Final Win Prob. pScore
1922%98
94
378%107
117
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo Jazz
113.38373.7
DAL logo Mavericks
137.68597.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0UTABest STEAL (1 STL)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTAOstertag 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)94
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:08UTAMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:09DALMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 292
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:09DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:09UTAPavlovic P.FOUL (P2.PN)92
116
Q4 - 1:20DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Najera 16' Jump Shot92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46UTAMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)92
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06UTAOstertag S.FOUL (P1.PN)92
114
Q4 - 2:17DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18UTASUB: Pavlovic FOR Bell91
114
Q4 - 2:18UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)91
114
Q4 - 2:18DALHoward P.FOUL (P5.PN)91
114
Q4 - 2:18DALJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35DALJamison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37UTAMISS Moore 11' Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56DALMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DALBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05UTAMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21DALHoward Tip Shot (12 PTS)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47UTABell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57DALMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTASUB: Williams FOR Arroyo86
112
Q4 - 4:20DALJamison P.FOUL (P1.PN)86
112
Q4 - 4:38DALWilliams 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01UTAMISS Giricek 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08DALBest P.FOUL (P1.T4)86
110
Q4 - 5:17DALWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17DALWilliams OFF.Foul (P2)86
110
Q4 - 5:27DALSUB: Najera FOR Nash86
110
Q4 - 5:27DALSUB: Best FOR Nowitzki86
110
Q4 - 5:27DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)86
110
Q4 - 5:27UTABell Foul Turnover (P2.T14)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27UTABell OFF.Foul (P5)86
110
Q4 - 5:38DALJamison 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52UTABell Layup (13 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01DALWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)84
108
Q4 - 6:08DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16UTAArroyo P.FOUL (P4.T4)84
106
Q4 - 6:20DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22DALMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36UTAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51DALMISS Jamison Layup82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08UTAJazz Rebound82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08UTANash BLOCK (1 BLK)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23DALSUB: Williams FOR Bradley82
106
Q4 - 7:23DALBradley P.FOUL (P2.T2)82
106
Q4 - 7:23UTASUB: Moore FOR Kirilenko82
106
Q4 - 7:23UTASUB: Giricek FOR Pavlovic82
106
Q4 - 7:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34UTABell S.FOUL (P4.T3)82
104
Q4 - 7:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 8:03DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 8:03UTASUB: Pavlovic FOR Williams82
102
Q4 - 8:03DALSUB: Nash FOR Daniels82
102
Q4 - 8:0382
102
Q4 - 8:03UTABell S.FOUL (P3.T2)82
102
Q4 - 8:11DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 8:13UTAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 8:23DALDaniels Layup (12 PTS)82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 8:49UTABell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)82
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 8:53UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 8:55UTAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:16DALJamison 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)79
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 9:18DALJamison REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)79
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 9:20DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 9:37UTAWilliams 7' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)79
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 9:55DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)77
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 10:16UTABell 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)77
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 10:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 10:34UTASUB: Arroyo FOR Lopez75
95
Q4 - 10:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)75
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:34UTABell S.FOUL (P2.T1)75
94
Q4 - 10:46UTAOstertag Layup (2 PTS)75
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 10:48UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:49UTAMISS Bell Layup73
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:13DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST)73
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 11:33DALJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 11:34UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 273
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 11:34UTAJazz Rebound73
92
Q4 - 11:34UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 273
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 11:34DALBradley S.FOUL (P1.T1)73
92
Q4 - 11:39UTAJazz Rebound73
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 11:42UTAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot73
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 12:0073
92
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL73
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA73
92
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lopez 6 AST)73
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 270
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0UTAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.PN)70
91
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAWilliams Layup (12 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)70
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALHoward P.FOUL (P4.T4)68
91
Q3 - 0:44.0DALDaniels 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:08UTAPavlovic Layup (2 PTS)68
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 1:09UTAPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:12UTABradley BLOCK (1 BLK)66
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:20UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:22DALMISS Daniels Layup66
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:39UTAKirilenko Layup (13 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)66
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:55DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:55DALBradley Layup (4 PTS)64
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:58DALMISS Bradley Layup64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:14DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:15UTAMISS Pavlovic 20' Jump Shot64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:34DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)64
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 2:52UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
85
Q3 - 2:52UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)64
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 3:17DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 3:17DALHoward Tip Shot (10 PTS)64
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 3:18DALMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot64
