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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 10, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks56%99102
27Wizards44%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.1
37.4
29.6
22
54%
4
2
3
1
0
1
1
3
5-5
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
48%
1-3
33%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
31.0
23.9
12
53%
3
5
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.5
24.0
32.0
10
51%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
21.9
37.3
4
20%
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
6-13
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.6
11.6
20.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
50%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 24.1
32.4
6.6
6
77%
2
4
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.8
30.5
18.5
6
61%
10
1
1
0
4
0
3
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 21.5
24.9
13.3
15
67%
12
0
1
1
1
0
5
7
3-5
60%
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 23.9
24.5
9.3
22
70%
2
1
3
0
0
4
0
2
6-6
100%
5-10
1-2
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
14.9
10.7
5
27%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
42%
0-2
0%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.4
12.0
12.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.7
25.4
1
3-8
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.7
36.3
22.0
23
59%
2
5
2
1
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
8-15
2-6
53%
43%
2-4
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.4
34.0
31.4
2
27%
11
3
0
1
0
3
3
8
0-4
0%
1-2
3-7
50%
42%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
27.9
36.0
5
28%
3
5
2
2
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-10
25%
44%
1-5
20%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.2
26.0
29.6
9
56%
7
4
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-5
5-11
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.4
20.4
24.2
9
60%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
5-8
63%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.0
32.6
22.0
17
65%
8
1
0
0
1
3
3
5
5-7
71%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.1
27.0
12.8
10
51%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
2-6
33%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.5
25.1
15.3
13
47%
2
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
1-4
25%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.2
19.0
5.1
5
43%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
16.7
9.2
5
50%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.4
22.5
1
3-8
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.1
19.1
1
2-5
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.