FinalWin Prob.pScore
2927%89
96
1473%96
105
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
98.098104.7
MIA logo MIA
104.010194.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Fizer Tip Shot96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHIDupree Tip Shot (11 PTS)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Fizer 5' Hook Shot94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHIBulls Rebound94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHIMISS Fizer 4' Hook Shot94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHIBulls Rebound94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Fizer 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Rebound94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Dupree Free Throw 2 of 294
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHIDupree Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)94
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:10MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)93
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 1:10MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)93
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:11CHIGrant STEAL (2 STL)93
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)93
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 1:37CHIDavis Dunk (14 PTS)93
7.8%
96
92.2%
Q4 - 1:38CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 1:39CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 1:57CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot91
4.7%
96
95.3%
Q4 - 2:19CHIPargo Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)91
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 2:19CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)90
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 2:19CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)89
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 2:29MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)88
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 2:29MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)88
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound88
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:31CHIMISS Curry 7' Jump Shot88
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 2:37CHIBulls Rebound88
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 2:38CHIButler BLOCK (2 BLK)88
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 2:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)88
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAHaslem 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)88
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q4 - 3:07CHIHinrich 5' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)86
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAButler 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)86
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
16.2%
88
83.8%
Q4 - 3:34CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
17.8%
88
82.2%
Q4 - 3:44CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
21.9%
88
78.1%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
19.9%
88
80.1%
Q4 - 4:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
15.8%
88
84.2%
Q4 - 4:14CHIMISS Curry 16' Jump Shot86
17.5%
88
82.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
21.8%
88
78.2%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 286
23.1%
87
76.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
21.5%
87
78.5%
Q4 - 4:27CHIMISS Pargo 10' Jump Shot86
23.6%
87
76.4%
Q4 - 4:42MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)86
29.0%
87
71.0%
Q4 - 4:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
36.9%
85
63.1%
Q4 - 4:54CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
39.9%
85
60.1%
Q4 - 5:12CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
43.3%
85
56.7%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot86
40.7%
85
59.3%
Q4 - 5:37CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P3.T18)86
35.1%
85
64.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
43.5%
85
56.5%
Q4 - 6:09CHIAlston STEAL (3 STL)86
47.5%
83
52.5%
Q4 - 6:12MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)86
56.2%
83
43.8%
Q4 - 6:35CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)86
47.7%
83
52.3%
Q4 - 6:35CHIDavis Layup (11 PTS)85
40.3%
83
59.7%
Q4 - 6:36CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
34.2%
83
65.8%
Q4 - 6:37CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
29.0%
83
71.0%
Q4 - 6:47CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
34.2%
83
65.8%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot83
31.9%
83
68.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Butler Free Throw Technical83
26.7%
83
73.3%
Q4 - 7:10CHIDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T16)83
26.7%
83
73.3%
Q4 - 7:18MIAHaslem 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
33.2%
83
66.8%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)83
38.8%
81
61.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot83
44.0%
81
56.0%
Q4 - 7:40CHIFizer Layup (8 PTS)83
38.8%
81
61.2%
Q4 - 7:42CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q4 - 7:44CHIMISS Fizer Driving Layup81
28.6%
81
71.4%
Q4 - 8:08CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
32.5%
81
67.5%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 281
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
28.2%
81
71.8%
Q4 - 8:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
27.1%
81
72.9%
Q4 - 8:14CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup81
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)81
32.5%
81
67.5%
Q4 - 8:32MIAButler Driving Layup (20 PTS)81
38.4%
80
61.6%
Q4 - 8:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
44.5%
78
55.5%
Q4 - 8:36CHIButler BLOCK (1 BLK)81
46.4%
78
53.6%
Q4 - 8:46CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
51.0%
78
49.0%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot81
49.0%
78
51.0%
Q4 - 9:04CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
42.7%
78
57.3%
Q4 - 9:04CHIMISS Pargo Free Throw 1 of 280
42.1%
78
57.9%
Q4 - 9:16MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
43.0%
78
57.0%
Q4 - 9:32CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)80
48.8%
76
51.2%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
56.3%
75
43.7%
Q4 - 10:04CHIPargo 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)80
58.4%
74
41.6%
Q4 - 10:17CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
53.4%
74
46.6%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup78
51.5%
74
48.5%
Q4 - 10:40CHIDupree 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)78
47.3%
74
52.7%
Q4 - 10:57MIAWalker Dunk (8 PTS)75
36.7%
74
63.3%
Q4 - 10:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
41.7%
72
58.3%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup75
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q4 - 11:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
41.3%
72
58.7%
Q4 - 11:17CHIMISS Fizer 19' Jump Shot75
43.0%
72
57.0%
Q4 - 11:39CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
46.9%
72
53.1%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
45.2%
72
54.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
