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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets35%9086
8Grizzlies65%95109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.1
35.5
40.2
17
62%
5
4
1
2
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
6-8
5-11
75%
44%
0-3
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.4
31.8
27.3
14
67%
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
43%
1-2
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.5
31.1
33.6
14
47%
7
0
0
0
4
2
2
5
4-4
100%
5-13
7-14
38%
51%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.6
30.2
41.3
4
22%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
44%
0-4
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.4
26.2
30.4
12
68%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
18.8
5.2
9
53%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-7
0-1
57%
43%
0-1
0%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.5
15.8
21.2
2
50%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.5
14.8
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 39.0
14.8
6.7
4
52%
5
5
1
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.7
12.2
11.4
5
64%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 24.9
8.7
6.0
5
51%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
36%
1-2
50%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 40.3
0.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
37%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.1
28.0
23.7
9
52%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
1-4
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.2
27.1
30.2
12
75%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.4
25.5
28.3
18
98%
0
4
2
1
0
2
0
0
5-5
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
3-5
60%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
20.4
30.4
12
60%
4
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
6-13
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.8
17.0
13.1
8
77%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
4-5
80%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.3
29.9
27.4
19
53%
10
1
1
1
2
2
3
7
3-4
75%
8-16
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.0
28.8
21.0
8
51%
8
3
1
1
1
0
3
5
0-2
0%
4-7
2-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
20.0
21.1
12
47%
6
1
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
45%
2-2
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.8
18.5
17.6
5
50%
0
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.5
16.0
18.0
3
30%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
4.9
8.4
1
17%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.4
4.0
3.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.