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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 31, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Kings39%9589
3Spurs61%99107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 33.9
40.0
35.5
17
71%
0
1
3
2
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
46%
1-1
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
39.5
38.7
14
40%
6
3
2
1
2
4
0
6
2-3
67%
6-14
5-11
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
39.0
35.4
14
41%
5
6
2
1
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
6-15
8-17
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 26.8
38.5
40.6
19
57%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Vlade Divac
C · 7'1" 260 · 36.2
33.2
13.3
14
60%
8
2
0
0
0
0
3
5
4-6
67%
5-8
1-3
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 34.3
22.3
18.9
5
50%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.1
22.2
10.3
6
51%
9
2
0
0
1
1
4
5
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 21.7
5.3
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.0
31.7
1
4-8
48%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
5.2
0
1-2
43%
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
4.8
0
1-2
40%
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
2.5
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.8
38.8
29.3
16
80%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
37.7
30.7
12
53%
5
6
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
36.1
26.2
19
65%
7
1
1
1
3
4
1
6
5-8
63%
7-11
7-13
64%
51%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
31.0
24.5
4
40%
7
4
1
1
7
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
25.3
27.4
14
62%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.7
26.0
23.3
29
76%
2
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
6-7
86%
10-14
3-6
71%
47%
1-2
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
19.4
16.7
6
60%
6
1
0
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
12.8
13.9
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.4
8.0
18.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.9
5.1
13.4
3
50%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.6
9.9
0
2-4
46%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
4.6
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.