FinalWin Prob.pScore
552%97
86
1148%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
100.08684.5
MIL logo MIL
109.28788.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL86
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDKnight STEAL (2 STL)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILBUCKS Rebound86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDMISS World Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDPacers Rebound86
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 2 of 286
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot86
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)86
10.4%
90
89.6%
Q4 - 1:11INDAnderson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q4 - 1:26MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
5.6%
90
94.4%
Q4 - 1:26MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q4 - 1:26MILSmith REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)84
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Mason 9' Jump Shot84
12.7%
88
87.3%
Q4 - 1:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
10.6%
88
89.4%
Q4 - 1:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
9.7%
88
90.3%
Q4 - 2:00MILJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)82
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q4 - 2:19INDWorld Peace 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
11.1%
86
88.9%
Q4 - 2:41MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 2:41MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 2:57INDAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 2:57INDAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
11.9%
84
88.1%
Q4 - 3:01INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
10.2%
84
89.8%
Q4 - 3:02INDSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)78
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 3:19INDAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q4 - 3:21MILMISS Kukoc Layup78
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q4 - 3:37MILSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)78
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 3:40INDMISS O'Neal Layup78
10.2%
84
89.8%
Q4 - 3:54MILSmith Layup (23 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)78
12.5%
84
87.5%
Q4 - 4:02INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
16.8%
82
83.2%
Q4 - 4:02INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
15.7%
82
84.3%
Q4 - 4:11INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q4 - 4:12MILMISS Mason Layup76
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q4 - 4:28INDKukoc STEAL (1 STL)76
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 4:47MILSmith Driving Layup (21 PTS)76
12.0%
82
88.0%
Q4 - 5:10INDO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)76
19.6%
80
80.4%
Q4 - 5:28INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q4 - 5:28MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 274
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q4 - 5:28MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 274
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q4 - 5:49MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q4 - 5:51INDMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
12.0%
80
88.0%
Q4 - 6:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
17.7%
80
82.3%
Q4 - 6:07MILMISS Kukoc 3PT Jump Shot74
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q4 - 6:24INDAnderson Driving Layup (10 PTS)74
13.1%
80
86.9%
Q4 - 6:52MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)72
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 7:00MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q4 - 7:01INDMISS Croshere Layup72
21.2%
77
78.8%
Q4 - 7:23MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)72
24.9%
77
75.1%
Q4 - 7:23MILBUCKS Rebound72
19.5%
77
80.5%
Q4 - 7:23MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q4 - 7:52INDAnderson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q4 - 8:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
17.7%
77
82.3%
Q4 - 8:03MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q4 - 8:13MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q4 - 8:16INDMISS Croshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
15.2%
77
84.8%
Q4 - 8:35INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q4 - 8:37MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot70
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q4 - 8:46INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)70
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q4 - 8:46INDPacers Rebound70
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q4 - 8:46INDSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)70
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q4 - 8:48INDPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q4 - 8:50INDMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot70
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q4 - 9:10INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q4 - 9:11MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot70
18.1%
77
81.9%
Q4 - 9:27MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 9:29INDMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot70
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 9:46MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
19.2%
77
80.8%
Q4 - 9:46MILMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 270
19.7%
76
80.3%
Q4 - 9:46MILSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)70
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q4 - 9:46MILMISS Smith Layup70
21.9%
76
78.1%
Q4 - 9:47MILSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)70
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q4 - 9:48MILMISS Smith Layup70
21.9%
76
78.1%
Q4 - 10:06INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)70
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q4 - 10:06INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
19.5%
76
80.5%
Q4 - 10:27MILSmith Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)68
17.1%
76
82.9%
Q4 - 10:51INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)68
20.2%
74
79.8%
Q4 - 11:13MILRedd 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q4 - 11:34INDHarrington 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)66
21.2%
72
78.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL64
17.9%
72
82.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot64
17.2%
72
82.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMISS Kukoc 18' Jump Shot64
18.3%
72
81.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDAnderson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)64
16.2%
72
83.8%
Q3 - 1:11MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
15.0%
72
85.0%
