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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 29, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies61%100136
27Hawks39%96133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.2
48.5
27.3
38
81%
11
3
1
1
1
2
3
8
14-15
93%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
4-7
57%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.4
39.2
27.3
22
64%
3
10
3
1
1
4
1
2
5-7
71%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
3-7
43%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.8
31.0
13.8
15
70%
9
1
0
0
4
0
3
6
1-4
25%
7-9
2-4
78%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.1
26.8
24.6
9
57%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
12.9
27.9
16
81%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
8-9
6-12
89%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.6
35.5
19.9
8
40%
3
2
2
1
1
1
3
0
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.0
33.5
25.5
6
45%
3
2
2
1
0
6
0
3
4-6
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.8
18.8
18.7
6
50%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
17.8
22.0
6
40%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.4
17.5
26.4
7
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
5-6
83%
1-8
5-10
13%
49%
0-0
-
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
8.6
5.5
3
44%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.4
3.4
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.0
52.4
36.6
23
43%
13
9
0
1
0
2
4
9
12-13
92%
4-16
5-10
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 26.0
51.6
37.2
28
62%
6
2
5
2
0
4
3
3
6-6
100%
8-13
5-12
62%
47%
2-7
29%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
45.4
36.6
23
49%
3
6
4
2
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
7-16
4-9
44%
45%
1-5
20%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.6
37.6
27.4
19
73%
5
1
2
1
1
1
2
3
8-9
89%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
31.3
31.0
22
59%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
7-8
88%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.0
29.4
21.0
4
25%
10
2
3
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Hansen
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 26.0
19.3
12.2
10
77%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
6-8
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-0
-
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
16.8
16.3
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.1
3.6
7.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
2.6
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.0
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.0
5.1
0
1-2
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.