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 3:24UTADaniels STEAL (3 STL)64
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 3:42DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 3:42DALSUB: Finley FOR Nash64
82
Q3 - 3:42UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Collins64
82
Q3 - 3:42DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q3 - 3:42UTAPavlovic P.FOUL (P1.PN)64
81
Q3 - 3:43UTADaniels STEAL (2 STL)64
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 3:57UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 4:00DALMISS Howard Slam Dunk64
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 4:15UTALopez Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)64
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 4:15DALBradley T.FOUL (P0.T3)63
81
Q3 - 4:17UTAMoore Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)63
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 4:33DALDaniels 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 4:50UTALopez Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)61
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 5:10DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 5:10DALSUB: Howard FOR Finley61
78
Q3 - 5:10DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 5:10UTASUB: Williams FOR Giricek61
77
Q3 - 5:10UTALopez P.FOUL (P2.PN)61
77
Q3 - 5:23UTAMoore 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)61
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 5:48DALBradley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)59
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 5:56UTAGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 5:56UTAGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 5:56UTASUB: Lopez FOR Arroyo57
75
Q3 - 5:56UTASUB: Pavlovic FOR Kirilenko57
75
Q3 - 5:56DALSUB: Bradley FOR Walker57
75
Q3 - 5:56DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)57
75
Q3 - 5:56DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P3.T3)57
75
Q3 - 6:10UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 6:11DALMISS Daniels 7' Running Jump Shot57
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 6:18DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 6:20UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 6:38UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 6:40UTAMISS Giricek 7' Jump Shot57
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 6:41UTAGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 6:43UTAMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot57
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 6:59UTAGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 7:01DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 7:10DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 7:12UTAMISS Arroyo 8' Jump Shot57
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 7:28UTAMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 7:28DALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 257
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 7:28DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 7:28UTAArroyo S.FOUL (P3.PN)57
74
Q3 - 7:32UTADaniels STEAL (1 STL)57
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 7:57DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)57
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 8:00DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 8:01DALMISS Walker Layup57
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 8:15UTAArroyo Violation:Kicked Ball57
71
Q3 - 8:22UTAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)57
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 8:26DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)57
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 8:40UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 8:40DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T2)56
71
Q3 - 8:40UTACollins Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)56
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 8:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 8:55UTASUB: Moore FOR Gugliotta54
70
Q3 - 8:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 8:55UTAGugliotta S.FOUL (P4.PN)54
69
Q3 - 9:00UTAGugliotta P.FOUL (P3.T4)54
69
Q3 - 9:12DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 9:13UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 254
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 9:13UTAJazz Rebound54
69
Q3 - 9:13UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 254
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 9:13DALFinley S.FOUL (P3.T1)54
69
Q3 - 9:18UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)54
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 9:20DALMISS Nowitzki Layup54
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 9:35UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)54
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 9:35UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (11 PTS)54
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 9:37UTAMISS Kirilenko Alley Oop Layup52
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 9:59DALWalker Layup (14 PTS)52
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 10:24UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)52
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 10:34UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 10:36DALMISS Daniels Layup50
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 10:43UTAArroyo P.FOUL (P2.T3)50
67
Q3 - 10:51DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 10:54UTAMISS Kirilenko 5' Jump Shot50
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 11:09DALNash 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 11:22UTAGiricek 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)50
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 11:40DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 11:40UTAGugliotta S.FOUL (P2.T2)47
64
Q3 - 11:40DALNowitzki Layup (11 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)47
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 11:47UTAGiricek P.FOUL (P1.T1)47
62
Q3 - 12:0047
62
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL47
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA47
62
Q2 - 0:22.0UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lopez 5 AST)47
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot44
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (7 PTS)44
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup42
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0DALMISS Walker Reverse Layup42
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 1:16UTAGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 1:16DALSUB: Daniels FOR Howard41
62
Q2 - 1:16UTAGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 1:16DALHoward S.FOUL (P3.T4)40
62
Q2 - 1:35UTAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:37DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot40
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:56UTAWilliams 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)40
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q2 - 2:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 2:12DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot38
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 2:25UTAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lopez 4 AST)38
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 2:43DALWalker 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)35
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 2:56UTASUB: Giricek FOR Moore35
60
Q2 - 2:56UTASUB: Collins FOR Bell35
60
Q2 - 2:56UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
60
