Final Win Prob. pScore
552%97
86
1148%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
100.08684.5
MIL logo Bucks
109.28788.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL86
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDKnight STEAL (2 STL)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0INDSUB: Harrington FOR O'Neal86
94
Q4 - 0:18.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0INDJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN)86
93
Q4 - 0:23.0MILBUCKS Rebound86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)86
93
Q4 - 0:27.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDCroshere P.FOUL (P1.PN)86
91
Q4 - 0:27.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDMISS World Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDSUB: Croshere FOR Harrington86
91
Q4 - 0:34.0INDSUB: Johnson FOR Anderson86
91
Q4 - 0:34.0MILSUB: Knight FOR Jones86
91
Q4 - 0:34.0INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)86
91
Q4 - 0:34.0INDPacers Rebound86
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 2 of 286
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDWorld Peace P.FOUL (P4.PN)86
90
Q4 - 0:38.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot86
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)86
10.0%
90
90.0%
Q4 - 1:11INDAnderson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
7.6%
90
92.4%
Q4 - 1:26MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
5.6%
90
94.4%
Q4 - 1:26MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 1:26INDWorld Peace P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
88
Q4 - 1:26MILSmith REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)84
8.9%
88
91.1%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Mason 9' Jump Shot84
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q4 - 1:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
10.9%
88
89.1%
Q4 - 1:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
9.9%
88
90.1%
Q4 - 1:45MILSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)82
88
Q4 - 2:00MILJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)82
7.3%
88
92.7%
Q4 - 2:19INDWorld Peace 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 2:41MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
7.8%
86
92.2%
Q4 - 2:41MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q4 - 2:41INDHarrington P.FOUL (P4.PN)80
84
Q4 - 2:57INDAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 2:57INDAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
11.9%
84
88.1%
Q4 - 2:57MILJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)78
84
Q4 - 3:01MILSUB: Jones FOR Knight78
84
Q4 - 3:01INDSUB: Harrington FOR Foster78
84
Q4 - 3:01INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)78
84
Q4 - 3:01INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q4 - 3:02INDSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)78
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 3:19INDAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 3:21MILMISS Kukoc Layup78
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q4 - 3:37MILSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)78
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q4 - 3:40INDMISS O'Neal Layup78
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q4 - 3:54MILSmith Layup (23 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)78
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 4:02INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
17.2%
82
82.8%
Q4 - 4:02INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
16.1%
82
83.9%
Q4 - 4:02MILSkinner S.FOUL (P3.T4)76
82
Q4 - 4:11INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 4:12MILMISS Mason Layup76
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q4 - 4:28INDSUB: Foster FOR Harrington76
82
Q4 - 4:28MILSUB: Skinner FOR Gadzuric76
82
Q4 - 4:28INDAnderson P.FOUL (P4.T4)76
82
Q4 - 4:28INDKukoc STEAL (1 STL)76
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q4 - 4:47MILSmith Driving Layup (21 PTS)76
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q4 - 5:10INDO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)76
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q4 - 5:28INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 5:28MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 274
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 5:28MILBUCKS Rebound74
80
Q4 - 5:28MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 274
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q4 - 5:28INDSUB: World Peace FOR Croshere74
80
Q4 - 5:28INDSUB: Miller FOR Jones74
80
Q4 - 5:28MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)74
80
Q4 - 5:28INDHarrington S.FOUL (P3.T3)74
80
Q4 - 5:49MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q4 - 5:51INDMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q4 - 6:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
18.7%
80
81.3%
Q4 - 6:07MILMISS Kukoc 3PT Jump Shot74
17.3%
80
82.7%
Q4 - 6:24INDAnderson Driving Layup (10 PTS)74
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q4 - 6:34INDSUB: O'Neal FOR Pollard72
80
Q4 - 6:34MILSUB: Mason FOR Redd72
80
Q4 - 6:34MILGadzuric P.FOUL (P3.T3)72
80
Q4 - 6:52MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)72
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q4 - 7:00MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
18.2%
77
81.8%
Q4 - 7:01INDMISS Croshere Layup72
