FinalWin Prob.pScore
1454%97
100
2546%96
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.48982.3
ATL logo ATL
110.28895.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot100
99.0%
97
1.0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)100
93.6%
97
6.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)99
92.1%
97
7.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLSura Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)98
85.3%
97
14.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)98
60.8%
97
39.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
76.2%
97
23.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)98
59.9%
97
40.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
45.5%
97
54.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
33.5%
97
66.5%
Q4 - 1:02ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)96
45.5%
97
54.5%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 296
48.5%
96
51.5%
Q4 - 1:18MIAOdom 5' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)96
44.3%
96
55.7%
Q4 - 1:35ATLCrawford Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)94
35.6%
96
64.4%
Q4 - 1:50MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)94
25.5%
96
74.5%
Q4 - 2:00ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)91
11.5%
96
88.5%
Q4 - 2:10MIAJackson STEAL (3 STL)91
7.5%
96
92.5%
Q4 - 2:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)91
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q4 - 2:24ATLMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
11.8%
96
88.2%
Q4 - 2:42ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)91
7.5%
96
92.5%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot91
9.2%
96
90.8%
Q4 - 3:01ATLSura Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)91
15.4%
96
84.6%
Q4 - 3:12MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)91
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 3:12MIAOdom 5' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)90
6.1%
96
93.9%
Q4 - 3:29ATLCrawford Dunk (22 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)88
4.8%
96
95.2%
Q4 - 3:45MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
9.4%
94
90.6%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 287
8.7%
94
91.3%
Q4 - 4:03ATLSura Driving Layup (14 PTS)87
9.3%
94
90.7%
Q4 - 4:26ATLHAWKS Rebound87
12.4%
92
87.6%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade Layup87
13.8%
92
86.2%
Q4 - 4:44MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
17.3%
92
82.7%
Q4 - 4:45ATLMISS Sura Free Throw 2 of 287
16.5%
92
83.5%
Q4 - 4:45ATLSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
13.5%
92
86.5%
Q4 - 5:03MIAOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)87
20.4%
91
79.6%
Q4 - 5:21ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q4 - 5:21ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
12.3%
90
87.7%
Q4 - 5:34ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
15.4%
89
84.6%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot84
16.8%
89
83.2%
Q4 - 5:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
20.4%
89
79.6%
Q4 - 5:50ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
18.7%
89
81.3%
Q4 - 6:05MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T8)84
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q4 - 6:23ATLTerry 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Sura 6 AST)84
23.3%
89
76.7%
Q4 - 6:31ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
28.2%
87
71.8%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Alston Layup84
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
35.8%
87
64.2%
Q4 - 6:38ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
28.2%
87
71.8%
Q4 - 6:38ATLMISS Diaw Tip Shot84
33.4%
87
66.6%
Q4 - 6:39ATLMISS Sura Layup84
33.3%
87
66.7%
Q4 - 6:44ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
28.2%
87
71.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot84
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q4 - 7:04ATLSura Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)84
37.9%
87
62.1%
Q4 - 7:06ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
30.9%
87
69.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
33.0%
87
67.0%
Q4 - 7:31ATLTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)84
37.8%
87
62.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIAOdom Running Layup (12 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)84
50.4%
84
49.6%
Q4 - 8:10ATLCrawford Reverse Layup (18 PTS)82
44.7%
84
55.3%
Q4 - 8:25MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)82
51.0%
82
49.0%
Q4 - 8:36MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
44.8%
82
55.2%
Q4 - 8:37ATLMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot80
42.8%
82
57.2%
Q4 - 8:51ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
38.4%
82
61.6%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Wade Layup80
40.3%
82
59.7%
Q4 - 9:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
45.7%
82
54.3%
Q4 - 9:11ATLMISS Crawford 22' Jump Shot80
43.8%
82
56.2%
Q4 - 9:24ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
39.5%
82
60.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
41.3%
82
58.7%
Q4 - 9:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
45.6%
82
54.4%
Q4 - 9:34ATLMISS Crawford Layup80
43.7%
82
56.3%
Q4 - 9:42ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
39.5%
82
60.5%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 280
40.3%
82
59.7%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
44.1%
82
55.9%
Q4 - 10:00ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)80
45.6%
82
54.4%
Q4 - 10:00ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)80
46.7%
81
53.3%
Q4 - 10:17MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
