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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks24%8886
8Pacers76%97107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
33.2
38.5
10
33%
3
10
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
4-12
6-13
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
33.0
31.5
10
73%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.1
29.9
30.9
16
63%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
4-9
4-10
44%
45%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
26.0
26.8
20
62%
9
1
2
1
4
2
4
5
4-5
80%
8-14
4-8
57%
46%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
14.9
24.6
2
35%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
23.8
25.2
3
26%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
41%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
20.2
9.4
8
80%
2
5
1
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
38%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.9
14.2
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.4
13.9
12.2
10
74%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.4
13.2
17.8
4
45%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.8
10.0
4.5
3
61%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.1
7.8
3.5
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.4
33.8
29.4
26
59%
2
3
1
2
2
1
0
2
5-9
56%
9-15
5-11
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.5
30.9
28.6
20
44%
9
2
0
1
0
0
3
6
4-8
50%
8-19
7-14
42%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
25.4
24.1
12
89%
10
1
1
1
1
2
6
4
4-4
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.1
24.7
10.3
10
64%
0
9
5
1
1
3
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 38.6
21.5
24.5
10
83%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
23.3
20.3
3
23%
2
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.1
23.0
21.0
0
0%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.1
22.1
31.0
12
67%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-9
5-10
67%
48%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.1
14.8
7.6
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
10.8
18.7
6
68%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 33.5
5.5
23.3
2
35%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.5
4.0
4.9
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.