Final Win Prob. pScore
1427%86
84
673%94
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
92.39193.7
DET logo Pistons
97.99491.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
92
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound84
92
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
92
Q4 - 0:07.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)84
92
Q4 - 0:07.0DETSUB: Okur FOR Wallace84
91
Q4 - 0:07.0DETSUB: James FOR Wallace84
91
Q4 - 0:07.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)84
91
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.PN)84
90
Q4 - 0:09.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Grant84
90
Q4 - 0:09.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)84
90
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)84
90
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)81
90
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones81
89
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)81
89
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.PN)81
88
Q4 - 0:17.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
88
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
88
Q4 - 0:28.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)81
88
Q4 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Wade81
87
Q4 - 0:28.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)81
87
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAAlston P.FOUL (P3.PN)81
86
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
86
Q4 - 0:34.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)78
86
Q4 - 0:37.0DETPISTONS Rebound78
86
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
86
Q4 - 0:44.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
86
Q4 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Butler78
85
Q4 - 0:44.0DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
85
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.PN)78
84
Q4 - 0:59.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
84
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
84
Q4 - 1:04MIASUB: Butler FOR Haslem78
84
Q4 - 1:04MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)78
84
Q4 - 1:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
84
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
84
Q4 - 1:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
84
Q4 - 1:08DETPrince S.FOUL (P3.PN)77
84
Q4 - 1:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
84
Q4 - 1:10MIAWallace BLOCK (7 BLK)77
84
Q4 - 1:24DETSUB: Hunter FOR Hamilton77
84
Q4 - 1:24DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T10)77
84
Q4 - 1:24DETHamilton OFF.Foul (P6)77
84
Q4 - 1:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
84
Q4 - 1:36DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 1:48MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler77
84
Q4 - 1:48MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom77
84
Q4 - 1:48MIAOdom P.FOUL (P6.T1)77
84
Q4 - 2:13MIAWade Reverse Layup (6 PTS)77
84
Q4 - 2:26MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)75
84
Q4 - 2:28DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)75
84
Q4 - 2:36DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
82
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Grant Layup75
82
Q4 - 2:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
82
Q4 - 2:42MIAWallace BLOCK (6 BLK)75
82
Q4 - 2:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
82
Q4 - 2:51DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot75
82
Q4 - 3:06MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones75
82
Q4 - 3:06MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P4.T13)75
82
Q4 - 3:06MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P5)75
82
Q4 - 3:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
82
Q4 - 3:13DETMISS Wallace Layup75
82
Q4 - 3:37MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
82
Q4 - 3:37MIAHeat Rebound74
82
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 274
82
Q4 - 3:37DETWallace S.FOUL (P3.PN)74
82
Q4 - 4:02DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)74
82
Q4 - 4:15DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)74
79
Q4 - 4:19MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
79
Q4 - 4:19MIASUB: Wade FOR Alston73
79
Q4 - 4:19MIAHeat Rebound73
79
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 273
79
Q4 - 4:19DETPrince S.FOUL (P2.PN)73
79
Q4 - 4:38DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)73
79
Q4 - 4:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
76
Q4 - 4:47MIAWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)73
76
Q4 - 4:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
76
Q4 - 4:58DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 5:07DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
76
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 5:15DETSUB: Hamilton FOR James73
76
Q4 - 5:15DETBillups P.FOUL (P3.T4)73
76
Q4 - 5:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
76
Q4 - 5:24DETMISS Wallace Layup73
76
Q4 - 5:45DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
76
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 6:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
76
Q4 - 6:06DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot73
76
Q4 - 6:28MIAOdom Driving Layup (17 PTS)73
76
Q4 - 6:38MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade71
76
Q4 - 6:46MIASUB: Grant FOR Walker71
76
Q4 - 6:46DETSUB: Prince FOR Williamson71
76
Q4 - 6:46DETSUB: Wallace FOR Okur71
76
Q4 - 6:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)71
76
Q4 - 6:49DETOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)71
76
Q4 - 6:56DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
73
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Odom 8' Running Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 7:17DETBillups Layup (22 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)71
73
Q4 - 7:21DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
71
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Butler 8' Running Jump Shot71
71
Q4 - 7:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
71
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot71
71