41.3%
72
58.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
41.3%
72
58.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 79' 3PT Jump Shot75
45.2%
72
54.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHICrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)75
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHICrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)74
39.5%
72
60.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHICrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)73
38.7%
72
61.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHICrawford Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)72
30.8%
72
69.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)71
26.7%
72
73.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
30.9%
70
69.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHIMISS Fizer 18' Jump Shot71
32.2%
70
67.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 171
34.8%
70
65.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAButler Running Layup (18 PTS)71
35.5%
70
64.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIDupree Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)71
40.4%
68
59.6%
Q3 - 1:09MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)71
43.9%
68
56.1%
Q3 - 1:09MIAButler 5' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 1:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
53.5%
65
46.5%
Q3 - 1:17CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
55.0%
65
45.0%
Q3 - 1:40MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)71
58.5%
65
41.5%
Q3 - 1:58CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
67.5%
62
32.5%
Q3 - 1:58CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 2:05CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
60.7%
62
39.3%
Q3 - 2:07MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
59.3%
62
40.7%
Q3 - 2:25CHIHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q3 - 2:30MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)66
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 2:50CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q3 - 2:50CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
41.3%
62
58.7%
Q3 - 2:59CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
38.0%
62
62.0%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot64
36.2%
62
63.8%
Q3 - 3:28CHICrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)64
33.2%
62
66.8%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWalker 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)61
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 4:15CHIDavis 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)61
28.5%
60
71.5%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)59
25.6%
60
74.4%
Q3 - 4:45CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q3 - 4:45CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 4:49CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.6%
60
81.4%
Q3 - 5:05CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)57
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q3 - 5:06CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)57
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 5:08CHIMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
17.7%
60
82.3%
Q3 - 5:36MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 5:57CHIButler STEAL (3 STL)57
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q3 - 6:12CHIBulls Rebound57
28.2%
57
71.8%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot57
27.1%
57
72.9%
Q3 - 6:24MIAHEAT Rebound57
24.8%
57
75.2%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot57
27.1%
57
72.9%
Q3 - 6:39MIAHEAT Rebound57
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q3 - 6:40CHIMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
28.2%
57
71.8%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q3 - 7:14CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)57
30.7%
55
69.3%
Q3 - 7:19CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q3 - 7:20CHIMISS Johnson Tip Shot54
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q3 - 7:21CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)54
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q3 - 7:23CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup54
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q3 - 7:41MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q3 - 7:41MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
25.8%
54
74.2%
Q3 - 7:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
27.5%
53
72.5%
Q3 - 7:51CHIMISS Johnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot54
28.6%
53
71.4%
Q3 - 8:01MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)54
30.8%
53
69.2%
Q3 - 8:28CHICurry Dunk (14 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)54
37.2%
50
62.8%
Q3 - 8:34CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
34.2%
50
65.8%
Q3 - 8:36CHIMISS Curry 5' Jump Shot52
31.5%
50
68.5%
Q3 - 8:41CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)52
34.2%
50
65.8%
Q3 - 8:43CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot52
31.5%
50
68.5%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
34.2%
50
65.8%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)52
34.2%
50
65.8%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup52
40.0%
48
60.0%
Q3 - 9:02CHIButler STEAL (2 STL)52
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q3 - 9:30MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)52
39.8%
48
60.2%
Q3 - 9:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
43.3%
46
56.7%
Q3 - 9:53CHIMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 252
43.8%
46
56.2%
Q3 - 9:53CHIJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
45.6%
46
54.4%
Q3 - 9:55CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
43.4%
46
56.6%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
42.3%
46
57.7%
Q3 - 10:19CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)51
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q3 - 10:34MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)48
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q3 - 10:38MIAHEAT Rebound48
35.1%
44
64.9%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup48
37.7%
44
62.3%
Q3 - 10:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
35.1%
44
64.9%
Q3 - 10:44CHIMISS Davis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot48
36.3%
44
63.7%
Q3 - 11:07CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
37.6%
44
62.4%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot48
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q3 - 11:24CHICrawford Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)48
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q3 - 11:28CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
37.7%
44
62.3%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
36.7%
44
63.3%
Q3 - 11:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q3 - 11:47CHIMISS Davis Reverse Layup48
35.4%
44
64.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI48
37.8%
44
62.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot48
35.8%
44
64.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
34.0%
44
66.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