Q3 - 1:11MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 1:11MILSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 1:11MILMISS Skinner 14' Jump Shot62
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 1:31MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 1:33INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.5%
70
81.5%
Q3 - 1:56MILSkinner 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)62
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 2:16MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
24.7%
68
75.3%
Q3 - 2:17INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot62
25.8%
68
74.2%
Q3 - 2:42MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)62
28.6%
68
71.4%
Q3 - 2:49MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 2:51MILMISS Smith Hook Shot62
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 2:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 2:55MILMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot62
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 2:58MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 3:01MILMISS Mason Layup62
36.2%
66
63.8%
Q3 - 3:25INDO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)62
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q3 - 3:37MILSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T10)60
29.5%
66
70.5%
Q3 - 3:39MILJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
25.7%
66
74.3%
Q3 - 3:41MILMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot60
28.3%
66
71.7%
Q3 - 3:59MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
25.7%
66
74.3%
Q3 - 4:01INDSkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)60
27.6%
66
72.4%
Q3 - 4:17MILSkinner 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)60
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 4:33INDFoster 3' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)60
33.6%
64
66.4%
Q3 - 4:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)58
30.4%
64
69.6%
Q3 - 4:37INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot58
27.5%
64
72.5%
Q3 - 4:39INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
30.4%
64
69.6%
Q3 - 4:41INDSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)58
27.5%
64
72.5%
Q3 - 4:58MILStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q3 - 5:11MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
27.4%
64
72.6%
Q3 - 5:12INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
28.5%
64
71.5%
Q3 - 5:24INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
31.0%
64
69.0%
Q3 - 5:25MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot58
29.9%
64
70.1%
Q3 - 5:31INDSkinner STEAL (1 STL)58
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 5:43MILStrickland Layup (9 PTS)58
31.0%
64
69.0%
Q3 - 5:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 5:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q3 - 6:10MILSkinner 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)56
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 6:22MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
35.1%
60
64.9%
Q3 - 6:24INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot56
36.3%
60
63.7%
Q3 - 6:35INDMISS Miller Free Throw Technical56
39.1%
60
60.9%
Q3 - 6:50MILSmith Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)56
39.0%
60
61.0%
Q3 - 7:11INDFoster Dunk (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)56
42.5%
58
57.5%
Q3 - 7:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 7:32MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot54
38.0%
58
62.0%
Q3 - 7:53INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)54
35.1%
58
64.9%
Q3 - 8:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
29.6%
58
70.4%
Q3 - 8:06MILMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot51
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q3 - 8:23INDWorld Peace Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)51
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q3 - 8:35INDPacers Rebound51
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q3 - 8:37MILMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot51
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q3 - 8:59MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q3 - 9:01INDMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot51
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 9:19INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 9:20MILMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot51
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q3 - 9:26MILBUCKS Rebound51
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q3 - 9:27MILMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot51
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q3 - 9:40MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q3 - 9:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 9:41INDMISS Foster Tip Shot51
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 9:43INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot51
27.8%
58
72.2%
Q3 - 9:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 9:57MILMISS Skinner 5' Hook Shot51
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q3 - 10:20INDWorld Peace 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
27.6%
58
72.4%
Q3 - 10:37MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
25.1%
58
74.9%
Q3 - 10:37MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
25.5%
57
74.5%
Q3 - 10:59INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)49
27.6%
56
72.4%
Q3 - 11:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q3 - 11:06MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot46
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q3 - 11:22MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q3 - 11:24INDMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot46
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q3 - 11:43MILSkinner Layup (6 PTS)46
23.3%
56
76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL46
25.7%
54
74.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)46
25.7%
54
74.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0MILMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot44
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)44
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Strickland Free Throw Technical44
23.9%
54
76.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)44
23.9%
54
76.1%
Q2 - 1:02MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
30.8%
51
69.2%
Q2 - 1:04INDGadzuric BLOCK (3 BLK)44
31.3%
51
68.7%
Q2 - 1:23MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
32.3%
51
67.7%
Q2 - 1:23MILStrickland Tip Shot (7 PTS)44
32.3%
51
67.7%
Q2 - 1:24MILMISS Gadzuric Hook Shot44
37.6%
49
62.4%
Q2 - 1:36MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 1:37INDMISS World Peace Layup44
37.0%
49
63.0%
Q2 - 1:53MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
38.1%
49
61.9%