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q4 - 7:23MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)72
25.7%
77
74.3%
Q4 - 7:23MILBUCKS Rebound72
20.4%
77
79.6%
Q4 - 7:23MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
24.0%
77
76.0%
Q4 - 7:52INDAnderson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q4 - 8:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
18.5%
77
81.5%
Q4 - 8:03MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q4 - 8:13MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q4 - 8:16INDMISS Croshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q4 - 8:35INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q4 - 8:37MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot70
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q4 - 8:4670
77
Q4 - 8:46INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)70
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q4 - 8:46INDPacers Rebound70
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q4 - 8:46INDSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)70
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q4 - 8:48INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q4 - 8:50INDMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot70
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q4 - 9:10MILKukoc L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)70
77
Q4 - 9:10INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
20.4%
77
79.6%
Q4 - 9:11MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot70
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q4 - 9:27MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q4 - 9:29INDMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot70
17.8%
77
82.2%
Q4 - 9:46MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q4 - 9:46MILBUCKS Rebound70
76
Q4 - 9:46MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 270
20.8%
76
79.2%
Q4 - 9:46INDHarrington S.FOUL (P2.T2)70
76
Q4 - 9:46MILSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)70
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q4 - 9:46MILMISS Smith Layup70
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q4 - 9:47MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)70
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q4 - 9:48MILMISS Smith Layup70
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q4 - 10:06INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)70
21.9%
76
78.1%
Q4 - 10:06INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
21.1%
76
78.9%
Q4 - 10:06MILKukoc S.FOUL (P1.T1)68
76
Q4 - 10:27MILSmith Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)68
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q4 - 10:32INDHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T1)68
74
Q4 - 10:51INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)68
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q4 - 11:13MILRedd 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
19.6%
74
80.4%
Q4 - 11:34INDHarrington 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)66
23.3%
72
76.7%
Q4 - 12:0064
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL64
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot64
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
20.6%
72
79.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMISS Kukoc 18' Jump Shot64
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDAnderson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)64
17.7%
72
82.3%
Q3 - 1:11MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
15.4%
72
84.6%
Q3 - 1:11MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q3 - 1:11INDSUB: Croshere FOR O'Neal62
70
Q3 - 1:11INDSUB: Pollard FOR World Peace62
70
Q3 - 1:11MILSUB: Redd FOR Mason62
70
Q3 - 1:11MILSUB: Knight FOR Jones62
70
Q3 - 1:11INDWorld Peace S.FOUL (P2.T4)62
70
Q3 - 1:11MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Skinner 14' Jump Shot62
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 1:31MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 1:33INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
19.3%
70
80.7%
Q3 - 1:56MILSkinner 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)62
21.2%
70
78.8%
Q3 - 2:16MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
26.0%
68
74.0%
Q3 - 2:17INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot62
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 2:39INDSUB: Jones FOR Foster62
68
Q3 - 2:39INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)62
68
Q3 - 2:42MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)62
29.7%
68
70.3%
Q3 - 2:49MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 2:51MILMISS Smith Hook Shot62
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q3 - 2:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 2:55MILMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot62
36.7%
66
63.3%
Q3 - 2:58MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 3:01MILMISS Mason Layup62
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 3:25INDO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)62
34.7%
66
65.3%
Q3 - 3:37MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Strickland60
66
Q3 - 3:37INDSUB: Anderson FOR Johnson60
66
Q3 - 3:37MILSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T10)60
31.0%
66
69.0%
Q3 - 3:37MILSmith OFF.Foul (P1)60
66
Q3 - 3:39MILJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