31.0%
43
69.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0CHIMISS Dupree 20' Jump Shot46
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
36.6%
42
63.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
37.2%
41
62.8%
Q2 - 1:02CHIButler STEAL (1 STL)46
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q2 - 1:04CHIBulls Rebound46
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 1:05CHIMISS Curry 15' Jump Shot46
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
42.7%
39
57.3%
Q2 - 1:43CHICurry 11' Hook Shot (12 PTS)46
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 2:00CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
42.1%
38
57.9%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot44
40.9%
38
59.1%
Q2 - 2:18CHICurry 10' Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
39.0%
38
61.0%
Q2 - 2:41MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 2:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot42
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 3:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
37.5%
36
62.5%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot42
39.7%
36
60.3%
Q2 - 3:27CHIDavis Driving Layup (7 PTS)42
37.6%
36
62.4%
Q2 - 3:46MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)40
35.2%
36
64.8%
Q2 - 3:46MIAJones 4' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)40
38.0%
35
62.0%
Q2 - 3:49CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)40
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 3:54CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
42.8%
33
57.2%
Q2 - 4:12CHIDupree Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 4:12CHIMISS Dupree Free Throw 1 of 239
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 4:27MIAWade 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)39
39.5%
33
60.5%
Q2 - 4:44CHIDupree 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)39
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 4:59MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
39.5%
31
60.5%
Q2 - 5:08CHIAlston STEAL (2 STL)37
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q2 - 5:28CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
44.4%
29
55.6%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot37
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 5:51CHIPargo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
41.5%
29
58.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 6:24CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)35
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q2 - 6:24CHICurry Layup (7 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)34
37.9%
27
62.1%
Q2 - 6:32CHIDupree REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
35.9%
27
64.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q2 - 6:52CHICurry Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)32
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q2 - 7:06MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)32
35.0%
27
65.0%
Q2 - 7:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q2 - 7:22CHIMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q2 - 7:42CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot32
41.7%
24
58.3%
Q2 - 8:04CHIFizer 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)32
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q2 - 8:10CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot30
36.3%
24
63.7%
Q2 - 8:32CHIGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)30
34.4%
24
65.6%
Q2 - 8:41CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot28
31.6%
24
68.4%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHEAT Rebound28
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q2 - 8:56CHIHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)28
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 9:08MIAAlston 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q2 - 9:23CHIPargo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
33.8%
22
66.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)26
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q2 - 9:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot26
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q2 - 9:50CHIFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q2 - 9:50CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
28.9%
22
71.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAJones 9' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)24
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q2 - 10:14CHIAlston STEAL (1 STL)24
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q2 - 10:23MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
31.8%
20
68.2%
Q2 - 10:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q2 - 10:39CHIMISS Gill Driving Layup24
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q2 - 10:51CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot24
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q2 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q2 - 11:16CHIMISS Dupree 18' Jump Shot24
29.5%
20
70.5%
Q2 - 11:30MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)24
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q2 - 11:48CHIGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
35.3%
18
64.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 44' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)24
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIDupree Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 1:15CHIFizer Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 1:31CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 1:54CHIDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 1:54CHIDavis 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)19
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 1:54CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 1:56CHIMISS Fizer 18' Jump Shot17
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 2:04MIAAlston Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 2:11MIAHEAT Rebound17
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 2:12CHIMISS Fizer 9' Hook Shot17
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)17
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 2:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 2:43CHIMISS Davis 4' Hook Shot17
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 3:00CHICrawford Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 3:00MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 3:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 3:05CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot16
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 3:20MIAButler Layup (8 PTS)16
26.2%
14
73.8%
Q1 - 3:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot16
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 3:46CHICurry 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)16
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 3:58CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot14
25.7%
12
74.3%
Q1 - 4:28CHICurry Dunk (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 4:42CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)12
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot12
