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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 11, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs82%10188
29Clippers18%8979
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.8
42.3
31.9
12
86%
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
37.5
34.1
14
41%
4
8
0
1
0
4
1
3
4-9
44%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.0
34.9
32.2
26
61%
9
2
1
1
3
1
5
4
6-10
60%
10-17
8-15
59%
52%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.9
32.7
29.2
12
67%
7
1
0
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.1
27.3
25.2
2
20%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.7
24.5
24.9
10
50%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
6-7
86%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
20.7
17.8
9
77%
6
0
1
1
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.0
8.0
6.9
3
52%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.4
7.3
10.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 23.6
4.8
1.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.6
6.2
0
1-2
47%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
4.5
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 24.0
42.8
12.5
5
13%
10
2
0
0
0
2
5
5
3-4
75%
1-13
2-4
8%
42%
0-4
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.1
40.8
35.2
23
43%
12
5
1
1
2
3
8
4
7-8
88%
8-23
6-13
35%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.9
35.3
8.6
8
33%
8
5
0
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-11
1-2
36%
39%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.0
28.6
26.6
14
64%
6
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
7-11
2-6
64%
44%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.9
16.9
30.7
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-9
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Doug Overton
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.7
31.5
21.1
12
58%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
40%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.6
21.8
5.5
9
48%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.1
17.9
25.8
4
67%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.5
4.5
24.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-9
0%
40%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
35.0
1
5-11
46%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.9
20.0
1
2-5
37%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.9
5.1
0
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.