27.0%
66
73.0%
Q3 - 3:41MILMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot60
29.7%
66
70.3%
Q3 - 3:59MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
27.0%
66
73.0%
Q3 - 4:01INDSkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)60
28.7%
66
71.3%
Q3 - 4:17MILSkinner 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)60
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 4:33INDFoster 3' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)60
34.9%
64
65.1%
Q3 - 4:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)58
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 4:37INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot58
28.7%
64
71.3%
Q3 - 4:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 4:41INDSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)58
28.7%
64
71.3%
Q3 - 4:58MILStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 5:11INDSUB: Harrington FOR Miller58
64
Q3 - 5:11INDJohnson L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)58
64
Q3 - 5:11MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 5:12INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
29.4%
64
70.6%
Q3 - 5:24INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
32.2%
64
67.8%
Q3 - 5:25MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot58
31.0%
64
69.0%
Q3 - 5:31INDSkinner STEAL (1 STL)58
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 5:43MILStrickland Layup (9 PTS)58
32.2%
64
67.8%
Q3 - 5:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
35.4%
62
64.6%
Q3 - 5:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 5:56MILSkinner S.FOUL (P2.T1)56
62
Q3 - 6:10MILSkinner 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)56
33.0%
62
67.0%
Q3 - 6:22MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
36.3%
60
63.7%
Q3 - 6:24INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot56
37.5%
60
62.5%
Q3 - 6:35INDPacers Rebound56
60
Q3 - 6:35INDMISS Miller Free Throw Technical56
40.4%
60
59.6%
Q3 - 6:35MILBUCKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Smith )56
60
Q3 - 6:50MILSmith Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)56
40.4%
60
59.6%
Q3 - 7:07MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)56
58
Q3 - 7:11INDFoster Dunk (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)56
44.2%
58
55.8%
Q3 - 7:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
40.6%
58
59.4%
Q3 - 7:32MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot54
39.4%
58
60.6%
Q3 - 7:53INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)54
36.8%
58
63.2%
Q3 - 8:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 8:06MILMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot51
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q3 - 8:23INDWorld Peace Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)51
27.2%
58
72.8%
Q3 - 8:35INDPacers Rebound51
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 8:37MILMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot51
29.4%
58
70.6%
Q3 - 8:59MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
27.1%
58
72.9%
Q3 - 9:01INDMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot51
28.8%
58
71.2%
Q3 - 9:19INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q3 - 9:20MILMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot51
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 9:26MILBUCKS Rebound51
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 9:27MILMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot51
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 9:40MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 9:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q3 - 9:41INDMISS Foster Tip Shot51
28.7%
58
71.3%
Q3 - 9:43INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot51
28.7%
58
71.3%
Q3 - 9:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q3 - 9:57MILMISS Skinner 5' Hook Shot51
29.9%
58
70.1%
Q3 - 10:20INDWorld Peace 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
28.6%
58
71.4%
Q3 - 10:37MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
25.7%
58
74.3%
Q3 - 10:37MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q3 - 10:37INDFoster S.FOUL (P1.T2)49
56
Q3 - 10:43MILSUB: Strickland FOR Redd49
56
Q3 - 10:43INDMiller P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
56
Q3 - 10:59INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)49
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 11:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q3 - 11:06MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot46
23.3%
56
76.7%
Q3 - 11:22MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q3 - 11:24INDMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot46
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q3 - 11:43MILSkinner Layup (6 PTS)46
24.0%
56
76.0%
Q3 - 12:0046
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL46
26.5%
54
73.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND46
54
Q2 - 0:00.0INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)46
26.5%
54
73.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0MILMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot44
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)44
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDPacers Rebound44
54
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Strickland Free Throw Technical44
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDO'Neal T.FOUL (P0.PN)44