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20.8%
12
79.2%
Q1 - 4:56CHIMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot12
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 5:20CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
21.6%
12
78.4%
Q1 - 5:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 5:38CHIMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot12
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 5:55MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)12
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 6:08MIAHEAT Rebound12
24.6%
9
75.4%
Q1 - 6:09CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
25.1%
9
74.9%
Q1 - 6:20CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)12
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 6:22CHIMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
25.1%
9
74.9%
Q1 - 6:35CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot12
25.7%
9
74.3%
Q1 - 6:56CHIDavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
24.6%
9
75.4%
Q1 - 7:06CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot10
22.4%
9
77.6%
Q1 - 7:24CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 7:24CHIJohnson Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 7:27CHIMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot8
19.3%
9
80.7%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Layup (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)8
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.4%
7
78.6%
Q1 - 7:49CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup8
21.8%
7
78.2%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 8:03CHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)8
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 8:15CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
21.6%
7
78.4%
Q1 - 8:29CHIMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 18
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 8:29CHIJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 8:31CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 8:32CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 8:49CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Bank Shot6
20.9%
6
79.1%
Q1 - 9:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.7%
6
80.3%
Q1 - 9:02CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 26
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 9:02CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
20.6%
6
79.4%
Q1 - 9:08CHIDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Jones 6' Turnaround Jump Shot5
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 9:34CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)5
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 9:34CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
18.4%
6
81.6%
Q1 - 9:44CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot3
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 9:55CHIMISS Davis Driving Layup3
16.8%
6
83.2%
Q1 - 10:15MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)3
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 10:24CHIMISS Crawford 29' 3PT Jump Shot3
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 10:54MIAButler 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)3
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 10:58CHIGrant STEAL (1 STL)3
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 11:12MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 11:29CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)3
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:39CHIJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 11:47MIAMISS Haslem 6' Running Jump Shot0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Curry: Tip to Wade0
19.8%
0
80.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.97 48.5%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
14
30
47%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
CHI
11
30
37%
MIA
15
41
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
CHI
28
34
82%
MIA
29
35
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Hinrich2053%10.0 / 19
E. Curry1662%8.0 / 13
A. Davis1450%7.0 / 14
J. Pargo1255%6.0 / 11
R. Dupree1169%5.5 / 8
J. Crawford850%4.0 / 8
M. Fizer827%4.0 / 15
L. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
K. Gill250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler3058%15.0 / 26
D. Wade2150%10.5 / 21
E. Jones1847%9.0 / 19
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
R. Alston850%4.0 / 8
S. Walker8100%4.0 / 4
B. Grant633%3.0 / 9
R. Butler233%1.0 / 3
M. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
81
+18
-17
99
MIA
92
+12
-9
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.97 48.5%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.7
99.3
CHI 98.0 +6.0
MIA 104.0
Pace
94.2
90.6
CHI 104.7 +9.8
MIA 94.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.0
CHI 13.8 +1.4
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
44.6%
46.3%
CHI 43.0%
MIA 46.9% +3.9%
TO %
16.1%
14.4%
CHI 16.8%
MIA 8.5% +8.3%
ORB %
28.1%
27.5%
CHI 34.1% +15.9%
MIA 18.2%
FTrt
27.2
29.8
CHI 43.0
MIA 43.2 +0.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.1%
57.3%
CHI 41.9%
MIA 48.6% +6.7%
STL %
8.5%
7.9%
CHI 5.1%
MIA 9.9% +4.8%
BLK %
7.4%
6.3%
CHI 3.3%
MIA 5.0% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.3%
48.3%
CHI 48.5%
MIA 50.5% +2.0%
Rim FG%
51.5%
53.9%
CHI 46.7%
MIA 73.7% +27.0%
Mid FG%
37.7%
36.9%
CHI 36.7% +0.1%
MIA 36.6%
3P %
34.2%
35.7%
CHI 31.6% +3.0%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
72.6%
76.2%
CHI 82.4%
MIA 82.9% +0.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.7%
34.4%
CHI 38.0% +14.5%
MIA 23.5%
Mid Att. %
49.7%
44.5%
CHI 38.0% +12.6%
MIA 50.6%
3P Att. %
18.6%
21.1%
CHI 24.1%
MIA 25.9% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions98101
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points96105
Rebounds5035
Assists1317
Steals510
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)27 (7)
Field Goals31-7935-81
At-the-Rim FG14-3014-19
Midrange FG11-3015-41
2-Point FG25-6029-60
3-Point FG6-196-21
Free Throws28-3429-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 295 · 21
39.9
16
62%
6
3
1
0
2
1
1
5
4-5
80%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 35
34.9
14
50%
10
1
0
1
1
5
3
7
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 23
34.8
20
53%
4
1
1
0
3
5
0
4
6-6
100%
1-7
14%
4-9
44%
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
29.9
8
50%
3
3
0
0
3
0
0
3
5-5
100%
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 205 · 24
19.0
5
42%
12
1
1
0
1
2
7
5
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 23
29.3
11
69%
7
0
0
1
2
4
1
6
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 185 · 24
24.3
12
55%
1
3
1
0
4
6
0
1
6-7
86%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 262 · 26
21.1
8
27%
7
1
1
0
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
3-13
23%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 216 · 36
6.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 21
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31
F · 6'9" 210 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
49%
50
13
5
2
17
0
14
36
28-34
82%
25-60
42%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.