51.2%
80
48.8%
Q4 - 10:32ATLJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)78
46.0%
80
54.0%
Q4 - 10:47MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
40.0%
80
60.0%
Q4 - 11:07ATLJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)76
35.5%
80
64.5%
Q4 - 11:19ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
45.7%
77
54.3%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot76
47.4%
77
52.6%
Q4 - 11:39ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)76
51.4%
77
48.6%
Q4 - 11:39ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)76
52.4%
76
47.6%
Q4 - 11:41MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)76
56.5%
75
43.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL76
62.0%
75
38.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)76
56.5%
75
43.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Sura 12' Jump Shot76
60.4%
75
39.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
56.8%
75
43.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAButler Layup (11 PTS)76
56.8%
75
43.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot74
48.1%
75
51.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLJackson 3' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)74
51.7%
75
48.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
56.8%
73
43.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)74
56.8%
73
43.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Jones Layup72
48.1%
73
51.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
51.7%
73
48.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0ATLSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
52.9%
72
47.1%
Q3 - 1:05MIAGrant 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)72
56.8%
71
43.2%
Q3 - 1:35ATLTerry Driving Layup (18 PTS)70
52.1%
71
47.9%
Q3 - 1:44MIAJones Reverse Layup (20 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)70
56.8%
69
43.2%
Q3 - 1:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
52.1%
69
47.9%
Q3 - 1:50ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
50.6%
69
49.4%
Q3 - 2:05MIAAlston Driving Layup (8 PTS)68
46.9%
69
53.1%
Q3 - 2:24ATLJackson 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)66
42.7%
69
57.3%
Q3 - 2:38ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
46.9%
67
53.1%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot66
48.4%
67
51.6%
Q3 - 3:08ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)66
52.2%
67
47.8%
Q3 - 3:18ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
60.7%
64
39.3%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot66
62.1%
64
37.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
65.2%
64
34.8%
Q3 - 3:46ATLMISS Terry 5' Jump Shot66
63.8%
64
36.2%
Q3 - 4:02ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
60.2%
64
39.8%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot66
61.7%
64
38.3%
Q3 - 4:30ATLSura Running Layup (9 PTS)66
64.9%
64
35.1%
Q3 - 4:39ATLSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
68.2%
62
31.8%
Q3 - 4:39ATLMISS Crawford Layup66
71.1%
62
28.9%
Q3 - 5:02ATLHAWKS Rebound66
67.9%
62
32.1%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot66
69.1%
62
30.9%
Q3 - 5:24ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 5:24ATLCollier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
72.3%
61
27.7%
Q3 - 5:24ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
74.7%
60
25.3%
Q3 - 5:24ATLMISS Sura Layup66
77.0%
60
23.0%
Q3 - 5:32MIASura STEAL (2 STL)66
74.7%
60
25.3%
Q3 - 5:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
78.0%
60
22.0%
Q3 - 5:43ATLMISS Jackson Layup66
77.0%
60
23.0%
Q3 - 6:07MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)66
74.0%
60
26.0%
Q3 - 6:27ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)63
67.7%
60
32.3%
Q3 - 6:27ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
68.2%
59
31.8%
Q3 - 6:31MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)63
70.9%
58
29.1%
Q3 - 6:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
74.3%
58
25.7%
Q3 - 6:35ATLMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
73.3%
58
26.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 163
71.4%
58
28.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIAGrant 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)63
70.9%
58
29.1%
Q3 - 7:19ATLTerry 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Sura 5 AST)61
67.1%
58
32.9%
Q3 - 7:32ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
73.1%
55
26.9%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
74.2%
55
25.8%
Q3 - 8:05ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)61
76.2%
55
23.8%
Q3 - 8:25MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)61
80.9%
52
19.1%
Q3 - 8:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
76.2%
52
23.8%
Q3 - 8:33ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
75.2%
52
24.8%
Q3 - 8:40MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)58
72.9%
52
27.1%
Q3 - 8:58ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)58
76.2%
52
23.8%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 158
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q3 - 9:17MIAOdom 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)58
78.0%
50
22.0%
Q3 - 9:43ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Collier 1 AST)56
75.5%
50
24.5%
Q3 - 10:04MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
79.8%
47
20.2%
Q3 - 10:04MIAOdom Dunk (8 PTS)56
79.8%
47
20.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
75.8%
47
24.2%
Q3 - 10:27MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
77.8%
47
22.2%
Q3 - 10:29ATLMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
76.9%
47
23.1%
