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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Timberwolves37%9773
3Lakers63%10190
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
40.1
36.3
16
40%
16
7
4
1
1
5
3
13
3-4
75%
5-17
8-16
29%
50%
1-1
100%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
32.9
33.1
19
51%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
6-8
75%
2-11
4-10
18%
42%
3-4
75%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.4
26.6
30.4
9
45%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
6-11
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.1
19.9
28.7
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.3
7.2
17.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.1
25.6
23.6
6
27%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
23.2
14.6
8
40%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
0-2
0%
4-9
2-5
44%
42%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.0
21.4
8.7
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
17.7
20.7
13
60%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.2
10.9
14.6
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Oliver Miller
C · 6'9" 315 · 34.0
10.7
2.7
0
0%
1
0
4
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.5
4.0
5.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 32.1
42.1
35.6
22
49%
18
4
1
1
0
1
7
11
4-6
67%
9-20
7-13
45%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 25.6
36.7
34.8
35
73%
9
5
2
2
2
4
2
7
7-7
100%
11-17
7-14
65%
47%
2-4
50%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.7
32.4
31.6
7
32%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
3-9
5-10
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.7
27.1
26.5
6
50%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 40.7
25.1
30.7
4
20%
7
1
2
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
46%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.6
16.1
16.9
4
34%
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
15.9
15.3
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.0
14.5
18.0
8
46%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
13.8
13.6
2
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
11.3
4.9
2
25%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
2.5
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
2.5
3.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.