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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 2, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs67%9194
15Jazz33%8581
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
37.2
26.1
15
52%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
7-8
88%
1-7
2-5
14%
43%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
35.2
32.9
7
26%
2
5
1
1
1
4
1
1
5-6
83%
1-10
5-10
10%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
33.1
29.6
18
59%
10
1
1
1
2
0
4
6
8-12
67%
5-10
7-14
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
30.7
26.7
8
67%
10
2
1
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.8
17.9
32.2
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
27.9
13.4
19
68%
7
4
1
0
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
7-11
2-4
64%
43%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.7
27.5
24.2
15
57%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
5-7
71%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
14.5
17.5
4
100%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.4
12.5
14.6
6
104%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.9
3.5
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.6
6.7
0
1-2
45%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
3.5
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
38.3
21.4
22
62%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
8-15
3-8
53%
44%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
32.8
32.1
16
47%
8
0
0
2
2
0
1
7
6-7
86%
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.3
32.3
16.9
6
77%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
26.0
20.0
8
58%
3
2
3
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
39%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.7
25.8
26.4
5
42%
1
5
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
44%
1-1
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
18.5
25.3
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.4
15.2
18.6
6
60%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28.4
13.2
15.8
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.0
12.4
20.2
2
33%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.1
11.8
26.9
2
26%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.3
9.8
8.0
10
129%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
38%
2-2
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.2
3.9
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.