Q3 - 10:47MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)54
74.9%
47
25.1%
Q3 - 11:11ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)51
69.3%
47
30.7%
Q3 - 11:27MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)51
74.8%
44
25.2%
Q3 - 11:46ATLSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
72.2%
44
27.8%
Q3 - 11:46ATLSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
72.9%
43
27.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL49
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound49
77.4%
42
22.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Bradley 12' Jump Shot49
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Terry 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
74.6%
42
25.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot49
75.2%
42
24.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
76.3%
42
23.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Crawford 12' Jump Shot49
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAGrant Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)49
74.6%
42
25.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLSura 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)47
71.3%
42
28.7%
Q2 - 1:01ATLSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
76.8%
39
23.2%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot47
77.1%
39
22.9%
Q2 - 1:29ATLJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)47
78.0%
39
22.0%
Q2 - 1:45ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
83.0%
36
17.0%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot47
83.3%
36
16.7%
Q2 - 2:07ATLSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
83.6%
36
16.4%
Q2 - 2:07ATLSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
84.0%
35
16.0%
Q2 - 2:11ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
85.3%
34
14.7%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot47
85.8%
34
14.2%
Q2 - 2:34ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
86.8%
34
13.2%
Q2 - 2:34ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
87.1%
33
12.9%
Q2 - 2:53MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
88.3%
32
11.7%
Q2 - 3:28ATLJackson Dunk (12 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)44
84.6%
32
15.4%
Q2 - 3:33MIASura STEAL (1 STL)44
85.9%
30
14.1%
Q2 - 3:48ATLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)44
87.5%
30
12.5%
Q2 - 4:06MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)44
85.3%
30
14.7%
Q2 - 4:26ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)42
83.8%
30
16.2%
Q2 - 4:45ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
85.4%
28
14.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot42
85.8%
28
14.2%
Q2 - 5:05ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P2.T5)42
86.4%
28
13.6%
Q2 - 5:19MIAHaslem Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
84.9%
28
15.1%
Q2 - 5:36ATLMISS Collier Free Throw 1 of 140
83.3%
28
16.7%
Q2 - 5:36ATLCollier Layup (7 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)40
83.6%
28
16.4%
Q2 - 5:42ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot40
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAHeat Rebound40
86.0%
26
14.0%
Q2 - 6:05ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
85.5%
26
14.5%
Q2 - 6:10ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 6:12ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 6:12ATLMISS Diaw Tip Shot40
85.5%
26
14.5%
Q2 - 6:13ATLMISS Sura Layup40
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 6:27ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Haslem Layup40
84.9%
26
15.1%
Q2 - 6:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
84.9%
26
15.1%
Q2 - 6:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 6:43ATLMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 6:59MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)40
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 7:19ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
80.8%
26
19.2%
Q2 - 7:19ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q2 - 7:32MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)37
82.3%
24
17.7%
Q2 - 7:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
83.9%
24
16.1%
Q2 - 7:36ATLMISS Hansen 14' Jump Shot37
83.4%
24
16.6%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)37
82.3%
24
17.7%
Q2 - 8:14ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)34
78.7%
24
21.3%
Q2 - 8:30MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)34
80.2%
22
19.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
78.7%
22
21.3%
Q2 - 8:41ATLMISS Crawford Layup32
78.1%
22
21.9%
Q2 - 8:55MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)32
76.7%
22
23.3%
Q2 - 8:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
73.0%
22
27.0%
Q2 - 9:01ATLMISS Vaughn 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
71.9%
22
28.1%
Q2 - 9:08ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q2 - 9:10ATLMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot29
71.9%
22
28.1%
Q2 - 9:34MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q2 - 9:34MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q2 - 9:58ATLJackson 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)27
68.4%
22
31.6%
Q2 - 10:08ATLHansen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
69.9%
20
30.1%
Q2 - 10:09ATLMISS Jackson Layup27
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q2 - 10:19ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot27
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q2 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
72.3%
20
27.7%
Q2 - 10:39ATLMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot27
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q2 - 10:47ATLHAWKS Rebound27
