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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 6, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11SuperSonics25%104108
4Mavericks75%113118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.7
35.4
35.3
20
63%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
3-6
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.7
25.6
21.8
11
50%
6
11
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 29.0
24.1
29.5
7
32%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
13.4
36.8
4
40%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
5-11
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 23.9
11.1
25.0
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 32.3
32.3
27.7
20
72%
5
3
1
1
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
4-9
44%
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
29.8
12.1
19
56%
10
0
1
0
2
0
6
4
1-2
50%
9-14
1-3
64%
45%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
22.0
11.4
7
70%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.6
20.0
9.5
14
70%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
51%
2-6
33%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
19.1
14.9
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.1
7.2
10.1
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.1
43.1
30.5
24
64%
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
4-8
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
40.5
34.4
16
51%
6
5
0
2
2
1
4
2
4-4
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
51%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.8
35.2
35.4
23
61%
8
2
0
1
4
2
2
6
4-4
100%
8-15
7-15
53%
51%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 30.2
33.8
32.4
14
72%
1
14
0
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
50%
0-2
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
28.9
26.7
12
55%
8
5
2
1
2
3
1
7
2-2
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
29.7
24.9
17
81%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
8-10
5-9
80%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
15.4
24.3
4
40%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.0
10.4
7.7
8
80%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
51%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
3.1
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28.0
4.5
0
1-1
47%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.7
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.0
3.5
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.