54
Q2 - 0:45.0MILGadzuric P.FOUL (P2.T2)44
54
Q2 - 0:57.0MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)44
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q2 - 1:02MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
31.2%
51
68.8%
Q2 - 1:04INDGadzuric BLOCK (3 BLK)44
31.8%
51
68.2%
Q2 - 1:23MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
33.3%
51
66.7%
Q2 - 1:23MILStrickland Tip Shot (7 PTS)44
33.3%
51
66.7%
Q2 - 1:24MILMISS Gadzuric Hook Shot44
38.6%
49
61.4%
Q2 - 1:36MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
37.1%
49
62.9%
Q2 - 1:37INDMISS World Peace Layup44
37.7%
49
62.3%
Q2 - 1:53MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
39.3%
49
60.7%
Q2 - 1:53MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
40.1%
48
59.9%
Q2 - 1:53INDWorld Peace P.FOUL (P1.PN)44
47
Q2 - 2:04INDWorld Peace Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)44
43.2%
47
56.8%
Q2 - 2:13INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)42
47
Q2 - 2:20MILKukoc Layup (6 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)42
40.2%
47
59.8%
Q2 - 2:31INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)42
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q2 - 2:31INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
46.4%
45
53.6%
Q2 - 2:32INDGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)42
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 2:56MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)42
46.4%
45
53.6%
Q2 - 2:56MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
44
Q2 - 2:56INDJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN)42
44
Q2 - 2:56MILStrickland Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)42
49.6%
44
50.4%
Q2 - 2:59INDKnight STEAL (1 STL)42
52.7%
42
47.3%
Q2 - 3:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 3:09MILMISS Gadzuric 6' Jump Shot42
55.2%
42
44.8%
Q2 - 3:31INDO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)42
52.6%
42
47.4%
Q2 - 3:52MILKukoc 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)40
50.0%
42
50.0%
Q2 - 4:08INDSUB: Foster FOR Croshere40
40
Q2 - 4:08MILBUCKS Rebound40
52.8%
40
47.2%
Q2 - 4:09INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
53.8%
40
46.2%
Q2 - 4:33MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)40
56.1%
40
43.9%
Q2 - 4:44MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
58.8%
38
41.2%
Q2 - 4:46INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot40
59.8%
38
40.2%
Q2 - 5:04MILStrickland Foul Turnover (P1.T8)40
61.8%
38
38.2%
Q2 - 5:04MILStrickland OFF.Foul (P1)40
38
Q2 - 5:06MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q2 - 5:08INDGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)40
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 5:23MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
61.8%
38
38.2%
Q2 - 5:23INDSUB: Miller FOR Jones40
37
Q2 - 5:23MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
62.2%
37
37.8%
Q2 - 5:23INDJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)40
36
Q2 - 5:36INDWorld Peace 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
64.7%
36
35.3%
Q2 - 5:57INDSUB: World Peace FOR Harrington38
36
Q2 - 5:57INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
36
Q2 - 6:04MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)38
61.8%
36
38.2%
Q2 - 6:23MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
64.0%
34
36.0%
Q2 - 6:25INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot38
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 6:47MILSmith Dunk (8 PTS)38
67.1%
34
32.9%
Q2 - 6:48MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
69.2%
32
30.8%
Q2 - 6:50MILMISS Knight 13' Jump Shot38
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 6:53INDSUB: O'Neal FOR Pollard38
32
Q2 - 6:53MILBUCKS Rebound38
69.2%
32
30.8%
Q2 - 6:55MILMISS Gadzuric 12' Jump Shot38
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 7:10INDJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)38
69.2%
32
30.8%
Q2 - 7:17INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
64.2%
32
35.8%
Q2 - 7:19INDMISS Harrington Layup35
62.3%
32
37.7%
Q2 - 7:36MILKnight 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)35
64.2%
32
35.8%
Q2 - 7:54INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
66.7%
30
33.3%
Q2 - 8:13MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
63.8%
30
36.2%
Q2 - 8:13MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q2 - 8:13INDPollard L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)33
28
Q2 - 8:13MILBUCKS Rebound33
66.3%
28
33.7%
Q2 - 8:14INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot33
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 8:20INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
68.7%
28
31.3%
Q2 - 8:22MILMISS Gadzuric 4' Jump Shot33
68.0%
28
32.0%
Q2 - 8:36MILSUB: Smith FOR Mason33
28
Q2 - 8:36INDSUB: Johnson FOR Anderson33
28
Q2 - 8:3633
28
Q2 - 8:36INDAnderson P.FOUL (P3.T4)33
28
Q2 - 8:47INDJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)33
66.4%
28
33.6%
Q2 - 8:52MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)31
63.8%
28
36.2%
Q2 - 9:15INDCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)31
60.9%
28
39.1%
Q2 - 9:23INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
55.7%
28
44.3%
Q2 - 9:25MILMISS Kukoc 2' Layup28
