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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 7, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Celtics35%94101
15Heat65%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.5
45.0
38.1
31
67%
5
5
0
2
0
2
1
4
10-12
83%
9-14
6-14
64%
44%
1-4
25%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.6
43.6
26.7
16
54%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
42%
2-9
22%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.2
33.8
24.5
10
58%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
23.4
32.0
4
20%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-5
1-2
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.4
21.8
33.8
8
51%
9
0
0
1
0
4
4
5
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.5
33.0
28.5
22
65%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
3-5
60%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
26.2
13.8
10
85%
9
0
1
0
3
2
3
6
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.4
4.5
5.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.4
4.4
19.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.2
4.4
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
2.4
0
0-0
41%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.4
1.9
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.2
40.0
27.5
16
52%
8
4
0
1
0
6
0
8
6-8
75%
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
39.0
29.7
24
70%
10
5
0
1
1
1
6
4
14-14
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.5
30.8
32.7
14
52%
3
5
2
1
2
2
1
2
7-10
70%
2-3
4-8
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.1
29.1
34.5
6
38%
4
0
1
2
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
5-11
38%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
24.3
29.9
12
61%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
32.9
30.0
12
51%
2
7
4
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
2-7
29%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
29.6
18.8
14
54%
7
0
0
0
1
0
4
3
6-7
86%
4-10
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
13.6
12.2
6
75%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.1
0.8
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.8
5.1
0
1-2
44%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.8
4.1
0
0-1
45%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.2
3.0
0
1-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.