - 1:59DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
26
Q1 - 2:00DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
26
Q1 - 2:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
26
Q1 - 2:40DALDaniels Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
23
Q1 - 2:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
23
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup23
23
Q1 - 3:03DALHoward Tip Shot (2 PTS)23
23
Q1 - 3:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
23
Q1 - 3:05DALMISS Walker 8' Hook Shot21
23
Q1 - 3:23MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
23
Q1 - 3:23DALBradley S.FOUL (P1.T3)21
22
Q1 - 3:23MIAOdom Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)21
22
Q1 - 3:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
20
Q1 - 3:35DALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 221
20
Q1 - 3:35DALSUB: Howard FOR Nash21
20
Q1 - 3:35DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 3:35DALSUB: Bradley FOR Williams20
20
Q1 - 3:35MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)20
20
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)20
20
Q1 - 4:03MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)20
18
Q1 - 4:12DALNash 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 4:24MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)18
18
Q1 - 4:34DALWade STEAL (2 STL)18
16
Q1 - 4:39MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)18
16
Q1 - 4:55DALDaniels 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 5:09DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
14
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot16
14
Q1 - 5:20DALSUB: Williams FOR Bradley16
14
Q1 - 5:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
14
Q1 - 5:33DALNash 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 5:47DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 5:49DALMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 5:56DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 5:59MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Odom Layup14
14
Q1 - 6:03MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 6:21DALDaniels Driving Layup (3 PTS)14
14
Q1 - 6:34MIAOdom 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)12
14
Q1 - 6:48DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)12
12
Q1 - 7:00MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
12
Q1 - 7:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
12
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot10
12
Q1 - 7:25DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)10
12
Q1 - 7:31DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup8
12
Q1 - 7:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12
Q1 - 7:49DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 28
12
Q1 - 7:49DALSUB: Bradley FOR Williams8
12
Q1 - 7:49DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 7:49MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
12
Q1 - 7:50DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
12
Q1 - 7:52DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 7:59DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 8:19DALWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 8:36MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)5
12
Q1 - 8:46MIAHEAT Rebound5
9
Q1 - 8:47DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
9
Q1 - 8:58MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
9
Q1 - 9:05DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
9
Q1 - 9:18MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)5
9
Q1 - 9:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 9:29DALMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 9:37DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 9:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
6
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot5
6
Q1 - 10:05DALNash Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)5
6
Q1 - 10:16MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)3
6
Q1 - 10:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 10:28DALMavericks Rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:28DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 22
4
Q1 - 10:28MIAOdom S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:46DALWade STEAL (1 STL)2
4
Q1 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 10:57DALDaniels S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 11:03DALWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:21DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:36MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Williams: Tip to Odom0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.02 50.9%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
17
27
63%
MIA
20
31
65%
Midrange
DAL
27
60
45%
MIA
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
MIA
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
DAL
24
28
86%
MIA
26
34
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Daniels3165%15.5 / 24
D. Nowitzki2552%12.5 / 24
A. Jamison2067%10.0 / 15
S. Nash1853%9.0 / 17
D. Fortson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Howard638%3.0 / 8
S. Bradley450%2.0 / 4
A. Walker315%1.5 / 10
S. Williams0-0.0 / 0
E. Najera0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom2648%13.0 / 27
D. Wade2457%12.0 / 21
E. Jones2063%10.0 / 16
R. Alston2067%10.0 / 15
C. Butler1450%7.0 / 14
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
B. Grant638%3.0 / 8
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
92
+22
-14
114
MIA
98
+14
-11
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.02 50.9%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
99.3
DAL 111.3 +2.1
MIA 109.2
Pace
95.3
90.6
DAL 98.5 +1.6
MIA 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
DAL 14.6 −0.2
MIA 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
46.3%
DAL 48.0%
MIA 50.5% +2.5%
TO %
12.3%
14.4%
DAL 11.3%
MIA 10.1% −1.2%
ORB %
31.4%
27.5%
DAL 35.6% +14.0%
MIA 21.6%
FTrt
25.6
29.8
DAL 28.6
MIA 37.0 +8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
57.3%
DAL 39.1%
MIA 63.4% +24.3%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
DAL 6.6%
MIA 8.3% +1.7%
BLK %
8.2%
6.3%
DAL 10.1% +4.4%
MIA 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
48.3%
DAL 50.9%
MIA 52.7% +1.8%
Rim FG%
59.0%
53.9%
DAL 63.0%
MIA 64.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%
41.4%
36.9%
DAL 45.0% +18.7%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
34.8%
35.7%
DAL 18.2%
MIA 47.8% +29.6%
FT %
79.6%
76.2%
DAL 85.7% +9.2%
MIA 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
34.4%
DAL 27.6%
MIA 33.7% +6.1%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
44.5%
DAL 61.2%
MIA 41.3% −19.9%
3P Att. %
20.1%
21.1%
DAL 11.2%
MIA 25.0% +13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions106109
Possession Minutes25.827.0
Points118119
Rebounds5640
Assists1826
Steals79
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)29 (3)
Field Goals46-9841-92
At-the-Rim FG17-2720-31
Midrange FG27-6010-38
2-Point FG44-8730-69
3-Point FG2-1111-23
Free Throws24-2826-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
47.6
31
65%
9
4
3
2
2
1
4
5
1-2
50%
15-21
71%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 178 · 30
43.6
18
53%
6
7
1
0
5
1
1
5
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 245 · 26
43.0
25
52%
12
1
0
1
4
6
1
11
7-8
88%
9-18
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 28
25.9
3
15%
6
4
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-9
11%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 260 · 36
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
31.9
20
67%
4
0
2
0
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
8-12
67%
1-2
50%
C · 7'6" 275 · 32
22.5
4
50%
6
0
0
3
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24
21.4
6
38%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28
18.1
11
61%
7
0
0
0
1
4
2
5
9-9
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
4.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31
G · 5'11" 182 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
118
51%
56
18
7
7
14
0
16
40
24-28
86%
44-87
51%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.