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q2 - 9:40INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q2 - 9:40INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
52.4%
28
47.6%
Q2 - 9:40MILGadzuric S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
28
Q2 - 9:50MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
50.4%
28
49.6%
Q2 - 9:58MILSUB: Strickland FOR Redd26
28
Q2 - 9:58INDAnderson P.FOUL (P2.T3)26
28
Q2 - 10:13INDHarrington 2' Layup (3 PTS)26
47.8%
28
52.2%
Q2 - 10:26MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
45.3%
28
54.7%
Q2 - 10:26MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
45.8%
27
54.2%
Q2 - 10:26INDJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)24
26
Q2 - 10:29MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
47.8%
26
52.2%
Q2 - 10:31INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 10:53INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
50.5%
26
49.5%
Q2 - 10:55MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot24
49.7%
26
50.3%
Q2 - 11:06INDPollard Foul Turnover (P1.T2)24
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q2 - 11:06INDPollard OFF.Foul (P1)24
26
Q2 - 11:16MILKukoc Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)24
50.5%
26
49.5%
Q2 - 11:30INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)24
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q2 - 11:44MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
47.9%
24
52.1%
Q2 - 11:44MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
48.6%
23
51.4%
Q2 - 11:44INDAnderson S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
22
Q2 - 12:0021
22
Q1 - 0:00.0IND21
50.4%
22
49.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound21
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Harrington 41' 3PT Jump Shot21
51.2%
22
48.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMason 11' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)21
52.5%
22
47.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDWorld Peace Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)21
55.6%
20
44.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
52.6%
20
47.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
52.0%
20
48.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)19
51.2%
20
48.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDSUB: Croshere FOR O'Neal19
20
Q1 - 0:48.0INDHarrington Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
52.6%
20
47.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILBUCKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jones )18
20
Q1 - 1:13MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
50.3%
20
49.7%
Q1 - 1:33INDAnderson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
55.7%
17
44.3%
Q1 - 1:54MILSkinner L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)16
17
Q1 - 1:54INDPacers Rebound16
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 1:55MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot16
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 2:11INDAnderson Layup (2 PTS)16
51.0%
17
49.0%
Q1 - 2:21INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Redd Layup14
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 2:29MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 2:31INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)14
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 2:39INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 2:41INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot14
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 2:50INDSUB: Jones FOR Foster14
17
Q1 - 2:50INDSUB: Anderson FOR Johnson14
17
Q1 - 2:50INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
17
Q1 - 2:59MILSkinner Layup (4 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)14
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 3:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 3:16INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot14
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 3:42MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)14
53.2%
15
46.8%
Q1 - 3:48MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
57.8%
12
42.2%
Q1 - 3:50INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot14
58.4%
12
41.6%
Q1 - 4:10MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)14
59.2%
12
40.8%
Q1 - 4:23INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
57.0%
12
43.0%
Q1 - 4:29MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 4:39INDSUB: Harrington FOR Miller14
12
Q1 - 4:39MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
12
Q1 - 4:39MILBUCKS Rebound14
57.0%
12
43.0%
Q1 - 4:45INDMISS World Peace Dunk14
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 5:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
58.7%
12
41.3%
Q1 - 5:04MILMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot14
58.1%
12
41.9%
Q1 - 5:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
56.5%
12
43.5%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot14
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 5:34MILSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)14
58.6%
12
41.4%
Q1 - 5:44MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 5:46INDMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot14
60.7%
10
39.3%
Q1 - 6:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 6:08INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
60.5%
10
39.5%
Q1 - 6:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
61.6%
10
