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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 9, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Cavaliers30%9391
17Heat70%100106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.3
42
38
24
7
8
1
2
0
8
1
6
11-15
73%
5-13
7-16
38%
44%
1-1
100%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 28.8
38
29
18
7
0
1
1
5
2
4
3
2-3
67%
8-14
5-11
57%
46%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
37
13
13
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
39%
1-3
33%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
24
22
2
2
1
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 22.4
21
30
9
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-4
6-11
100%
52%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.1
29
18
18
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
8-14
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.3
14
14
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 23.1
13
12
7
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.2
12
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
8
10
0
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
2
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.5
29
1
3-6
45%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.2
40
33
20
2
7
5
1
0
2
2
0
10-12
83%
5-10
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.1
38
31
12
10
3
0
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
6-13
4-9
46%
43%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
37
33
18
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
35
27
19
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
8-11
4-7
73%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.5
29
31
15
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-11
3-7
36%
45%
2-4
50%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
31
30
16
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
4-5
80%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
15
24
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.1
9
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
6
13
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.8
4
0
0-1
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.8
4
0
1-1
45%
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.2
3
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.