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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 28, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Wizards13%9792
1Kings87%110100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
44.0
27.1
27
48%
6
2
1
1
0
3
1
5
12-14
86%
6-16
3-8
38%
43%
1-6
17%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.1
42.0
28.9
18
46%
15
1
1
1
0
3
5
10
8-10
80%
5-15
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.2
41.5
32.4
18
42%
7
4
2
1
2
2
4
3
2-3
67%
8-16
5-12
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
19.5
21.6
6
77%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
41%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.3
17.5
19.8
7
51%
8
1
0
0
2
3
4
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.0
29.8
23.6
9
52%
9
1
2
0
4
1
3
6
1-6
17%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.4
26.3
26.3
7
35%
5
6
3
1
0
6
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
42%
1-4
25%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
12.8
17.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.6
6.0
14.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.5
0.7
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.1
15.6
1
1-3
41%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.5
12.7
1
2-4
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.8
46.3
38.0
29
68%
11
2
2
1
0
2
1
10
5-5
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
53%
4-8
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
41.6
38.4
21
44%
4
7
5
1
0
0
4
0
2-2
100%
8-18
5-10
44%
50%
1-5
20%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.9
39.7
33.4
12
61%
9
4
1
2
2
3
0
9
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
38.7
34.6
23
53%
9
7
0
1
3
3
2
7
7-8
88%
8-18
9-18
44%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.0
38.2
27.3
4
34%
4
2
2
1
2
4
0
4
0-2
0%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.3
17.0
21.2
7
58%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.1
13.6
6.3
4
42%
4
1
2
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
4.8
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.1
22.6
1
3-5
49%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
7.7
0
1-3
45%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.7
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
3.0
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.