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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets41%95111
11Bucks59%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.1
49.1
37.5
23
67%
10
8
3
2
1
3
0
10
13-16
81%
5-8
5-10
63%
45%
0-2
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.6
45.1
36.2
19
62%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 23.5
41.8
32.0
27
72%
13
1
1
0
5
6
3
10
13-13
100%
7-13
7-14
54%
52%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.5
35.2
29.1
10
44%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
1-7
14%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 27.4
33.1
28.2
19
61%
6
0
1
1
2
2
1
5
7-8
88%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 33.6
27.0
18.9
12
86%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
6-7
2-5
86%
45%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.7
14.9
12.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 39.0
9.8
9.8
1
17%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33.5
5.2
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.9
3.5
11.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 24.9
0.2
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 40.3
1.6
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
50.8
33.0
36
56%
14
3
2
1
0
2
5
9
5-7
71%
11-24
5-11
46%
47%
3-5
60%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 26.5
46.8
30.8
19
41%
5
3
1
1
0
3
2
3
9-14
64%
5-17
5-10
29%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
38.9
28.6
25
74%
9
0
0
1
0
1
3
6
1-2
50%
12-16
4-9
75%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
36.0
22.6
10
42%
4
12
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
45%
2-4
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 27.9
16.1
27.2
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Santiago
C · 7'0" 256 · 27.8
26.6
8.5
5
40%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
1-3
33%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35.5
17.5
16.2
6
51%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.4
17.4
20.9
6
51%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 30.3
8.5
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
6.5
8.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
25.1
1
3-7
47%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.