Q4 - 7:49DETOkur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)71
71
Q4 - 8:05MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)71
71
Q4 - 8:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
71
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot68
71
Q4 - 8:20DETWilliamson P.FOUL (P4.T3)68
71
Q4 - 8:39DETJames 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
71
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
69
Q4 - 9:12DETSUB: Billups FOR Hamilton66
69
Q4 - 9:12DETHamilton P.FOUL (P5.T2)66
69
Q4 - 9:25DETOkur Tip Shot (8 PTS)66
69
Q4 - 9:27DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
67
Q4 - 9:28DETMISS Williamson 13' Jump Shot66
67
Q4 - 9:48DETPISTONS Rebound66
67
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 266
67
Q4 - 9:50MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
67
Q4 - 9:50DETWilliamson S.FOUL (P3.T1)65
67
Q4 - 9:56MIASUB: Odom FOR Haslem65
67
Q4 - 9:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)65
67
Q4 - 10:07DETJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)65
67
Q4 - 10:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
64
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
64
Q4 - 10:40DETWallace 13' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)65
64
Q4 - 10:58MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)65
62
Q4 - 11:00DETJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)65
62
Q4 - 11:21DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace65
62
Q4 - 11:21MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T11)65
62
Q4 - 11:21MIAButler OFF.Foul (P3)65
62
Q4 - 11:47DETWilliamson 5' Finger Roll (11 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)65
62
Q4 - 12:0065
60
Q3 - 0:00.0DET65
60
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAButler Dunk (12 PTS)65
60
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
60
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot63
60
Q3 - 0:27.0DETOkur 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)63
60
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
58
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound62
58
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 262
58
Q3 - 0:37.0DETSUB: James FOR Billups62
58
Q3 - 0:37.0DETWilliamson P.FOUL (P2.PN)62
58
Q3 - 0:50.0DETWilliamson Tip Shot (9 PTS)62
58
Q3 - 0:50.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
56
Q3 - 0:51.0DETMISS Williamson Layup62
56
Q3 - 1:13MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)62
56
Q3 - 1:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
56
Q3 - 1:22DETMISS Billups Layup59
56
Q3 - 1:37MIAHaslem 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
56
Q3 - 1:58MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
56
Q3 - 2:00DETMISS Williamson Layup57
56
Q3 - 2:08DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
56
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot57
56
Q3 - 2:14MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
56
Q3 - 2:16DETMISS Williamson Layup57
56
Q3 - 2:38MIAWalker 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)57
56
Q3 - 2:52MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom55
56
Q3 - 2:52DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)55
56
Q3 - 2:52MIAHeat Rebound55
56
Q3 - 2:54DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
56
Q3 - 3:16DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
56
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot55
56
Q3 - 3:41DETOkur 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)55
56
Q3 - 3:56MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
54
Q3 - 3:56DETSUB: Okur FOR Wallace54
54
Q3 - 3:56DETSUB: Williamson FOR Prince54
54
Q3 - 3:56MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
54
Q3 - 3:56DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T4)53
54
Q3 - 4:00MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
54
Q3 - 4:03DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot53
54
Q3 - 4:23MIAOdom Driving Layup (12 PTS)53
54
Q3 - 4:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
54
Q3 - 4:41DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot51
54
Q3 - 4:55MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T10)51
54
Q3 - 4:55MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P1)51
54
Q3 - 5:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
54
Q3 - 5:09DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 251
54
Q3 - 5:09MIASUB: Odom FOR Grant51
54
Q3 - 5:09MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem51
54
Q3 - 5:09DETPISTONS Rebound51
54
Q3 - 5:09DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 251
54
Q3 - 5:09MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)51
54
Q3 - 5:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
54
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot51
54
Q3 - 5:40DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)51
54
Q3 - 6:02MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)51
52
Q3 - 6:16DETSUB: Hunter FOR Hamilton49
52
Q3 - 6:16DETHamilton L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)49
52
Q3 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound49
52
Q3 - 6:17DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot49
52
Q3 - 6:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
52
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot49
52
Q3 - 6:51MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)49
52
Q3 - 6:51DETBillups 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)49
52
Q3 - 6:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
50
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Alston Layup49
50
Q3 - 7:21DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)49
50
Q3 - 7:21MIAGrant AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P2.PN)49
49
Q3 - 7:21DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)49
49
Q3 - 7:36MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
46
Q3 - 7:36MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
46
Q3 - 7:36DET47
46
Q3 - 7:36DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T2)47
46
Q3 - 7:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
46
Q3 - 7:54DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot47
46
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T4)47