Q2 - 2:56UTAKirilenko Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)35
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q2 - 3:14DALJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)35
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q2 - 3:22DALJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 3:24UTAMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 3:43UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
2.0%
57
98.0%
Q2 - 3:45DALMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot35
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 4:02UTAMoore Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Lopez 3 AST)35
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q2 - 4:21DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)33
1.7%
57
98.3%
Q2 - 4:26DALJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)33
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 4:28DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot33
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q2 - 4:43DALJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 4:44UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 233
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 4:44UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q2 - 4:44DALHoward S.FOUL (P2.T3)32
54
Q2 - 5:07DALJamison 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)32
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 5:26UTAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
2.5%
52
97.5%
Q2 - 5:37UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 5:39DALMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot30
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 5:55DALJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 5:56DALMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot30
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 5:58DALJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 6:00DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot30
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 6:20UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 6:20UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 6:20UTASUB: Williams FOR Ruffin28
52
Q2 - 6:20DALFinley S.FOUL (P2.T2)28
52
Q2 - 6:20UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 6:20UTAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)28
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 6:43DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)28
1.9%
52
98.1%
Q2 - 6:43DALSUB: Nash FOR Daniels28
51
Q2 - 6:43DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 6:43UTARuffin S.FOUL (P2.T4)28
50
Q2 - 6:53DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)28
50
Q2 - 6:53UTAHoward STEAL (1 STL)28
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 6:58UTALopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q2 - 7:00DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 7:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound28
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 7:13UTAMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot28
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 7:27UTAJazz Rebound28
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q2 - 7:28DALMISS Finley 23' Jump Shot28
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 7:48UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 7:48UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 7:48DALFinley S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
50
Q2 - 8:01DALJamison Layup (9 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)26
2.1%
50
97.9%
Q2 - 8:08UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Pavlovic26
48
Q2 - 8:08UTALopez P.FOUL (P1.T3)26
48
Q2 - 8:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
2.3%
48
97.7%
Q2 - 8:22UTAMISS Pavlovic 17' Jump Shot26
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 8:37DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 8:37DALSUB: Finley FOR Nowitzki26
47
Q2 - 8:37UTARuffin S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
47
Q2 - 8:37DALJamison 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)26
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 8:4926
45
Q2 - 8:49UTABell P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
45
Q2 - 9:05UTAMoore Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)26
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 9:10UTASUB: Ruffin FOR Ostertag24
45
Q2 - 9:32DALJamison Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)24
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 9:40UTAMoore Dunk (4 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)24
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 10:04DALHoward 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 10:12UTABell 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
3.4%
41
96.6%
Q2 - 10:35DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)20
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 10:50UTAMoore 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)20
3.8%
38
96.2%
Q2 - 11:09DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)18
3.6%
38
96.4%
Q2 - 11:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q2 - 11:18UTAMISS Pavlovic 18' Jump Shot18
4.6%
35
95.4%
Q2 - 11:41DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 12:0018
35
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA18
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALJamison Layup (2 PTS)18
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot18
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0UTAMISS Pavlovic 20' Jump Shot18
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0DALNowitzki Violation:Kicked Ball18
33
Q1 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALSUB: Jamison FOR Nash18
32
Q1 - 0:34.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
6.1%
32
93.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0UTAMoore S.FOUL (P1.PN)18
31
Q1 - 0:39.0UTAArroyo 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0UTASUB: Moore FOR Gugliotta16
31
Q1 - 0:57.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)16
31
Q1 - 0:57.0DALWalker P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
31
Q1 - 1:10DALWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)16
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 1:21DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q1 - 1:23UTAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
7.8%
28
92.2%
Q1 - 1:49DALWalker 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)16
8.1%
28
91.9%
Q1 - 1:59DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 2:02UTAMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot16
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 2:21UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 2:23DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 2:43UTABell 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 3:02UTASUB: Bell FOR Kirilenko14
26
Q1 - 3:02UTASUB: Pavlovic FOR Giricek14
26
Q1 - 3:02DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 3:02DALHoward OFF.Foul (P1)14
26
Q1 - 3:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q1 - 3:07UTAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)14
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 3:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 3:11UTAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot14
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 3:29UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 3:30DALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 214
8.3%
26
91.7%
Q1 - 3:30UTASUB: Ostertag FOR Collins14
26
Q1 - 3:30DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 3:30UTACollins S.FOUL (P2.T4)14
25
Q1 - 3:40DALSUB: Howard FOR Finley14
25
Q1 - 3:40DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)14
