FinalWin Prob.pScore
1429%87
80
571%94
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.98881.9
IND logo IND
95.69198.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND80
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)80
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)80
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)80
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 278
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot78
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)78
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 278
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 1:08INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 1:10INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot78
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 1:29MIAWorld Peace STEAL (6 STL)78
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 1:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWorld Peace STEAL (5 STL)78
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 2:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)78
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 2:17INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot78
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q4 - 2:36MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)78
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 2:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 2:55INDMISS World Peace 14' Jump Shot76
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 3:18MIAJones 15' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)76
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 3:33INDMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)74
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 3:52INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)74
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 4:16INDJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)74
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q4 - 4:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot74
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 4:32MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 4:33INDMISS Miller 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 4:49INDMISS Foster Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 274
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 4:49INDFoster Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 5:06INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot74
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 5:09MIAHeat Rebound74
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q4 - 5:10MIAO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)74
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q4 - 5:18INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot74
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 5:28INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q4 - 5:29INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot74
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 5:49MIAHaslem 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)74
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 6:08INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)72
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q4 - 6:31INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)72
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot72
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q4 - 7:04INDO'Neal 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)72
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q4 - 7:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot72
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
18.9%
75
81.1%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound72
18.9%
75
81.1%
Q4 - 7:43INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
17.5%
75
82.5%
Q4 - 7:59INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
14.5%
75
85.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)72
16.8%
75
83.2%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
19.4%
75
80.6%
Q4 - 8:15INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot72
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q4 - 8:42MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q4 - 8:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q4 - 8:51INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot69
9.3%
75
90.7%
Q4 - 9:15INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Alston 7' Jump Shot69
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q4 - 9:35INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
10.6%
75
89.4%
Q4 - 9:35INDWorld Peace 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)69
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q4 - 9:53MIAButler 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)69
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q4 - 9:57MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q4 - 9:59INDMISS World Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q4 - 10:23INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot67
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q4 - 10:47INDO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q4 - 10:54INDMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical67
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q4 - 11:05INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
18.1%
70
81.9%
Q4 - 11:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q4 - 11:28INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot67
19.5%
70
80.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAOdom 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)67
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND65
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)65
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0INDJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)65
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0INDJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)65
15.1%
69
84.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)65
15.6%
68
84.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot65
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDJones 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
24.3%
67
75.7%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWade 9' Driving Hook Shot (14 PTS)65
27.8%
65
72.2%
Q3 - 1:30INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)63
24.2%
65
75.8%
Q3 - 1:50MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
20.7%
65
79.3%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 262
20.1%
65
79.9%
Q3 - 1:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
20.8%
65
79.2%
Q3 - 1:58INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
17.6%
65
82.4%
Q3 - 1:58INDMISS Croshere 2' Layup62
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q3 - 2:00INDMISS World Peace 1' Layup62
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q3 - 2:22INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
17.6%
65
82.4%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot62
18.5%
65
81.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
20.7%
65
79.3%
Q3 - 2:34INDMISS World Peace 11' Jump Shot62
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q3 - 2:47INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
17.6%
65
82.4%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot62
18.5%
65
81.5%
Q3 - 3:03INDCroshere 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)62
21.0%
65
79.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
18.0%
65
82.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 3:21MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)60
14.0%
65
86.0%
Q3 - 3:43INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q3 - 4:04MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
17.8%
63
82.2%
Q3 - 4:04MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
17.3%
63
82.7%
Q3 - 4:18INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 4:18INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 4:28INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 258
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 4:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 4:31INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup58
20.0%
61
80.0%
Q3 - 4:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 4:35INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
20.0%
61
80.0%
Q3 - 4:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 4:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 5:10INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 5:10INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)56
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
21.0%
59
79.0%
Q3 - 5:32INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot56
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q3 - 5:41INDMiller Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)56
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 5:44MIAAllen 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)56
