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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 31, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Warriors35%9185
17Raptors65%9678
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
44.3
30.8
25
56%
9
2
2
1
0
3
2
7
5-8
63%
10-17
5-11
59%
46%
0-2
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.3
33.6
25.6
12
43%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-10
2-5
20%
40%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.7
28.4
30.9
7
43%
14
2
1
0
3
1
3
11
3-5
60%
2-6
4-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
25.2
30.1
4
29%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
22.9
30.0
8
57%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
0-2
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.7
28.8
20.9
6
60%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 39.0
23.5
17.7
13
67%
0
4
4
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
5-8
2-6
63%
40%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.1
18.7
14.4
8
82%
7
0
0
0
3
0
2
5
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 23.9
14.4
22.5
2
14%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
3-8
14%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
0.2
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 33.8
1.7
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.2
42.2
34.6
14
41%
5
4
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.2
39.8
40.2
22
52%
2
1
2
1
0
4
1
1
4-5
80%
9-19
8-17
47%
46%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
37.5
36.5
4
18%
16
1
4
1
1
1
5
11
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-5
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
37.0
33.1
13
59%
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.0
36.9
31.4
13
47%
10
2
1
1
1
1
4
6
3-4
75%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
14.5
12.2
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
13.4
6.3
6
47%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-6
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Archibald
F · 6'11" 250 · 24.0
13.4
7.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
5.3
17.6
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35.2
14.9
1
2-3
46%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.4
4.9
0
1-1
43%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.9
2.4
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.