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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 2, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat26%8684
6Pistons74%9492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.1
39.6
31.5
13
39%
9
1
3
1
0
3
1
8
5-8
63%
4-12
4-10
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.5
33.3
34.7
16
57%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
42%
4-10
40%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
31.6
26.7
18
46%
9
0
0
1
2
4
1
8
4-6
67%
7-15
4-8
47%
44%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.2
30.6
33.7
7
51%
6
4
1
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
3-5
5-12
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
27.5
32.5
8
40%
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
45%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
33.5
26.2
9
35%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
39%
3-8
38%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.1
20.4
7.6
6
61%
6
2
0
0
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
16.1
22.9
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
7.5
11.4
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.8
7.1
0
1-2
41%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.8
4.0
0
0-1
40%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.1
2.4
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.5
39.4
31.3
31
70%
7
7
1
1
0
2
0
7
11-12
92%
4-10
3-6
40%
43%
4-7
57%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
39.2
12.7
17
51%
7
1
2
0
2
0
2
5
6-6
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
49%
1-3
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
35.1
33.1
6
26%
8
0
1
1
7
1
3
5
0-4
0%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.1
34.9
28.9
8
45%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.1
21.6
34.0
3
28%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
1-5
6-12
20%
47%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
19.0
18.5
11
44%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
49%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.8
17.8
14.5
5
83%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.3
17.3
21.0
0
0%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.9
15.6
25.8
11
69%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.7
10.6
0
2-4
45%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
4.8
0
0-1
51%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.8
4.1
0
1-2
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.