20.7%
58
79.3%
Q3 - 6:01INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 6:01INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q3 - 6:21MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
20.7%
56
79.3%
Q3 - 6:41INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 151
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q3 - 6:41INDFoster 2' Layup (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)51
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q3 - 6:57MIAOdom 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)51
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Odom 3' Layup49
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 7:13MIAHeat Rebound49
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q3 - 7:14INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot49
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 7:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
14.0%
54
86.0%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot49
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q3 - 7:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q3 - 7:34INDMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 7:53INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
14.0%
54
86.0%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot49
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q3 - 7:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q3 - 8:00INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot49
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 8:20MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)49
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q3 - 8:37INDO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)46
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q3 - 8:54INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot46
13.0%
52
87.0%
Q3 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q3 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q3 - 9:07INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)44
11.1%
52
88.9%
Q3 - 9:21MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)44
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q3 - 9:39INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 9:39INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q3 - 9:50MIAGrant 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)42
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q3 - 10:07INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T9)40
8.7%
50
91.3%
Q3 - 10:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q3 - 10:16INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot40
8.3%
50
91.7%
Q3 - 10:40MIAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)40
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
8.7%
50
91.3%
Q3 - 11:00INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot40
8.3%
50
91.7%
Q3 - 11:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot40
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q3 - 11:40INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot40
8.4%
50
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND40
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot40
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAWorld Peace STEAL (4 STL)40
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
11.4%
48
88.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 240
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 240
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 1:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
11.4%
48
88.6%
Q2 - 1:01MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup40
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup40
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 1:08INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)40
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 1:14INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
10.9%
48
89.1%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot40
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 1:35INDWorld Peace 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T7)40
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 1:47MIAWade 2' Finger Roll (8 PTS)40
10.9%
48
89.1%
Q2 - 2:01INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)38
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q2 - 2:01INDHarrington 1' Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)38
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 2:05MIATinsley STEAL (2 STL)38
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 2:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
13.5%
45
86.5%
Q2 - 2:19INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 238
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 2:19INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 2:20INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 2:21INDMISS World Peace 1' Layup38
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)38
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 2:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 2:59INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup36
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 3:00INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q2 - 3:02INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot36
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 3:19MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)36
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 3:38INDO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)34
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 3:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
11.1%
42
88.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot34
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 4:11INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)34
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 4:18INDPACERS Rebound34
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 4:18INDMISS World Peace 5' Jump Shot34
16.4%
39
83.6%
Q2 - 4:37MIAGrant 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)34
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 4:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)32
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot32
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 4:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 5:00INDMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot32
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q2 - 5:26INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot32
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 5:42INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 5:59MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)32
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 6:23INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 6:33INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot29
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 6:42INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)29
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 6:44INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 6:47INDMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot29
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 7:08MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)29
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 7:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 7:21INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot26
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)26
7.4%
39
92.6%
Q2 - 7:51INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 8:01INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot23
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 8:11MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 8:13INDMISS Harrington 3' Reverse Layup23
7.4%
37
92.6%
Q2 - 8:30MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T9)23
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 8:48INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 8:48INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 8:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
8.3%
35
91.7%
Q2 - 8:54INDMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot23
8.9%
35
91.1%
Q2 - 9:09MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T8)23
8.4%
35
91.6%
Q2 - 9:26INDJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)23
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 9:44INDPACERS Rebound23
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 9:53MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
12.2%
32
87.8%
Q2 - 10:14INDJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)22
11.4%
32
88.6%
Q2 - 10:38INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Alston 10' Jump Shot22
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 10:43INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q2 - 10:59MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)22