25
Q1 - 3:40UTAFinley STEAL (2 STL)14
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 3:59DALDaniels 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)14
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q1 - 4:12DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
10.8%
23
89.2%
Q1 - 4:12DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 4:12UTACollins FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T3)14
21
Q1 - 4:25UTACollins Layup (2 PTS) (Gugliotta 2 AST)14
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 4:43DALWalker Layup (4 PTS)12
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q1 - 4:44DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 4:46DALMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot12
13.2%
19
86.8%
Q1 - 5:05UTAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 5:25UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 5:27DALMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 5:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 5:33DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot9
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 5:39UTAArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
19
Q1 - 5:55UTAArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)9
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 6:21DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)6
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 6:27UTANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)6
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 6:46UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
16
Q1 - 6:48DALFinley 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 6:55DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 6:58UTAMISS Giricek 12' Jump Shot6
13.2%
14
86.8%
Q1 - 7:02UTAJazz Rebound6
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 7:02UTANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)6
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 7:25DALFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
13.9%
14
86.1%
Q1 - 7:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 7:32UTANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)6
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 7:47UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
16.3%
11
83.7%
Q1 - 7:49UTAMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot6
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 7:56UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.4%
11
83.6%
Q1 - 7:59UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.9%
11
84.1%
Q1 - 8:15DALWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
16.5%
11
83.5%
Q1 - 8:28UTAGugliotta L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)6
9
Q1 - 8:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.4%
9
82.6%
Q1 - 8:28UTAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot6
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 8:35DALNowitzki P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
9
Q1 - 8:35UTAGugliotta REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 8:35UTAMISS Gugliotta Turnaround Jump Shot6
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 8:55DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)6
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 9:02UTAWalker STEAL (1 STL)6
19.3%
7
80.7%
Q1 - 9:13UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 9:15DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot6
19.9%
7
80.1%
Q1 - 9:29UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
19.6%
7
80.4%
Q1 - 9:49DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)4
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 10:12UTAGiricek Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Gugliotta 1 AST)4
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 10:33DALNash 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 10:43UTAGiricek Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 10:49UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 10:51DALMISS Nash Layup0
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 11:05UTAFinley STEAL (1 STL)0
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 11:31DALDaniels 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:44DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:47UTAMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot0
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Collins: Tip to Arroyo0
22.0%
0
78.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
27
67%
DAL
14
24
58%
Midrange
UTA
10
30
33%
DAL
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
DAL
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
UTA
14
20
70%
DAL
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bell1860%9.0 / 15
M. Williams1794%8.5 / 9
A. Kirilenko1341%6.5 / 16
M. Moore1286%6.0 / 7
G. Giricek1146%5.5 / 12
C. Arroyo1045%5.0 / 11
J. Collins583%2.5 / 3
G. Ostertag583%2.5 / 3
S. Pavlovic217%1.0 / 6
R. Lopez1-0.0 / 0
T. Gugliotta0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2790%13.5 / 15
A. Jamison2574%12.5 / 17
A. Walker1568%7.5 / 11
M. Finley1458%7.0 / 12
M. Daniels1255%6.0 / 11
J. Howard1250%6.0 / 12
S. Nash650%3.0 / 6
S. Bradley467%2.0 / 3
S. Williams233%1.0 / 3
E. Najera0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
70
+15
-13
85
DAL
80
+14
-5
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.23 61.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.5
109.8
UTA 113.3
DAL 137.6 +24.4
Pace
88.8
95.3
UTA 73.7
DAL 97.2 +23.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
14.9
UTA 19.5
DAL 14.8 −4.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
49.5%
UTA 54.8%
DAL 59.1% +4.3%
TO %
17.2%
12.3%
UTA 15.5%
DAL 5.3% −10.2%
ORB %
34.1%
31.4%
UTA 33.3%
DAL 35.9% +2.6%
FTrt
35.6
25.6
UTA 27.4
DAL 39.0 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
59.1%
UTA 63.9% +7.8%
DAL 56.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
UTA 2.4%
DAL 10.6% +8.2%
BLK %
10.6%
8.2%
UTA 8.3%
DAL 10.5% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.0%
51.4%
UTA 54.7%
DAL 61.6% +6.9%
Rim FG%
53.4%
59.0%
UTA 66.7% +8.4%
DAL 58.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.4%
UTA 33.3%
DAL 50.0% +16.7%
3P %
32.1%
34.8%
UTA 50.0%
DAL 52.9% +2.9%
FT %
74.6%
79.6%
UTA 70.0%
DAL 86.7% +16.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
33.5%
UTA 37.0% +5.8%
DAL 31.2%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
46.4%
UTA 41.1% −5.7%
DAL 46.8%
3P Att. %
12.7%
20.1%
UTA 21.9%
DAL 22.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points94117
Rebounds3738
Assists2323
Steals29
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)14 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)24 (2)
Field Goals36-7341-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2714-24
Midrange FG10-3018-36
2-Point FG28-5732-60
3-Point FG8-169-17
Free Throws14-2026-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
31.5
13
41%
11
3
1
3
2
0
4
7
3-8
38%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
26.1
11
46%
2
2
0
0
3
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
24.3
10
45%
1
3
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 249 · 25
19.7
5
83%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 34
14.1
0
0%
4
2
0
1
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 28
26.3
12
86%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
21.8
18
60%
1
0
0
0
2
5
0
1
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 198 · 21
19.8
17
94%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
19.4
1
0%
4
6
0
0
2
2
0
4
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 31
18.3
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20
15.8
2
17%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
37
23
2
5
13
0
12
25
14-20
70%
28-57
49%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.