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q2 - 10:48ATLMISS Hansen 16' Jump Shot27
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q2 - 10:56MIAVaughn STEAL (1 STL)27
70.0%
20
30.0%
Q2 - 11:12ATLCollier 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)27
71.7%
20
28.3%
Q2 - 11:27MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)27
73.7%
18
26.3%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHeat Rebound24
69.7%
18
30.3%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Hansen 16' Jump Shot24
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
67.6%
18
32.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
69.7%
18
30.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot24
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
67.5%
18
32.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot24
68.0%
18
32.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLCollier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Collier Free Throw 1 of 224
69.4%
17
30.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAOdom Driving Layup (6 PTS)24
69.5%
17
30.5%
Q1 - 1:01ATLTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
67.0%
17
33.0%
Q1 - 1:04ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 1:05MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
73.0%
14
27.0%
Q1 - 1:05MIAHansen BLOCK (1 BLK)22
71.9%
14
28.1%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot22
71.9%
14
28.1%
Q1 - 1:28ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
72.9%
14
27.1%
Q1 - 1:28ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
73.3%
13
26.7%
Q1 - 1:41MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
75.2%
12
24.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 221
74.8%
12
25.2%
Q1 - 1:48ATLJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)21
74.8%
12
25.2%
Q1 - 1:55ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)21
73.4%
12
26.6%
Q1 - 1:56MIADiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)21
73.8%
12
26.2%
Q1 - 2:19ATLJackson Layup (6 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)21
74.9%
12
25.1%
Q1 - 2:23ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
76.8%
10
23.2%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Alston 7' Jump Shot21
77.2%
10
22.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound21
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIAN'diaye BLOCK (1 BLK)21
77.2%
10
22.8%
Q1 - 2:52ATLJackson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)21
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 3:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
79.0%
8
21.0%
Q1 - 3:19MIAButler 3' Layup (4 PTS)21
79.0%
8
21.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Odom 9' Jump Shot19
76.4%
8
23.6%
Q1 - 3:27ATLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
77.7%
8
22.3%
Q1 - 3:32ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)19
75.9%
8
24.1%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot19
76.5%
8
23.5%
Q1 - 3:51ATLN'diaye Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
77.7%
8
22.3%
Q1 - 3:52ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)19
75.9%
8
24.1%
Q1 - 3:54ATLMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 4:15MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)19
75.5%
8
24.5%
Q1 - 4:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
74.2%
8
25.8%
Q1 - 4:21ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)17
72.1%
8
27.9%
Q1 - 4:21ATLMISS N'diaye 5' Jump Shot17
73.6%
8
26.4%
Q1 - 4:23ATLMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot17
73.6%
8
26.4%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
72.1%
8
27.9%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
71.9%
8
28.1%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
70.7%
8
29.3%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot15
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 4:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
70.7%
8
29.3%
Q1 - 4:58ATLMISS N'diaye Free Throw 2 of 215
70.4%
8
29.6%
Q1 - 4:58ATLMISS N'diaye Free Throw 1 of 215
69.2%
8
30.8%
Q1 - 4:58ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
68.4%
8
31.6%
Q1 - 4:58ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)15
68.4%
8
31.6%
Q1 - 4:58ATLMISS Jackson Tip Shot15
70.0%
8
30.0%
Q1 - 4:59ATLMISS Crawford 12' Jump Shot15
70.0%
8
30.0%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
68.0%
8
32.0%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
66.3%
8
33.7%
Q1 - 5:26ATLMISS Terry 4' Jump Shot13
65.7%
8
34.3%
Q1 - 5:29ATLN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 5:31ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
65.7%
8
34.3%
Q1 - 5:41ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 5:43ATLMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
65.7%
8
34.3%
Q1 - 5:49ATLSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot13
64.9%
8
35.1%
Q1 - 6:05ATLJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
65.7%
8
34.3%
Q1 - 6:05ATLJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
66.1%
7
33.9%
Q1 - 6:09ATLSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot13
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 6:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
69.3%
6
30.7%
Q1 - 6:16ATLMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
68.7%
6
31.3%
Q1 - 6:34MIAButler Dunk (2 PTS)13
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 6:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
65.7%
6
34.3%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Odom Layup11
64.4%
6
35.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
65.7%
6
34.3%
Q1 - 6:50ATLMISS Sura 19' Jump Shot11
65.2%
6
34.8%