46
Q3 - 8:11DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
46
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot47
46
Q3 - 8:22DETPrince P.FOUL (P1.T1)47
46
Q3 - 8:34DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)47
46
Q3 - 8:34MIASUB: Alston FOR Wade47
45
Q3 - 8:34DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
45
Q3 - 8:34MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T3)47
44
Q3 - 8:43MIASUB: Haslem FOR Odom47
44
Q3 - 8:43MIAOdom P.FOUL (P4.T2)47
44
Q3 - 8:51MIAOdom 6' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)47
44
Q3 - 9:13DETWallace Layup (9 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)45
44
Q3 - 9:27MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation45
42
Q3 - 9:27MIAOdom Foul Turnover (P3.T9)45
42
Q3 - 9:27MIAOdom OFF.Foul (P3)45
42
Q3 - 9:44DETBillups Driving Layup (13 PTS)45
42
Q3 - 9:55DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
40
Q3 - 9:56MIAWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)45
40
Q3 - 10:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
40
Q3 - 10:09MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)45
40
Q3 - 10:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
40
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Grant Layup45
40
Q3 - 10:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
40
Q3 - 10:24DETMISS Wallace Layup45
40
Q3 - 10:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
40
Q3 - 10:39MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)45
40
Q3 - 10:43MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
40
Q3 - 10:45DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot45
40
Q3 - 11:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
40
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
40
Q3 - 11:20DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)45
40
Q3 - 11:20MIAOdom S.FOUL (P2.T1)45
39
Q3 - 11:20DETWallace 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)45
39
Q3 - 11:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
37
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot45
37
Q3 - 11:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
37
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Odom Layup45
37
Q3 - 12:0045
37
Q2 - 0:00.0DET45
37
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound45
37
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hunter Layup45
37
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAOdom 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
37
Q2 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade43
37
Q2 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler43
37
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)43
37
Q2 - 0:10.0DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups43
37
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAHeat Rebound43
37
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Walker Layup43
37
Q2 - 0:32.0DETWallace Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)43
37
Q2 - 0:33.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
35
Q2 - 0:34.0DETMISS Prince Tip Shot43
35
Q2 - 0:34.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
35
Q2 - 0:35.0DETMISS James Layup43
35
Q2 - 0:38.0DETJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
35
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)43
35
Q2 - 0:54.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
35
Q2 - 0:54.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
34
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
33
Q2 - 0:54.0MIABillups STEAL (1 STL)43
33
Q2 - 1:13DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 1 AST)43
33
Q2 - 1:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
30
Q2 - 1:19DETMISS Wallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot43
30
Q2 - 1:33DETPISTONS Rebound43
30
Q2 - 1:34MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)43
30
Q2 - 1:53DETWallace 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)43
30
Q2 - 2:09MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
30
Q2 - 2:09MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
30
Q2 - 2:09MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones41
30
Q2 - 2:09DETSUB: Wallace FOR Williamson41
30
Q2 - 2:09DETSUB: James FOR Hunter41
30
Q2 - 2:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)41
30
Q2 - 2:09DETWilliamson L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)41
30
Q2 - 2:09MIAHeat Rebound41
30
Q2 - 2:09DETMISS Hunter 15' Jump Shot41
30
Q2 - 2:23MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)41
30
Q2 - 2:48DETWilliamson 9' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)41
30
Q2 - 3:00MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
28
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
28
Q2 - 3:12DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
28
Q2 - 3:27MIAOdom 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)39
28
Q2 - 3:35MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
28
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot37
28
Q2 - 3:48DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)37
28
Q2 - 3:58MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
28
Q2 - 4:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
28
Q2 - 4:05DETMISS Wallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot34
28
Q2 - 4:30MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)34
28
Q2 - 4:38MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
28
Q2 - 4:41DETMISS Prince Layup31
28
Q2 - 4:47DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
28
Q2 - 4:50MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)31
28
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
28
Q2 - 4:56DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 5:12DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
28
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Odom 10' Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 5:23DETJump Ball Hunter vs. Walker: Tip to Odom31
28
Q2 - 5:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
28
Q2 - 5:41DETMISS Williamson 7' Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 5:52MIASUB: Wade FOR Alston31
28
Q2 - 5:52MIASUB: Odom FOR Haslem31
28
Q2 - 5:52DETSUB: Hunter FOR James31
