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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 4, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hornets29%9688
9SuperSonics71%10396
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 34.5
29.9
33.5
10
51%
9
3
1
1
2
2
3
6
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.9
28.4
36.6
17
82%
6
1
1
1
1
2
2
4
9-10
90%
4-6
6-11
67%
48%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 33.4
26.5
33.3
12
44%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
42%
1-5
20%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.8
25.4
33.8
6
21%
3
5
1
2
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
1-8
13%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35.7
19.6
26.4
2
20%
1
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
24.8
15.9
2
33%
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 29.0
22.6
12.8
14
55%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
1-5
20%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.2
19.6
8.7
7
51%
7
1
1
0
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Carter
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
15.9
3.6
7
44%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.0
15.4
14.9
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
12.0
14.8
6
63%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 25.0
11.5
1
2-3
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
40.5
36.2
14
43%
7
4
2
1
2
2
2
5
1-3
33%
5-10
5-11
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.7
33.1
38.1
25
77%
2
4
0
1
0
5
0
2
5-5
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.3
28.2
28.1
14
84%
9
6
4
1
0
3
2
7
2-3
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
56%
2-3
67%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.9
24.0
26.2
4
26%
12
1
1
1
0
1
4
8
0-4
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
21.6
10.4
12
77%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 29.0
25.9
32.6
4
33%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.7
23.8
21.0
12
55%
1
2
0
1
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
20.4
4.2
7
41%
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
13.8
10.7
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.6
8.9
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.0
14.2
0
1-3
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.