38.4%
Q1 - 6:23MILMISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot14
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 6:51INDFoster Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 7:10MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 7:27INDJohnson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
59.2%
8
40.8%
Q1 - 7:37MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)10
57.7%
8
42.3%
Q1 - 7:42MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
55.9%
8
44.1%
Q1 - 7:44INDMISS Foster 14' Jump Shot10
56.4%
8
43.6%
Q1 - 8:04MILSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)10
57.3%
8
42.7%
Q1 - 8:24INDO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)10
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 8:48MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
56.8%
6
43.2%
Q1 - 8:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
58.1%
4
41.9%
Q1 - 8:54INDMISS World Peace Layup8
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 9:11MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
58.8%
4
41.2%
Q1 - 9:24MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 9:26INDMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot8
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 9:45MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 9:58INDFoster Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)8
58.5%
2
41.5%
Q1 - 10:03MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 10:18INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 10:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 10:37MILMISS Redd Layup4
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 11:02MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 11:05INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 14
53.4%
2
46.6%
Q1 - 11:05MILMason S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 11:05INDWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS)4
53.4%
2
46.6%
Q1 - 11:21MILRedd 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 11:41INDO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)2
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Foster0
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.95 47.3%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
28
50%
MIL
19
33
58%
Midrange
IND
15
35
43%
MIL
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
MIL
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
Free Throws
IND
13
15
87%
MIL
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2056%10.0 / 18
K. Anderson1478%7.0 / 9
A. Harrington1350%6.5 / 13
M. World Peace1235%6.0 / 17
J. Foster850%4.0 / 8
R. Miller650%3.0 / 6
A. Croshere650%3.0 / 6
F. Jones583%2.5 / 3
A. Johnson217%1.0 / 6
S. Pollard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2560%12.5 / 21
T. Kukoc1359%6.5 / 11
B. Skinner1267%6.0 / 9
M. Redd1246%6.0 / 13
D. Mason1050%5.0 / 10
B. Knight1083%5.0 / 6
E. Strickland990%4.5 / 5
D. Jones220%1.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+11
-7
90
MIL
76
+13
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.95 47.3%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.1
103.6
IND 100.0
MIL 109.2 +9.2
Pace
89.9
94.2
IND 84.5
MIL 88.5 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.0
IND 17.0
MIL 16.3 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
47.7%
IND 45.6%
MIL 49.3% +3.7%
TO %
15.0%
13.7%
IND 10.4% −2.1%
MIL 12.5%
ORB %
28.5%
27.6%
IND 22.0%
MIL 29.4% +7.4%
FTrt
31.9
33.0
IND 18.8
MIL 42.3 +23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
63.0%
IND 58.8%
MIL 72.7% +13.9%
STL %
9.8%
7.1%
IND 8.1% +3.5%
MIL 4.6%
BLK %
8.0%
7.1%
IND 6.3%
MIL 14.3% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
50.3%
IND 47.3%
MIL 52.8% +5.5%
Rim FG%
55.2%
55.7%
IND 50.0%
MIL 57.6% +7.6%
Mid FG%
38.5%
39.4%
IND 42.9% +9.6%
MIL 33.3%
3P %
35.1%
35.0%
IND 29.4%
MIL 50.0% +20.6%
FT %
76.4%
77.5%
IND 86.7% +3.4%
MIL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
36.8%
IND 35.0%
MIL 46.5% +11.5%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
46.0%
IND 43.8%
MIL 42.3% −1.5%
3P Att. %
20.3%
17.2%
IND 21.3% +10.0%
MIL 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points8695
Rebounds3342
Assists2024
Steals74
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)7 (3)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)32 (4)
Field Goals34-8033-71
At-the-Rim FG14-2819-33
Midrange FG15-3510-30
2-Point FG29-6329-63
3-Point FG5-174-8
Free Throws13-1525-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 255 · 25
35.1
20
56%
7
1
0
4
1
0
2
5
6-6
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
34.2
12
35%
1
0
2
0
1
4
0
1
0-1
0%
6-13
46%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
26.7
2
17%
1
4
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 39
25.0
6
50%
0
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
24.1
8
50%
10
0
0
0
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 24
26.2
13
50%
3
2
4
0
2
4
1
2
5-5
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 168 · 33
21.3
14
78%
2
4
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 225 · 25
18.6
5
83%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
17.0
6
50%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29
11.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
C · 7'1" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
33
20
7
4
7
0
9
24
13-15
87%
29-63
46%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.