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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 26, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nuggets38%10086
9SuperSonics62%104102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.8
42.1
35.6
21
41%
5
3
1
1
0
7
4
1
9-10
90%
6-20
8-16
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
41.3
33.4
16
68%
10
5
3
1
0
2
6
4
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.7
33.5
17.6
12
64%
9
4
2
1
1
3
0
9
1-3
33%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
33.2
19.1
10
42%
11
2
1
1
4
2
3
8
0-2
0%
5-11
2-4
45%
46%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.5
25.9
30.2
6
51%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.8
22.8
23.5
4
25%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
19.8
10.9
11
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
10.0
8.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.8
6.4
16.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
3.5
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.3
1.6
6.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.7
40.2
35.6
27
56%
3
3
2
1
0
5
2
1
5-5
100%
8-17
5-11
47%
47%
2-5
40%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 29.0
35.3
32.8
10
33%
10
0
1
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-15
5-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
29.2
35.6
4
22%
7
3
1
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.9
20.6
19.2
3
26%
10
2
1
1
0
1
5
5
1-4
25%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.2
8.7
32.2
6
100%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
2-2
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
38.8
24.2
17
61%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
3-7
43%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.0
32.3
19.6
9
56%
5
8
2
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.7
24.3
17.0
19
60%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
7-12
2-5
58%
46%
1-3
33%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 28.4
10.6
12.4
7
81%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.