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q2 - 11:16INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)19
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q2 - 11:28MIAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)19
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q2 - 11:41INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q2 - 11:41INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound19
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS World Peace 33' 3PT Jump Shot19
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)19
14.8%
25
85.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDWorld Peace 10' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)19
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 218
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDJohnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 1:00INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 1:02INDMISS World Peace 1' Dunk18
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 1:05MIAWorld Peace STEAL (3 STL)18
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 1:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 1:23INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 218
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 1:23INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 1:33INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 1:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 1:50INDMISS Jones 3' Finger Roll18
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 2:08MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 2:23INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
18.6%
20
81.4%
Q1 - 2:23INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 2:39INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup16
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 2:50MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 2:51INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot16
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 3:15MIAAlston 2' Finger Roll (2 PTS)16
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 3:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 3:37INDMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot14
18.3%
18
81.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 3:58MIAGrant 3' Layup (2 PTS)14
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot12
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 4:10INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup12
15.6%
18
84.4%
Q1 - 4:31INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)12
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 4:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Odom 10' Jump Shot12
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 4:53INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q1 - 4:53INDFoster 1' Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)12
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
18.3%
15
81.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 5:18INDMISS World Peace 2' Layup10
16.8%
15
83.2%
Q1 - 5:22MIATinsley STEAL (1 STL)10
15.9%
15
84.1%
Q1 - 5:39INDWorld Peace 3' Finger Roll (6 PTS)10
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 5:57MIAOdom 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
18.3%
13
81.7%
Q1 - 6:13INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:36MIAButler 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)8
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 6:52INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)6
15.0%
13
85.0%
Q1 - 7:06INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot6
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 7:19MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot6
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 7:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot6
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 7:46INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 7:46INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
18.7%
9
81.3%
Q1 - 7:56INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.5%
8
80.5%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot6
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 8:21INDFoster 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 8:34INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot6
22.3%
6
77.7%
Q1 - 8:45INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 8:52MIAWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)6
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 9:00INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot6
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
21.3%
6
78.7%
Q1 - 9:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 9:26INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot4
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 9:37MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 9:52INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 9:52INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 10:08MIAOdom 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 10:26INDO'Neal 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)0
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 10:32INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:34INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 10:40INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:42MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:02INDO'Neal 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)0
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:22MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 11:24INDMISS World Peace 13' Jump Shot0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:46MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Grant: Tip to Odom0
22.9%
0
77.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.1%
IND
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
IND
8
22
36%
Midrange
MIA
10
36
28%
IND
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
IND
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
13
17
76%
IND
34
43
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1441%7.0 / 17
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
C. Butler1470%7.0 / 10
B. Grant840%4.0 / 10
L. Odom867%4.0 / 6
R. Alston836%4.0 / 11
M. Allen857%4.0 / 7
U. Haslem338%1.5 / 4
R. Butler350%1.5 / 3
S. Walker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2346%11.5 / 25
M. World Peace1836%9.0 / 25
A. Harrington945%4.5 / 10
F. Jones975%4.5 / 6
J. Tinsley857%4.0 / 7
J. Foster880%4.0 / 5
A. Johnson880%4.0 / 5
R. Miller450%2.0 / 4
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+11
-14
85
IND
77
+13
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.1%
IND
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
101.1
MIA 90.9
IND 95.6 +4.7
Pace
90.6
89.9
MIA 81.9
IND 98.6 +16.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
MIA 17.6
IND 14.6 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.1%
MIA 43.5% +4.5%
IND 39.0%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
MIA 15.1%
IND 13.9% +1.2%
ORB %
27.5%
28.5%
MIA 21.7%
IND 25.0% +3.3%
FTrt
29.8
31.9
MIA 22.1
IND 63.2 +41.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
64.4%
MIA 73.3%
IND 79.2% +5.9%
STL %
7.9%
9.8%
MIA 5.7%
IND 9.9% +4.2%
BLK %
6.3%
8.0%
MIA 15.1% +5.3%
IND 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
49.2%
MIA 47.1% +0.3%
IND 46.8%
Rim FG%
53.9%
55.2%
MIA 52.0% +15.6%
IND 36.4%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.5%
MIA 27.8%
IND 35.5% +7.7%
3P %
35.7%
35.1%
MIA 43.8% +10.5%
IND 33.3%
FT %
76.2%
76.4%
MIA 76.5%
IND 79.1% +2.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
34.4%
MIA 32.5% +0.1%
IND 32.4%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
45.4%
MIA 46.8%
IND 45.6% +1.2%
3P Att. %
21.1%
20.3%
MIA 20.8%
IND 22.1% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions8891
Possession Minutes25.822.1
Points8087
Rebounds4347
Assists2219
Steals59
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals30-7724-68
At-the-Rim FG13-258-22
Midrange FG10-3611-31
2-Point FG23-6119-53
3-Point FG7-165-15
Free Throws13-1734-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
39.4
14
41%
4
6
0
0
1
4
1
3
1-1
100%
2-10
20%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
36.8
14
47%
4
7
1
1
5
1
0
4
6-8
75%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
29.1
14
70%
4
2
1
0
1
4
0
4
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
27.9
8
40%
9
0
1
1
0
6
4
5
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
20.0
8
67%
5
1
0
0
3
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
25.3
8
36%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
23.2
3
38%
5
1
0
0
2
5
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
18.6
8
57%
5
1
0
4
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
13.9
3
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
C · 7'1" 284 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
43
22
5
8
14
0
10
33
13-17
76%
23-61
38%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.