Q2 - 1:53MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
39.0%
48
61.0%
Q2 - 2:04INDWorld Peace Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)44
42.4%
47
57.6%
Q2 - 2:20MILKukoc Layup (6 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)42
39.2%
47
60.8%
Q2 - 2:31INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)42
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 2:31INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 2:32INDGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)42
43.3%
45
56.7%
Q2 - 2:56MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)42
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 2:56MILStrickland Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)42
48.3%
44
51.7%
Q2 - 2:59INDKnight STEAL (1 STL)42
51.8%
42
48.2%
Q2 - 3:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
54.9%
42
45.1%
Q2 - 3:09MILMISS Gadzuric 6' Jump Shot42
53.9%
42
46.1%
Q2 - 3:31INDO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)42
51.6%
42
48.4%
Q2 - 3:52MILKukoc 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)40
48.9%
42
51.1%
Q2 - 4:08MILBUCKS Rebound40
51.8%
40
48.2%
Q2 - 4:09INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q2 - 4:33MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)40
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q2 - 4:44MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q2 - 4:46INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot40
58.4%
38
41.6%
Q2 - 5:04MILStrickland Foul Turnover (P1.T8)40
60.4%
38
39.6%
Q2 - 5:06MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
57.4%
38
42.6%
Q2 - 5:08INDGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)40
58.3%
38
41.7%
Q2 - 5:23MILStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
60.4%
38
39.6%
Q2 - 5:23MILStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q2 - 5:36INDWorld Peace 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
62.8%
36
37.2%
Q2 - 6:04MILSmith 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)38
60.5%
36
39.5%
Q2 - 6:23MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
62.6%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 6:25INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot38
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 6:47MILSmith Dunk (8 PTS)38
65.6%
34
34.4%
Q2 - 6:48MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
67.6%
32
32.4%
Q2 - 6:50MILMISS Knight 13' Jump Shot38
69.6%
32
30.4%
Q2 - 6:53MILBUCKS Rebound38
67.6%
32
32.4%
Q2 - 6:55MILMISS Gadzuric 12' Jump Shot38
69.6%
32
30.4%
Q2 - 7:10INDJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)38
67.3%
32
32.7%
Q2 - 7:17INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
62.6%
32
37.4%
Q2 - 7:19INDMISS Harrington Layup35
60.8%
32
39.2%
Q2 - 7:36MILKnight 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)35
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 7:54INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
64.9%
30
35.1%
Q2 - 8:13MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 8:13MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
62.8%
29
37.2%
Q2 - 8:13MILBUCKS Rebound33
64.5%
28
35.5%
Q2 - 8:14INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot33
65.3%
28
34.7%
Q2 - 8:20INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 8:22MILMISS Gadzuric 4' Jump Shot33
66.3%
28
33.7%
Q2 - 8:47INDJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)33
64.5%
28
35.5%
Q2 - 8:52MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)31
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 9:15INDCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)31
59.5%
28
40.5%
Q2 - 9:23INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
54.8%
28
45.2%
Q2 - 9:25MILMISS Kukoc 2' Layup28
54.0%
28
46.0%
Q2 - 9:40INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
52.0%
28
48.0%
Q2 - 9:40INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q2 - 9:50MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 10:13INDHarrington 2' Layup (3 PTS)26
46.9%
28
53.1%
Q2 - 10:26MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 10:26MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 10:29MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q2 - 10:31INDMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
47.8%
26
52.2%
Q2 - 10:53INDPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
49.7%
26
50.3%
Q2 - 10:55MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot24
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q2 - 11:06INDPollard Foul Turnover (P1.T2)24
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 11:16MILKukoc Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)24
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q2 - 11:30INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)24
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q2 - 11:44MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
47.1%
24
52.9%
Q2 - 11:44MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
47.7%
23
52.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND21
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound21
52.0%
22
48.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Harrington 41' 3PT Jump Shot21
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMason 11' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)21
51.5%
22
48.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDWorld Peace Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)21
54.5%
20
45.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
51.0%
20
49.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
49.7%
20
50.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)19
50.3%
20
49.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDHarrington Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 1:13MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
49.3%
20
50.7%
Q1 - 1:33INDAnderson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
54.5%
17
45.5%
Q1 - 1:54INDPacers Rebound16
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 1:55MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot16
51.0%
17
49.0%
Q1 - 2:11INDAnderson Layup (2 PTS)16
49.9%
17
50.1%
Q1 - 2:21INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Redd Layup14
46.7%
17
53.3%
Q1 - 2:29MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 2:31INDSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)14
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q1 - 2:39INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 2:41INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot14
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 2:59MILSkinner Layup (4 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)14
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 3:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 3:16INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot14