Q1 - 6:56ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade Layup11
64.4%
6
35.6%
Q1 - 7:26ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
65.3%
6
34.7%
Q1 - 7:26ATLCollier Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
65.3%
6
34.7%
Q1 - 7:27ATLMISS Collier 4' Jump Shot11
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 7:47MIAGrant 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
66.8%
4
33.2%
Q1 - 8:05ATLCrawford 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
65.6%
4
34.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS)9
67.1%
2
32.9%
Q1 - 8:39ATLCrawford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
65.5%
2
34.5%
Q1 - 8:45ATLSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 8:46ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)7
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 8:46ATLMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot7
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 8:47ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 8:47ATLMISS Jackson Tip Shot7
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 8:49ATLMISS Collier 22' Jump Shot7
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:04ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot7
64.0%
2
36.0%
Q1 - 9:14MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
65.5%
2
34.5%
Q1 - 9:15ATLMISS Terry 14' Jump Shot7
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:19ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:22ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:37MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)7
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:39MIAHeat Rebound5
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot5
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 10:03ATLTerry 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 10:24MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
63.3%
0
36.7%
Q1 - 10:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:43ATLMISS Collier Layup3
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 10:59MIAOdom 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)3
59.7%
0
40.3%
Q1 - 11:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Sura Layup0
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 11:22ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 11:36MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot0
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Collier vs. Grant: Tip to Wade0
56.2%
0
43.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.6%
ATL
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
29
55%
ATL
10
30
33%
Midrange
MIA
12
36
33%
ATL
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
18
61%
92%
ATL
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
11
17
65%
ATL
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2364%11.5 / 18
L. Odom2166%10.5 / 16
B. Grant1450%7.0 / 14
C. Butler1142%5.5 / 13
D. Wade1042%5.0 / 12
R. Alston1056%5.0 / 9
R. Butler770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2950%14.5 / 29
J. Terry2364%11.5 / 18
C. Crawford2255%11.0 / 20
B. Sura1454%7.0 / 13
J. Collier950%4.5 / 9
B. Diaw0-0.0 / 4
T. Hansen0-0.0 / 3
J. Vaughn0-0.0 / 1
M. N'diaye0-0.0 / 2
M. Bradley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+12
-9
92
ATL
76
+23
-12
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.6%
ATL
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
98.7
MIA 112.4 +2.1
ATL 110.2
Pace
90.6
93.1
MIA 82.3
ATL 95.8 +13.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
MIA 17.5
ATL 15.0 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.5%
MIA 53.6% +11.4%
ATL 42.2%
TO %
14.4%
16.6%
MIA 9.0% +2.0%
ATL 11.0%
ORB %
27.5%
28.7%
MIA 23.3%
ATL 42.3% +19.0%
FTrt
29.8
30.3
MIA 20.5
ATL 39.8 +19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
58.3%
MIA 53.8%
ATL 70.0% +16.2%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
MIA 4.5%
ATL 8.0% +3.5%
BLK %
6.3%
7.6%
MIA 1.9%
ATL 4.6% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.8%
MIA 52.6% +5.1%
ATL 47.5%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.7%
MIA 55.2% +21.9%
ATL 33.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.5%
MIA 33.3%
ATL 41.7% +8.4%
3P %
35.7%
33.5%
MIA 61.1% +26.6%
ATL 34.5%
FT %
76.2%
77.6%
MIA 64.7%
ATL 81.8% +17.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
35.6%
MIA 34.9%
ATL 36.1% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
45.2%
MIA 43.4%
ATL 28.9% +14.5%
3P Att. %
21.1%
19.1%
MIA 21.7%
ATL 34.9% +13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points10097
Rebounds4055
Assists2121
Steals47
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)22 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals39-8330-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2910-30
Midrange FG12-3610-24
2-Point FG28-6520-54
3-Point FG11-1810-29
Free Throws11-1727-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
37.8
14
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
37.6
23
64%
5
7
1
1
3
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
5-8
63%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
35.8
21
66%
9
1
1
0
2
6
3
6
3-6
50%
6-10
60%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
33.4
10
42%
0
2
0
0
2
3
0
0
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
32.1
11
42%
12
4
0
0
0
2
3
9
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
28.6
10
56%
1
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
21.4
4
33%
7
0
0
0
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
13.3
7
70%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
40
21
4
1
9
0
10
30
11-17
65%
28-65
43%
11-18
61%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.