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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bucks59%100115
29Bulls41%97105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
34.2
26.4
23
80%
8
1
0
1
3
1
1
7
10-10
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
33.0
33.9
20
48%
5
2
0
1
1
0
0
5
8-11
73%
6-15
6-12
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.9
25.6
28.9
5
51%
7
1
2
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
2-4
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.4
23.4
20.0
10
85%
2
8
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
9.8
33.9
6
52%
5
2
1
1
0
2
3
2
4-4
100%
1-4
5-10
25%
48%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.5
38.2
27.5
22
57%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
8-10
80%
7-15
4-9
47%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
24.6
21.6
21
92%
6
7
0
0
1
1
1
5
8-10
80%
5-6
2-3
83%
45%
1-1
100%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.5
19.1
14.5
2
33%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.8
17.1
2.9
4
100%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.3
14.9
12.7
2
33%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
12.3
0
2-3
52%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
3.7
0
1-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.0
35.9
32.9
10
30%
4
7
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
45%
1-6
17%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
33.4
25.9
11
47%
7
1
1
0
0
2
2
5
1-4
25%
5-10
3-7
50%
42%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
26.3
35.6
6
60%
1
5
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.8
26.1
25.2
11
42%
8
3
1
1
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.3
22.2
29.2
2
11%
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
3
0-2
0%
1-8
7-13
13%
53%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.4
39.9
12.1
34
76%
3
9
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
6-10
1-3
60%
42%
7-12
58%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.6
22.4
4.9
24
74%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-3
33%
10-13
1-2
77%
44%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 21.5
19.4
20.0
4
46%
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
4
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.2
14.3
15.6
3
54%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.8
15.7
1
2-6
42%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.9
13.5
1
1-3
49%
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
6.8
0
1-2
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.