50.5%
15
49.5%
Q1 - 3:42MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)14
52.2%
15
47.8%
Q1 - 3:48MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
56.4%
12
43.6%
Q1 - 3:50INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot14
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 4:10MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)14
58.9%
12
41.1%
Q1 - 4:23INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
56.3%
12
43.7%
Q1 - 4:29MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
58.9%
12
41.1%
Q1 - 4:39MILBUCKS Rebound14
56.3%
12
43.7%
Q1 - 4:45INDMISS World Peace Dunk14
57.1%
12
42.9%
Q1 - 5:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 5:04MILMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot14
57.8%
12
42.2%
Q1 - 5:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
56.3%
12
43.7%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot14
56.9%
12
43.1%
Q1 - 5:34MILSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)14
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 5:44MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
60.4%
10
39.6%
Q1 - 5:46INDMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot14
61.0%
10
39.0%
Q1 - 6:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
62.0%
10
38.0%
Q1 - 6:08INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
60.6%
10
39.4%
Q1 - 6:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
62.0%
10
38.0%
Q1 - 6:23MILMISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot14
61.4%
10
38.6%
Q1 - 6:51INDFoster Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
60.0%
10
40.0%
Q1 - 7:10MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 7:27INDJohnson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
59.6%
8
40.4%
Q1 - 7:37MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)10
58.0%
8
42.0%
Q1 - 7:42MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
55.9%
8
44.1%
Q1 - 7:44INDMISS Foster 14' Jump Shot10
56.5%
8
43.5%
Q1 - 8:04MILSmith Dunk (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)10
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 8:24INDO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)10
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 8:48MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 8:53MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 8:54INDMISS World Peace Layup8
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:11MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 9:24MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 9:26INDMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot8
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 9:45MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
65.4%
2
34.6%
Q1 - 9:58INDFoster Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)8
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 10:03MILJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:18INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 10:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 10:37MILMISS Redd Layup4
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 11:05INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 14
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 11:05INDWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS)4
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 11:21MILRedd 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 11:41INDO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)2
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Foster0
54.1%
0
45.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.95 47.3%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
28
50%
MIL
19
33
58%
Midrange
IND
15
35
43%
MIL
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
MIL
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
Free Throws
IND
13
15
87%
MIL
25
30
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2056%10.0 / 18
K. Anderson1478%7.0 / 9
A. Harrington1350%6.5 / 13
M. World Peace1235%6.0 / 17
J. Foster850%4.0 / 8
R. Miller650%3.0 / 6
A. Croshere650%3.0 / 6
F. Jones583%2.5 / 3
A. Johnson217%1.0 / 6
S. Pollard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2560%12.5 / 21
T. Kukoc1359%6.5 / 11
B. Skinner1267%6.0 / 9
M. Redd1246%6.0 / 13
D. Mason1050%5.0 / 10
B. Knight1083%5.0 / 6
E. Strickland990%4.5 / 5
D. Jones220%1.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+11
-7
90
MIL
76
+13
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.95 47.3%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.1
103.6
IND 100.0
MIL 109.2 +9.2
Pace
89.9
94.2
IND 84.5
MIL 88.5 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.0
IND 17.0
MIL 16.3 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
47.7%
IND 45.6%
MIL 49.3% +3.7%
TO %
15.0%
13.7%
IND 10.4% +2.1%
MIL 12.5%
ORB %
28.5%
27.6%
IND 22.0%
MIL 29.4% +7.4%
FTrt
31.9
33.0
IND 18.8
MIL 42.3 +23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
63.0%
IND 58.8%
MIL 72.7% +13.9%
STL %
9.8%
7.1%
IND 8.1% +3.5%
MIL 4.6%
BLK %
8.0%
7.1%
IND 6.3%
MIL 14.3% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
50.3%
IND 47.3%
MIL 52.8% +5.5%
Rim FG%
55.2%
55.7%
IND 50.0%
MIL 57.6% +7.6%
Mid FG%
38.5%
39.4%
IND 42.9% +9.6%
MIL 33.3%
3P %
35.1%
35.0%
IND 29.4%
MIL 50.0% +20.6%
FT %
76.4%
77.5%
IND 86.7% +3.4%
MIL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
36.8%
IND 35.0%
MIL 46.5% +11.5%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
46.0%
IND 43.8%
MIL 42.3% +1.5%
3P Att. %
20.3%
17.2%
IND 21.3% +10.0%
MIL 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points8695
Rebounds3342
Assists2024
Steals74
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)7 (3)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)32 (4)
Field Goals34-8033-71
At-the-Rim FG14-2819-33
Midrange FG15-3510-30
2-Point FG29-6329-63
3-Point FG5-174-8
Free Throws13-1525-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 255 · 25
35.1
20
56%
7
1
0
4
1
0
2
5
6-6
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
34.2
12
35%
1
0
2
0
1
4
0
1
0-1
0%
6-13
46%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 29
26.7
2
17%
1
4
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 39
25.0
6
50%
0
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
24.1
8
50%
10
0
0
0
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 24
26.2
13
50%
3
2
4
0
2
4
1
2
5-5
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 168 · 33
21.3
14
78%
2
4
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 225 · 25
18.6
5
83%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
17.0
6
50%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29
11.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
C · 7'1" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
33
20
7
4
7
0
9
24
13-15
87%
29-63
46%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.