28
Q2 - 5:52DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
28
Q2 - 5:52MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T4)31
28
Q2 - 6:08MIAJones 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)31
28
Q2 - 6:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
28
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot29
28
Q2 - 6:43DETWilliamson Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
28
Q2 - 6:55DETJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
26
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
26
Q2 - 7:13MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler29
26
Q2 - 7:13DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
26
Q2 - 7:27MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)29
26
Q2 - 7:49DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)27
26
Q2 - 8:05MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
23
Q2 - 8:05DETSUB: Prince FOR Okur26
23
Q2 - 8:05MIAHeat Rebound26
23
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 226
23
Q2 - 8:05DETOkur S.FOUL (P2.T4)26
23
Q2 - 8:18MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
23
Q2 - 8:20DETMISS Williamson 19' Jump Shot26
23
Q2 - 8:28MIAAlston P.FOUL (P2.T3)26
23
Q2 - 8:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
23
Q2 - 8:5326
23
Q2 - 8:53DETBillups P.FOUL (P2.T3)26
23
Q2 - 9:02DETSUB: Billups FOR Hamilton26
23
Q2 - 9:02DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
23
Q2 - 9:02DETHamilton OFF.Foul (P3)26
23
Q2 - 9:17MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
23
Q2 - 9:19DETJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)26
23
Q2 - 9:43MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)26
23
Q2 - 9:59MIASUB: Walker FOR Grant24
23
Q2 - 9:59DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
23
Q2 - 9:59DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace24
22
Q2 - 9:59MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T2)24
22
Q2 - 9:59DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)24
22
Q2 - 10:17MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)24
20
Q2 - 10:20MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20
Q2 - 10:22DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot21
20
Q2 - 10:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
20
Q2 - 10:24DETMISS Okur Layup21
20
Q2 - 10:26DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20
Q2 - 10:28DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot21
20
Q2 - 10:38DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot21
20
Q2 - 10:53DETOkur P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
20
Q2 - 10:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q2 - 11:01DETMISS Williamson 20' Jump Shot21
20
Q2 - 11:07DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Hunter21
20
Q2 - 11:07MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
20
Q2 - 11:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot21
20
Q2 - 11:29MIAHeat Rebound21
20
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot21
20
Q2 - 11:36DETJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
20
Q2 - 11:40MIAOkur STEAL (1 STL)21
20
Q2 - 12:00DETHunter P.FOUL (P2.T1)21
20
Q2 - 12:0021
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound21
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 63' 3PT Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
20
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Okur 12' Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 0:13.0DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 0:30.0DETOkur 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)21
20
Q1 - 0:37.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
18
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
18
Q1 - 0:50.0DETMISS Okur 3PT Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 0:53.0DETPISTONS Rebound21
18
Q1 - 0:55.0DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 1:14DETPrince Violation:Defensive Goaltending21
18
Q1 - 1:14MIAButler Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)21
18
Q1 - 1:17DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
18
Q1 - 1:39MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)19
18
Q1 - 1:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
18
Q1 - 1:42MIAHunter BLOCK (1 BLK)19
18
Q1 - 2:03DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
18
Q1 - 2:03DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 2:03DETSUB: James FOR Billups19
16
Q1 - 2:03DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace19
16
Q1 - 2:03MIAAlston P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
16
Q1 - 2:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
16
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Alston Layup19
16
Q1 - 2:22DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
16
Q1 - 2:22DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
15
Q1 - 2:22DETSUB: Okur FOR Wallace19
14
Q1 - 2:22MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
14
Q1 - 2:22MIAOdom P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
14
Q1 - 2:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
14
Q1 - 2:24DETMISS Billups Layup19
14
Q1 - 2:48MIAOdom Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)19
14
Q1 - 2:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
14
Q1 - 2:59DETMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot17
14
Q1 - 3:24MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)17
14
Q1 - 3:41DETPrince Dunk (6 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)15
14
Q1 - 3:45MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)15
12
Q1 - 4:06DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 4:06DETPISTONS Rebound15
11
Q1 - 4:06DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 215
11
Q1 - 4:06MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.PN)15
11
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
11
Q1 - 4:24DETHunter P.FOUL (P1.T4)13
11
Q1 - 4:31MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
11
Q1 - 4:32DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot13
11
Q1 - 4:35DETPISTONS Rebound13
11
Q1 - 4:36DETMISS Prince Layup13
11
Q1 - 4:39DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
11
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot13
11
Q1 - 4:52DETSUB: Hunter FOR Hamilton13
11
Q1 - 4:52DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T3)13
11
Q1 - 4:56MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
11
Q1 - 4:59DETMISS Hamilton 9' Turnaround Jump Shot13
11
Q1 - 5:17MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
11
Q1 - 5:30DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
11
Q1 - 5:44DETPrince Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 5:50MIASUB: Alston FOR Jones10
9
Q1 - 5:50MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)10
9
Q1 - 6:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot10
9
Q1 - 6:10MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9
Q1 - 6:11DETMISS Billups Layup10
9
Q1 - 6:31DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
9
Q1 - 6:31DETPISTONS Rebound10
9
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot10
9
Q1 - 6:53DETPrince 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)10
9
Q1 - 7:06MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)10
7
Q1 - 7:06DETPISTONS Rebound10
7
Q1 - 7:07DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot10
7
Q1 - 7:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Odom Layup10
7
Q1 - 7:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
7
Q1 - 7:30DETMISS Wallace Layup10
7
Q1 - 7:53MIAOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 8:19DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
7
Q1 - 8:24MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)8
5
Q1 - 8:30DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
5
Q1 - 8:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5
Q1 - 8:37DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 8:42DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5
Q1 - 8:44MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)8
5
Q1 - 9:04DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 9:04MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
4
Q1 - 9:04DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
4
Q1 - 9:15DETPISTONS Rebound8
2
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:34DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 9:46MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)8
0
Q1 - 10:01MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
0
Q1 - 10:02DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 26
0
Q1 - 10:02DETPISTONS Rebound6
0
Q1 - 10:02DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 26
0
Q1 - 10:02MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
0
Q1 - 10:22MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)6
0
Q1 - 10:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:29DETMISS Hamilton 8' Running Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:45MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
0
Q1 - 10:58DETBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAGrant Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:39DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Grant: Tip to Billups0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.2%
DET
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
24
42%
DET
15
32
47%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
DET
10
34
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
DET
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
12
18
67%
DET
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Odom1847%9.0 / 19
E. Jones1657%8.0 / 14
C. Butler1338%6.5 / 17
R. Alston935%4.5 / 13
B. Grant840%4.0 / 10
D. Wade750%3.5 / 7
S. Walker660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
R. Butler375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups3167%15.5 / 23
R. Wallace1747%8.5 / 18
C. Williamson1142%5.5 / 13
M. Okur1169%5.5 / 8
T. Prince844%4.0 / 9
B. Wallace625%3.0 / 12
M. James583%2.5 / 3
R. Hamilton325%1.5 / 6
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+15
-11
95
DET
83
+13
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.2%
DET
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
99.1
MIA 92.3
DET 97.9 +5.6
Pace
90.6
90.5
MIA 93.7 +2.3
DET 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.9
MIA 15.4 −0.4
DET 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.1%
MIA 43.9%
DET 44.4% +0.5%
TO %
14.4%
15.8%
MIA 12.6%
DET 10.7% −1.9%
ORB %
27.5%
30.2%
MIA 25.6% +4.7%
DET 20.9%
FTrt
29.8
32.8
MIA 22.0
DET 32.5 +10.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
62.0%
MIA 59.4%
DET 62.5% +3.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.9%
MIA 6.6% +1.3%
DET 5.3%
BLK %
6.3%
11.0%
MIA 9.1%
DET 19.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
48.5%
MIA 44.2%
DET 47.4% +3.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
54.7%
MIA 41.7%
DET 46.9% +5.2%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.6%
MIA 41.2% +11.8%
DET 29.4%
3P %
35.7%
34.4%
MIA 33.3%
DET 50.0% +16.7%
FT %
76.2%
75.3%
MIA 66.7%
DET 80.8% +14.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
37.4%
MIA 29.3%
DET 40.0% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
47.3%
MIA 41.5% −1.0%
DET 42.5%
3P Att. %
21.1%
15.3%
MIA 29.3% +11.8%
DET 17.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9194
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points8492
Rebounds4541
Assists1920
Steals65
Blocks611
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)32 (5)
Field Goals32-8232-80
At-the-Rim FG10-2415-32
Midrange FG14-3410-34
2-Point FG24-5825-66
3-Point FG8-247-14
Free Throws12-1821-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
39.6
13
38%
9
1
3
0
3
3
1
8
5-8
63%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
33.3
16
57%
3
5
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
31.6
18
47%
9
0
0
2
4
6
1
8
4-6
67%
7-15
47%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
30.6
7
50%
6
4
1
0
2
3
3
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
27.5
8
40%
6
1
0
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
33.5
9
35%
4
6
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
20.4
6
60%
6
2
0
2
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
16.1
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
7.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
44%
45
19
6
6
11
0
11
34
12-18
67%
24-58
41%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.